Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Milton Keynes Dons play Notts County in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 29 December 2025 at 20:45. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Milton Keynes Dons: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Notts County: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.87 and concedes 0.98 goals per match. Notts County scores 1.59 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Milton Keynes Dons 61%, Notts County 53%. Over 2.5: Milton Keynes Dons 54%, Notts County 55%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Milton Keynes Dons has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.34. Milton Keynes Dons: 12.6 shots per match, Notts County: 11.0.

Match halves

Milton Keynes Dons: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 0.74. Notts County: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Milton Keynes Dons: 31-45+ (19 goals). Notts County: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
10Shots13
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
3Shots on target3
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1.01xG1.26
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1Corners5
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
22Dangerous attacks31
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
15Fouls14
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
2Cards3
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1.87Goals scored / match1.59
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
0.98Goals conceded / match1.06
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
49%Average possession55%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
4.63Shots on target / match4.37
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.63Shots per match11.04
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
4.63Shots on target4.37
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
14.8%Shot conversion14.4%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
49%Possession55%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1.42xG for1.34
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1.22xG against1.2
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

Shooting quality

Milton Keynes Dons: Efficient finishingNotts County: Efficient finishing
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
Accuracy (shots on target)37%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Milton Keynes Dons
DWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
52% W30% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
24-14-8
1.87 pts / match · goal difference +41
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-6-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Notts County
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
53% W18% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
26-9-14
1.78 pts / match · goal difference +26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
12-4-8
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Milton Keynes Dons is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.87 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.59 goals / match - Notts County

Milton Keynes Dons is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.98 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.06 goals / match - Notts County

Milton Keynes Dons scoring profile: very strong

Milton Keynes Dons scores in 87% of matches (40 of 46 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 33% (16 of 49 matches).

Notts County scoring profile: very strong

Notts County scores in 82% of matches (40 of 49 matches), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 33% (15 of 46 matches).

86Goals scored (season)78
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
45Goals conceded (season)52
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
2.85Average goals in match2.65
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
10Goals scored (last 5)6
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
4Goals conceded (last 5)1
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal82%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
57%2 goals45%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
24%3 goals18%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
13%4 goals10%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
24%2 goals29%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
7%3 goals8%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
0%4 goals2%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
Milton Keynes Dons - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.28 of 46 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time22%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
2%BTTS in both halves2%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
37%Scored in both halves29%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
80%BTTS - last 520%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Milton Keynes Dons is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.09 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.49 pts / match - Notts County

Milton Keynes Dons - half-time state
61% leading26% draw13% trailing
Notts County - half-time state
33% leading51% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.09Points per match (1st half)1.49
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1.13Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
0.37Goals conceded (1st half)0.49
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.2
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
74%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
28%No goal before half-time49%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.41Points per match (2nd half)1.53
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1.35Average goals (2nd half)1.45
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
50%Clean sheet after half-time51%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
48%No goal after half-time41%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results

35% W37% R28% P
96
Half-time points
52
Half-time goals
+35
Goal difference (1st half)
65
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 52%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Notts County - second-half results

43% W24% R33% P
73
Half-time points
35
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
75
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.49
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Milton Keynes Dons - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.00
Goals scored / match1.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+7-1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8
Notts County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Milton Keynes Dons
ScoredConceded
17
5
0-15
16
8
16-30
19
4
31-45
8
4
46-60
10
11
61-75
16
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Notts County
ScoredConceded
10
7
0-15
13
6
16-30
12
11
31-45
12
9
46-60
13
9
61-75
18
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+82%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Milton Keynes Dons

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-22.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Notts County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Milton Keynes DonsLigaNotts County
Average goals in match 2.852.57 2.65
Both teams scored 61%52% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%48% 55%
Clean sheets 33%27% 33%
Goal before half-time 83%67% 67%
Goal after half-time 80%78% 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Milton Keynes Dons 0 - 0 - 1 Notts County. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County?

The EFL League Two match finished Milton Keynes Dons 1:1 Notts County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County?

Milton Keynes Dons score 1.87 goals per game on average and Notts County 1.59. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Milton Keynes Dons's matches and 53% of Notts County's.

What form are Milton Keynes Dons and Notts County in?

Over the last 5 games Milton Keynes Dons have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Notts County 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.