Millwall vs Hull City: match statistics
Millwall vs Hull City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Millwall play Hull City in Championship (England). The match date is 11 May 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Millwall: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Hull City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Millwall scores 1.33 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Hull City scores 1.49 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Millwall 48%, Hull City 61%. Over 2.5: Millwall 46%, Hull City 61%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Millwall has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.28. Millwall: 12.9 shots per match, Hull City: 11.1.
Match halves
Millwall: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.81. Hull City: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Millwall: 76-90+ (17 goals). Hull City: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Millwall holds the advantage in key home metrics: they average 1.43 goals and generate 1.58 xG with 13.65 shots (4.61 on target) per match, while conceding only 1.09 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 48% of games. Hull on the road scores 1.52 goals on average but posts a lower xG of 1.26 and attempts just 10.83 shots per match (4.22 on target), with a higher shot conversion — 14% versus Millwall’s 11%. In their last five matches Millwall has recorded 3 wins and 2 draws (averaging 2.2 points per game), whereas Hull has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss with an average of 1.2 points per game. Additionally, Millwall allows opponents 1.24 xG at home on average, while Hull concedes 1.89 xG away, indicating greater defensive vulnerability for the visitors. Considering superior chance creation (1.58 xG vs 1.26), more effective home defense (1.09 vs 1.39 goals conceded) and clearer points form, I predict a Millwall victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Millwall | Hull City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hull City is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Millwall · 2 pts / match - Hull City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hull City is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Millwall · 1.49 goals / match - Hull City
Millwall is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Millwall · 1.35 goals / match - Hull City
Millwall scores in 79% of matches (38 of 48 matches), while Hull City keeps a clean sheet in 29% (14 of 49 matches).
Hull City scores in 82% of matches (40 of 49 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 40% (19 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Millwall
Over / Under — Hull City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hull City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Millwall
Hull City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Millwall | Liga | Hull City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 50% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Millwall 1 - 1 - 1 Hull City. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Millwall vs Hull City?
The Championship match finished Millwall 0:2 Hull City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and Hull City?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Millwall won 1, Hull City won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Hull City?
Millwall score 1.33 goals per game on average and Hull City 1.49. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Millwall's matches and 61% of Hull City's.
What form are Millwall and Hull City in?
Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Hull City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Hull City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.