Monaco vs Toulouse: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Monaco vs Toulouse: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Monaco plays Toulouse in Ligue 1 (France). The game is scheduled for October 10, 2026. Venue: Stade Louis II..
Recent form
Monaco has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Toulouse has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Monaco scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 0.60. Toulouse scores 1.40 and allows 1.80. Games in this league average 2.84 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Monaco's games and 60% of Toulouse's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 60%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toulouse has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.25 per game. Monaco takes 10.2 shots per game, while Toulouse takes 14.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Monaco leads at halftime in 60% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Toulouse leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.20 after halftime.
When the teams score
Monaco's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Toulouse, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.84 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Monaco | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Monaco is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Monaco · 1 pts / game - Toulouse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monaco is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.6 goals / game - Monaco · 1.4 goals / game - Toulouse
Monaco is 200% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.6 goals / game - Monaco · 1.8 goals / game - Toulouse
Monaco scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 games).
Toulouse scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 games), while Monaco keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monaco
Over / Under - Toulouse
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monaco is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Monaco · 0.8 pts / game - Toulouse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monaco - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Toulouse - second-half results
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Monaco
Toulouse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Monaco | Liga | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.20 | 2.84 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 60% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 60% | • 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 69% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Monaco's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Toulouse. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Monaco and Toulouse play?
Monaco face Toulouse on October 10, 2026 in Ligue 1 at Stade Louis II.. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Toulouse?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Monaco won 1, Toulouse won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Monaco vs Toulouse?
Monaco score 1.60 goals per game on average and Toulouse 1.40. The Ligue 1 average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Monaco's matches and 60% of Toulouse's.
What form are Monaco and Toulouse in?
Over the last 5 games Monaco have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Toulouse 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monaco vs Toulouse?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.