Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion: match statistics
Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Monterey Bay played against Birmingham Legion in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on May 24, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Monterey Bay has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Birmingham Legion has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Monterey Bay scores 0.56 goals per game and allows 2.00. Birmingham Legion scores 1.25 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Monterey Bay's games and 50% of Birmingham Legion's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 50%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Birmingham Legion has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.08 per game. Monterey Bay takes 9.0 shots per game, while Birmingham Legion takes 12.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Monterey Bay leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Birmingham Legion leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Monterey Bay's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Birmingham Legion, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.74 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Birmingham Legion win; the visitors average 2.33 goals on the road while Monterey Bay scores just 0.25 goals per home game. Birmingham averages 5 shots on target and 10.67 total shots away versus the hosts' 2.25 on target and 9.75 total, with a conversion rate of 22% versus 3%, giving the visitors a clear advantage in finishing quality. Monterey have 0 wins this season, 7 losses, and in their last 5 matches have recorded 4 defeats and 1 draw, conceding 14 goals (2.8 per game) and averaging 0.2 points per game in that period; additionally, in 75% of home matches they fail to score. Birmingham are unbeaten in their last 5 (1 win, 4 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 4 in that span and averaging 1.4 points per game, with 0% of away matches without a goal. Considering the efficiency gap (2.33 vs 0.25 goals, conversion 22% vs 3%), recent form (points average 1.4 vs 0.2) and shots on target (5 vs 2.25), I estimate probabilities: home 10%, draw 25%, away 65%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'YES' (BTTS) because Birmingham have a 100% BTTS rate away this season and 0% clean sheets, averaging 2.33 goals scored on the road. Monterey Bay have BTTS 100% in their last 5 matches (5/5), scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.8 goals per game, highlighting recent defensive vulnerability at the hosts. Birmingham average 5.0 shots on target and have a 22% conversion rate, with season xG for 1.32 versus xG against 2.12, which indicates they create chances but are also exposed to conceding. Seasonally Monterey at home average only 0.6 goals and have 60% clean sheets, but this trend conflicts with recent data (5/5 BTTS at home) and the league BTTS average of 56%. Considering the dominant away BTTS signal from Birmingham (100% away) and Monterey’s poor recent defensive figures (2.8 conceded in L5), I estimate BTTS probability at ~72% vs 28% and pick 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining attacking and defensive strengths projects expected goals of approximately 1.76 for Monterey Bay (attacking xG 1.40 vs opponent defensive xG against 2.12) and 1.21 for Birmingham (attacking xG 1.32 vs opponent defensive xG against 1.11), yielding a combined ~2.97 goals. Birmingham averages 2.33 goals per game this season compared to Monterey Bay’s 0.60 and has 100% of matches Over 2.5 and 100% BTTS, which significantly increases scoring probability. Monterey generates more shots (13.2 vs 10.67) but has a low conversion rate of 5% versus Birmingham’s 22%; additionally Monterey have conceded 14 goals in their last 5 matches (2.8 per game) compared to Birmingham’s 4 goals (0.8). The model produces probabilities of Over 1.5 ≈ 80%, Over 2.5 ≈ 57% and Over 3.5 ≈ 35%, therefore the strongest and most reliable signal is the Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I forecast a Half-Time draw and a Birmingham Legion win at Full-Time (X/2). Monterey Bay draw at the break in 60% of matches, while Birmingham do so in 67%, providing a strong signal for a draw in the first half. After the break the visitors are favored: Birmingham average 2.33 goals per match versus Monterey’s 0.6, register 5.0 shots on target vs 3.0 and convert 22% of shots compared to the home side’s 5%, so they are clearly more efficient. Additionally, the average goals after the break are 2.33 for the visitors versus 0.8 for the hosts (AVG_2hg_away 2.33 vs AVG_2hg_home 0.8), and Birmingham score 3 goals in minutes 46–60 while Monterey have 0 in that period; form also confirms the visitors’ edge (Monterey last 5: l d l l l — 0% wins; Birmingham last 5: d d w d d — 20% wins).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Monterey Bay | Birmingham Legion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 22% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Birmingham Legion is 800% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Monterey Bay · 1.8 pts / game - Birmingham Legion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Birmingham Legion is 123% better for: goals scored per game.
0.56 goals / game - Monterey Bay · 1.25 goals / game - Birmingham Legion
Birmingham Legion is 77% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Monterey Bay · 1.13 goals / game - Birmingham Legion
Monterey Bay scores in 56% of games (5 of 9 meczów), while Birmingham Legion keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 meczów).
Birmingham Legion scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 meczów), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monterey Bay
Over / Under - Birmingham Legion
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Birmingham Legion is 124% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / game - Monterey Bay · 1.75 pts / game - Birmingham Legion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monterey Bay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Birmingham Legion - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Monterey Bay
Birmingham Legion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Monterey Bay | Liga | Birmingham Legion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.56 | 2.74 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Monterey Bay's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Birmingham Legion. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion?
The USL Championship match finished Monterey Bay 2:0 Birmingham Legion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion?
Monterey Bay score 0.56 goals per game on average and Birmingham Legion 1.25. The USL Championship average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Monterey Bay's matches and 50% of Birmingham Legion's.
What form are Monterey Bay and Birmingham Legion in?
Over the last 5 games Monterey Bay have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Birmingham Legion 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.