Modena vs Calcio Padova: match statistics
Modena performs significantly better as a host, occupying 6th place in the table with an impressive record of 46% matches won at home and only 15% of games without scoring a goal. The hosts possess an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.7 vs 1.06), testifying to a clear offensive superiority at their own stadium. Calcio Padova performs poorly in away matches – a mere 31% wins, as many as 38% of games without a goal scored, and a negative goal difference (-5). The form of both teams in the last five matches also argues in favor of Modena (3 victories, 2 points per match) compared to Padova (1 victory, 1 point per match). Possession statistics (51% vs 48%) and shot efficiency also favor the hosts, who should utilize the advantage of their own pitch.
Modena vs Calcio Padova: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Modena played against Calcio Padova in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Modena has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Calcio Padova has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Modena scores 1.35 goals per game and allows 0.77. Calcio Padova scores 1.00 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Modena's games and 54% of Calcio Padova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 38%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Modena has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.20 per game. Modena takes 16.2 shots per game, while Calcio Padova takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Modena leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Calcio Padova leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
Modena's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Calcio Padova, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Modena performs significantly better as a host, occupying 6th place in the table with an impressive record of 46% matches won at home and only 15% of games without scoring a goal. The hosts possess an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.7 vs 1.06), testifying to a clear offensive superiority at their own stadium. Calcio Padova performs poorly in away matches – a mere 31% wins, as many as 38% of games without a goal scored, and a negative goal difference (-5). The form of both teams in the last five matches also argues in favor of Modena (3 victories, 2 points per match) compared to Padova (1 victory, 1 point per match). Possession statistics (51% vs 48%) and shot efficiency also favor the hosts, who should utilize the advantage of their own pitch.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Modena | Calcio Padova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Modena is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Modena · 1 pts / game - Calcio Padova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Modena is 35% better for: goals scored per game.
1.35 goals / game - Modena · 1 goals / game - Calcio Padova
Modena is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.77 goals / game - Modena · 1.23 goals / game - Calcio Padova
Modena scores in 73% of games (19 of 26 meczów), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 meczów).
Calcio Padova scores in 73% of games (19 of 26 meczów), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Modena
Over / Under - Calcio Padova
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Modena is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Modena · 0.85 pts / game - Calcio Padova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Modena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Calcio Padova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Modena
Calcio Padova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Modena | Liga | Calcio Padova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.12 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 54% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 27% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Modena's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Calcio Padova. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Modena vs Calcio Padova?
The Serie B match finished Modena 1:2 Calcio Padova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Calcio Padova?
Modena score 1.35 goals per game on average and Calcio Padova 1.00. The Serie B average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Modena's matches and 54% of Calcio Padova's.
What form are Modena and Calcio Padova in?
Over the last 5 games Modena have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Calcio Padova 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Calcio Padova?
The statistical background for Modena vs Calcio Padova — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.