Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Milton Keynes Dons played against Notts County in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on December 29, 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Milton Keynes Dons has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Notts County has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.95 goals per game and allows 1.09. Notts County scores 1.59 and allows 1.09. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of Milton Keynes Dons's games and 59% of Notts County's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 55%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Milton Keynes Dons has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.26 per game. Milton Keynes Dons takes 12.2 shots per game, while Notts County takes 10.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Milton Keynes Dons leads at halftime in 55% of its games and scores 0.95 goals per game after halftime. Notts County leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.95 after halftime.

When the teams score

Milton Keynes Dons's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). For Notts County, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

56Possession (%)44
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
10Shots13
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
3Shots on target3
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1.01xG1.26
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1Corners5
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
22Dangerous attacks31
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
15Fouls14
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
2Cards3
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1.95Goals scored / game1.59
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1.09Goals allowed / game1.09
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
50%Average possession55%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
4.55Shots on target / game4.09
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.18Shots per game10.5
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
4.55Shots on target4.09
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
16%Shot conversion15.2%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
50%Possession55%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1.4xG for1.26
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1.23xG against1.22
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

Shooting quality

Milton Keynes Dons: Efficient finishingNotts County: Efficient finishing
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
Accuracy (shots on target)37%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Milton Keynes Dons
WLDWW
Season result split
50% W27% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-5
1.77 pts / game · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-3
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Notts County
WWWDL
Season result split
50% W23% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-5-6
1.73 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Milton Keynes Dons is 23% better for: goals scored per game.

1.95 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.59 goals / game - Notts County

Milton Keynes Dons scoring profile: very strong

Milton Keynes Dons scores in 91% of games (20 of 22 meczów), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).

Notts County scoring profile: very strong

Notts County scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 meczów), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).

43Goals scored (season)35
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
24Goals conceded (season)24
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
3.05Average goals per game2.68
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
10Goals scored (last 5)6
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal86%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
64%2 goals45%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
23%3 goals18%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
14%4 goals9%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal68%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
32%2 goals36%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
9%3 goals5%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
0%4 goals0%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

64%
Milton Keynes Dons - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 22 meczów
56%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time27%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
0%BTTS in both halves5%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
41%Scored in both halves23%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
60%BTTS - last 520%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
23%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time95%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Milton Keynes Dons is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.86 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.27 pts / game - Notts County

Milton Keynes Dons - half-time state
55% leading23% draw23% trailing
Notts County - half-time state
23% leading59% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.86Points per game (1st half)1.27
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1.55Average goals (1st half)1.14
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
68%Clean sheet before half-time55%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
32%No goal before half-time59%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.64Points per game (2nd half)1.64
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
0.95Goals scored (2nd half)0.95
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.55
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
55%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County
36%No goal after half-time32%
Milton Keynes DonsNotts County

Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results

45% W27% D27% L
41
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding91%

Leads at halftime in 55% of games and wins 50%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Notts County - second-half results

45% W27% D27% L
28
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding217%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Milton Keynes Dons - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.00
Goals scored / game1.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game2.01.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+6-1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8
Notts County - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.00
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.81.2
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Milton Keynes Dons
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
6
6
16-30
7
1
31-45
6
1
46-60
6
4
61-75
9
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Notts County
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
5
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
5
5
46-60
7
2
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.86
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+75%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
78%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Milton Keynes Dons

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Notts County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Milton Keynes DonsLigaNotts County
Average goals per game 3.052.65 2.68
Both teams scored 64%56% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%48% 55%
Clean sheets 32%25% 32%
Goal before half-time 86%71% 59%
Goal after half-time 91%75% 95%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Milton Keynes DonsYellow cardKane Thompson-Sommers
  2. Milton Keynes DonsYellow cardAlexander Scott Gilbey
  3. Notts CountySubstitutionOn: Kellan Sheene GordonOff: Qamaruddin Maziar Kouhyar
  4. Notts CountyYellow cardMatthew Dennis
  5. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Daniel CrowleyOff: Liam Anthony Kelly
  6. Milton Keynes DonsGoalCallum Thomas Owen Paterson
  7. Notts CountySubstitutionOn: Conor Michael GrantOff: Matthew Dennis
  8. Notts CountyYellow cardTyrese Shaun Hall
  9. Notts CountyYellow cardKelle Roos

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Lee SwabeyMatches officiated: 8
2.88Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 275%Home wins25%Draws0%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Milton Keynes Dons's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Notts County. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County?

The EFL League Two match finished Milton Keynes Dons 1:1 Notts County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County?

Milton Keynes Dons score 1.95 goals per game on average and Notts County 1.59. The EFL League Two average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Milton Keynes Dons's matches and 59% of Notts County's.

What form are Milton Keynes Dons and Notts County in?

Over the last 5 games Milton Keynes Dons have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Notts County 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.