England - ChampionshipThe DenData current as of September 03, 2026

Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Millwall plays Bolton Wanderers in Championship (England). The game is scheduled for September 5, 2026. Venue: The Den.

Recent form

Millwall has 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.50 points per game. Bolton Wanderers has 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Millwall scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 2.00. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.00 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 25% of Millwall's games and 50% of Bolton Wanderers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 50%, compared with league averages of 73% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Millwall has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.54 per game. Millwall takes 15.5 shots per game, while Bolton Wanderers takes 14.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Millwall leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Bolton Wanderers leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.25 after halftime.

When the teams score

Millwall's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Bolton Wanderers, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 73% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.57)
(3.86)
(5.75)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

MillwallBolton Wanderers
1.5Goals scored / game1
MillwallBolton Wanderers
2Goals allowed / game1.25
MillwallBolton Wanderers
51%Average possession54%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
3.75Shots on target / game4.5
MillwallBolton Wanderers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.5Shots per game14
MillwallBolton Wanderers
3.75Shots on target4.5
MillwallBolton Wanderers
9.7%Shot conversion7.1%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
51%Possession54%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
1.59xG for1.54
MillwallBolton Wanderers
1.2xG against1.44
MillwallBolton Wanderers

Shooting quality

Millwall: AttackingBolton Wanderers: Attacking
MillwallBolton Wanderers
Accuracy (shots on target)24%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Millwall is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.5 pts / game - Millwall · 1 pts / game - Bolton Wanderers

Millwall
WWLL
Season result split
50% W0% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-2
1.50 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-2
1.50 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.5Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 25%Over 2.5: 75%
Bolton Wanderers
WDLL
Season result split
25% W25% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Millwall is 50% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - Millwall · 1 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.

2 goals / game - Millwall · 1.25 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers

Millwall scoring profile: very strong

Millwall scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).

Bolton Wanderers scoring profile: mixed

Bolton Wanderers scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 meczów), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 meczów).

6Goals scored (season)4
MillwallBolton Wanderers
8Goals conceded (season)5
MillwallBolton Wanderers
3.5Average goals per game2.25
MillwallBolton Wanderers
6Goals scored (last 5)4
MillwallBolton Wanderers
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
MillwallBolton Wanderers

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal50%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%2 goals50%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
25%3 goals0%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
0%4 goals0%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal75%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%2 goals25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%3 goals25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
25%4 goals0%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

73%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
0%BTTS in both halves25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%Scored in both halves25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
25%BTTS - last 550%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
75%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Millwall - half-time state
50% leading0% draw50% trailing
Bolton Wanderers - half-time state
25% leading75% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1.5
MillwallBolton Wanderers
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.75
MillwallBolton Wanderers
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
MillwallBolton Wanderers
1.5Average goals (1st half)1
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%Clean sheet before half-time75%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
25%No goal before half-time50%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per game (2nd half)0.25
MillwallBolton Wanderers
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
MillwallBolton Wanderers
1.25Goals conceded (2nd half)1
MillwallBolton Wanderers
2Average goals (2nd half)1.25
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%Clean sheet after half-time25%
MillwallBolton Wanderers
50%No goal after half-time75%
MillwallBolton Wanderers

Millwall - second-half results

50% W0% R50% P
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bolton Wanderers - second-half results

0% W25% R75% P
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.8

Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Millwall - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.501.50
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.81.3
Average goals per game1.52.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals25%75%
3 goals25%25%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal25%50%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 50% leading - 0% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 3
Bolton Wanderers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.500.25
Goals scored / game0.80.3
Goals allowed / game0.31.0
Average goals per game1.01.3
1 goal50%75%
2 goals50%25%
3 goals0%25%
Clean sheet75%25%
No goal50%75%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 25% leading - 75% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 25% draw - 75% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Millwall
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Bolton Wanderers
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Millwall

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.89
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.80
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Bolton Wanderers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

MillwallLigaBolton Wanderers
Average goals per game 3.502.94 2.25
Both teams scored 25%73% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%67% 50%
Clean sheets 50%18% 25%
Goal before half-time 100%79% 50%
Goal after half-time 100%79% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per game
73%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / game
1.38
Away goals / game
+13%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Millwall and Bolton Wanderers play?

Millwall face Bolton Wanderers on September 5, 2026 in Championship at The Den. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers?

Millwall score 1.50 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.00. The Championship average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Millwall's matches and 50% of Bolton Wanderers's.

What form are Millwall and Bolton Wanderers in?

Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 2-0-2 record (1.50 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers?

The statistical background for Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.