Modena vs Cesena: match statistics
Modena has looked decidedly better in recent weeks, earning 1.8 points per match in their last five outings, whereas Cesena is in fatal form with just 0.2 points per match and a streak of four defeats. The hosts hold a clear advantage in home games with a 43% win rate and a positive goal difference (+7), as well as better xG statistics (1.7 vs 1.04). In away matches, Cesena concedes an average of 1.43 goals per game with a negative goal difference (-3) and only 7% clean sheets, making them highly susceptible to conceding. Modena also commands better average possession (52% vs 50%) and higher shot conversion in home matches, which should translate into control of the game. Taking all these factors into account, I predict a victory for the hosts, although Cesena has the potential to cause an upset, hence I leave some probability for a draw or an away win.
Modena vs Cesena: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Modena played against Cesena in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Modena has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Cesena has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Modena scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 0.86. Cesena scores 1.29 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of Modena's games and 68% of Cesena's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 57%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Modena has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.46 per game. Modena takes 16.1 shots per game, while Cesena takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Modena leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Cesena leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Modena's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Cesena, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Modena has looked decidedly better in recent weeks, earning 1.8 points per match in their last five outings, whereas Cesena is in fatal form with just 0.2 points per match and a streak of four defeats. The hosts hold a clear advantage in home games with a 43% win rate and a positive goal difference (+7), as well as better xG statistics (1.7 vs 1.04). In away matches, Cesena concedes an average of 1.43 goals per game with a negative goal difference (-3) and only 7% clean sheets, making them highly susceptible to conceding. Modena also commands better average possession (52% vs 50%) and higher shot conversion in home matches, which should translate into control of the game. Taking all these factors into account, I predict a victory for the hosts, although Cesena has the potential to cause an upset, hence I leave some probability for a draw or an away win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Modena | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Modena is 800% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Modena · 0.2 pts / game - Cesena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Modena is 70% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.86 goals / game - Modena · 1.46 goals / game - Cesena
Modena scores in 75% of games (21 of 28 meczów), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 meczów).
Cesena scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 meczów), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Modena
Over / Under - Cesena
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Modena is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / game - Modena · 1.36 pts / game - Cesena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Modena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Cesena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Modena
Cesena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Modena | Liga | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.18 | 2.52 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 55% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 26% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Modena's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Cesena. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Modena vs Cesena?
The Serie B match finished Modena 0:0 Cesena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Cesena?
Modena score 1.32 goals per game on average and Cesena 1.29. The Serie B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Modena's matches and 68% of Cesena's.
What form are Modena and Cesena in?
Over the last 5 games Modena have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Cesena 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Cesena?
The statistical background for Modena vs Cesena — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.