Italy - Serie BStadio Alberto BragliaData current as of October 20, 2026

Modena vs Avellino: match statistics

Modena crest
Modena
0 : 1half-time 0:1
Avellino crest
Avellino

Modena vs Avellino: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Modena played against Avellino in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on September 6, 2026. Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Modena has 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Avellino has 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 1.50 points per game.

Scoring records

Modena scores 2.50 goals per game and allows 0.50. Avellino scores 2.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Modena's games and 50% of Avellino's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 100%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Avellino has the higher season xG average, 1.25 to 1.17 per game. Modena takes 11.5 shots per game, while Avellino takes 10.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Modena leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.50 goals per game after halftime. Avellino leads at halftime in 100% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Modena's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For Avellino, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Modena opened the season with 2 wins from 2 matches, scoring 5 goals and conceding just 1, while Avellino have a record of 1 win and 1 defeat, with a 4:2 goal difference. The hosts are top of the table, whereas the visitors sit in 8th place, confirming Modena’s slightly stronger start to the campaign. In their last five matches, Modena scored 7 goals and conceded 6, while Avellino scored 8 but allowed their opponents to find the net 12 times. The defensive difference is crucial: Avellino lost 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas Modena recorded 2 wins over the same period, averaging 1.2 points per game compared with the visitors’ 0.8. Home advantage and the more stable defense support a moderate lean towards a Modena win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The signal for goals from both sides is primarily provided by current form: Avellino have scored an average of 1.6 goals in their last 5 matches, while Modena have conceded 1.2 goals per game over the same period. The hosts should also create chances, having averaged 1.4 goals in their last five appearances, while Avellino have allowed opponents as many as 2.4 goals. The chance-quality metrics are similar and sufficient for both teams: average xG stands at 1.10 for Modena and 1.16 for Avellino, with xG conceded at 1.37 and 1.65 respectively. BTTS occurred in 40% of Modena’s recent matches and 60% of Avellino’s, while the league average of 70% provides additional support for the Goal/Goal outcome. Uncertainty is increased by the lack of reliable away data for Avellino across the entire season, but the visitors’ poor recent defensive record makes BTTS more likely than a No Goal outcome for one of the sides.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

In their last five matches, Modena averaged 1.4 goals scored, while Avellino conceded as many as 2.4 goals per game, clearly supporting the hosts’ scoring potential. The visitors averaged 1.6 goals scored during this period, while Modena conceded 1.2, so their contribution to the final score is also realistic. Matches featuring at least three goals occurred in 60% of Modena’s last five games and in 80% of Avellino’s matches, compared with a league average of 2.65 goals. At the same time, the estimated xG for both teams stands at around 1.10-1.16 per match, making Over 1.5 the most reliable choice rather than the more demanding Over 2.5.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Modena have a clear signal from their home matches: in both games played so far, they were leading at the break, scoring an average of 1.5 goals before half-time and conceding none. The hosts average 2.0 goals per home game, while their 5.5 shots on target per match indicate a genuine ability to impose the tempo from the outset. Avellino have conceded an average of 2.4 goals over their last five matches, earning just 0.8 points per game and suffering defeat in 60% of them, which strengthens Modena’s advantage in the final outcome. However, the visitors have managed to take the lead at half-time in 50% of their recent matches, so turnaround scenarios involving Modena remain significant. The strongest single HT/FT outcome remains a Modena win both at half-time and at full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

62Possession (%)38
ModenaAvellino
43Shots6
ModenaAvellino
10Shots on target2
ModenaAvellino
4.01xG0.64
ModenaAvellino
12Corners2
ModenaAvellino
87Dangerous attacks17
ModenaAvellino
17Fouls12
ModenaAvellino
3Cards2
ModenaAvellino

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.5Goals scored / game2
ModenaAvellino
0.5Goals allowed / game1
ModenaAvellino
50%Average possession51%
ModenaAvellino
3.5Shots on target / game5.5
ModenaAvellino

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.5Shots per game10.5
ModenaAvellino
3.5Shots on target5.5
ModenaAvellino
21.7%Shot conversion19%
ModenaAvellino
50%Possession51%
ModenaAvellino
1.17xG for1.25
ModenaAvellino
1.21xG against1.56
ModenaAvellino

Shooting quality

Modena: Efficient finishingAvellino: Efficient finishing
ModenaAvellino
Accuracy (shots on target)30%52%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.710.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Modena is 100% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / game - Modena · 1.5 pts / game - Avellino

Modena
WW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 at home
0-0-0
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.5Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 100%
Avellino
LW
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 away
0-0-0
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Modena is 25% better for: goals scored per game.

2.5 goals / game - Modena · 2 goals / game - Avellino

Modena is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.5 goals / game - Modena · 1 goals / game - Avellino

Modena scoring profile: very strong

Modena scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while Avellino keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).

Avellino scoring profile: very strong

Avellino scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).

5Goals scored (season)4
ModenaAvellino
1Goals conceded (season)2
ModenaAvellino
3Average goals per game3
ModenaAvellino
5Goals scored (last 5)4
ModenaAvellino
1Goals conceded (last 5)2
ModenaAvellino

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
ModenaAvellino
100%2 goals50%
ModenaAvellino
50%3 goals50%
ModenaAvellino
0%4 goals0%
ModenaAvellino

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal50%
ModenaAvellino
0%2 goals50%
ModenaAvellino
0%3 goals0%
ModenaAvellino
0%4 goals0%
ModenaAvellino

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
ModenaAvellino
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ModenaAvellino
50%Scored in both halves50%
ModenaAvellino

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
ModenaAvellino
50%Min. 3 goals without BTTS50%
ModenaAvellino
50%BTTS - last 550%
ModenaAvellino

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
ModenaAvellino
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
ModenaAvellino
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ModenaAvellino

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
ModenaAvellino
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
ModenaAvellino
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
ModenaAvellino

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Avellino is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - Modena · 3 pts / game - Avellino

Modena - half-time state
50% leading0% draw50% trailing
Avellino - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)3
ModenaAvellino
1Goals scored (1st half)1.5
ModenaAvellino
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0
ModenaAvellino
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.5
ModenaAvellino
50%Clean sheet before half-time100%
ModenaAvellino
50%No goal before half-time0%
ModenaAvellino

After half-time (2nd half)

3Points per game (2nd half)1.5
ModenaAvellino
1.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
ModenaAvellino
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1
ModenaAvellino
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.5
ModenaAvellino
100%Clean sheet after half-time50%
ModenaAvellino
0%No goal after half-time50%
ModenaAvellino

Modena - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
3
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Avellino - second-half results

50% W0% D50% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at halftime in 100% of games and wins 50%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Modena - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.503.00
Goals scored / game1.01.5
Goals allowed / game0.50.0
Average goals per game1.51.5
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%100%
No goal50%0%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 50% leading - 0% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Avellino - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game3.001.50
Goals scored / game1.50.5
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game1.51.5
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal0%50%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Modena
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Avellino
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
121%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Modena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+2.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.71
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
198%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
41%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Avellino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.75
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
164%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

ModenaLigaAvellino
Average goals per game▲ 3.002.48▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▼ 50%61%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 100%52%▲ 100%
Clean sheets▲ 50%20%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%65%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%83%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per game
61%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defensive advantage
+-4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AvellinoGoalMichele Besaggio
  2. AvellinoSubstitutionOn: Walid CheddiraOff: Andrea Favilli
  3. ModenaYellow cardFrancesco Filippo Zampano
  4. AvellinoYellow cardLorenco Šimić
  5. ModenaSubstitutionOn: Luca BacchinOff: Gastón Brugman
  6. AvellinoSubstitutionOn: Dimitris SounasOff: Michele Besaggio
  7. AvellinoSubstitutionOn: Thomas BerenbruchOff: Luca Di Maggio
  8. ModenaSubstitutionOn: Daniele MontevagoOff: Giuseppe Caso
  9. ModenaYellow cardKleis Bozhanaj
  10. AvellinoYellow cardTommaso Martinelli

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Modena's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Avellino. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Avellino
1 : 0
Modena
Modena
1 : 1
Avellino

FAQ

What was the result of Modena vs Avellino?

The Serie B match finished Modena 0:1 Avellino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Avellino?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Modena won 0, Avellino won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Avellino?

Modena score 2.50 goals per game on average and Avellino 2.00. The Serie B average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Modena's matches and 50% of Avellino's.

What form are Modena and Avellino in?

Over the last 5 games Modena have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Avellino 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Avellino?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.