Monagas vs Estudiantes Mérida: match statistics
Monagas vs Estudiantes Mérida: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Monagas played against Estudiantes Mérida in Primera División (Venezuela). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Estadio Monumental de Maturín. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Monagas has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Estudiantes Mérida has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Monagas scores 1.08 goals per game and allows 1.46. Estudiantes Mérida scores 1.17 and allows 1.27. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Monagas's games and 50% of Estudiantes Mérida's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 43%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Monagas has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.32 per game. Monagas takes 13.3 shots per game, while Estudiantes Mérida takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Monagas leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Estudiantes Mérida leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Monagas's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Estudiantes Mérida, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Monagas enter this match having won 3 of their last 5 games, while Estudiantes Mérida have won just once over the same period. At home, the hosts average 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, while the visitors score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per away game, which favors Monagas. The hosts also create slightly better chances: their home xG is 1.39, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.23. The defensive disparity is significant: Monagas have kept a clean sheet in 42% of their home matches, whereas Estudiantes have done so in just 13% of their away games and have failed to score in 47% of them. Although the visitors have more wins over the full season, 11 compared with 7, current form and home-and-away statistics point to an advantage for Monagas.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Monagas have a solid basis for scoring: they average 1.33 goals, while Estudiantes Mérida concede 1.40 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in only 13% of games. The bigger uncertainty is the visitors’ finishing, as they have failed to score in 47% of matches, while Monagas keep a clean sheet in 20%. In their last five games, the hosts conceded just 0.6 goals per match, while the visitors averaged 1.0 goal scored, increasing the risk that Estudiantes will fail to find the net. Although the visitors’ average xG over their last five matches is 1.89, supporting their chances of scoring, Estudiantes’ season BTTS rate of 40% makes it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score (BTTS - No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 80% of Monagas matches and 87% of Estudiantes Mérida fixtures. In the teams’ last 5 matches, at least 3 goals were scored in only 20% of cases, while Monagas conceded an average of 0.6 goals over that period. The hosts average 1.42 xG, compared with 1.60 xG conceded by the visitors, giving them a chance to score but not clearly pointing to a very high-scoring game. Estudiantes average 1.0 goal and have failed to score in 47% of their matches, so their contribution to the total could be limited. A forecast of 1.45 goals for Monagas and 0.95 for Estudiantes, or 2.40 in total, supports Under 3.5 goals more convincingly than picking a side on the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for Monagas to lead at the break comes from the last five matches: the hosts led at half-time three times, while Estudiantes Mérida did not do so once. Over this period, Monagas averaged 0.8 goals before the break, while the visitors conceded 0.8 and scored just 0.2 themselves. The hosts’ season-long scoring rate after half-time supports them holding their lead: they average 0.87 goals after the break, compared with 0.4 for the visitors, and Estudiantes have lost 60% of all their matches. Monagas have also won three of their last five matches, compared with one win for their opponents, so I predict the hosts to lead both at half-time and at full-time. The risk of a half-time draw remains significant, as Monagas have drawn at the break in 67% of their matches this season.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Monagas | Estudiantes Mérida | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Monagas is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Monagas · 1 pts / game - Estudiantes Mérida
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes Mérida is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.08 goals / game - Monagas · 1.17 goals / game - Estudiantes Mérida
Estudiantes Mérida is 15% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.46 goals / game - Monagas · 1.27 goals / game - Estudiantes Mérida
Monagas scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 games), while Estudiantes Mérida keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 games).
Estudiantes Mérida scores in 67% of games (20 of 30 games), while Monagas keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monagas
Over / Under - Estudiantes Mérida
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Estudiantes Mérida is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / game - Monagas · 1.13 pts / game - Estudiantes Mérida
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monagas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Estudiantes Mérida - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Monagas
Estudiantes Mérida
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Monagas | Liga | Estudiantes Mérida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.54 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | • 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Monagas's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Estudiantes Mérida. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Monagas vs Estudiantes Mérida?
The Primera División match finished Monagas 2:1 Estudiantes Mérida. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Monagas and Estudiantes Mérida?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Monagas won 1, Estudiantes Mérida won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Monagas vs Estudiantes Mérida?
Monagas score 1.08 goals per game on average and Estudiantes Mérida 1.17. The Primera División average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Monagas's matches and 50% of Estudiantes Mérida's.
What form are Monagas and Estudiantes Mérida in?
Over the last 5 games Monagas have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Estudiantes Mérida 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monagas vs Estudiantes Mérida?
The statistical background for Monagas vs Estudiantes Mérida — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.