United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of October 21, 2026

Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Monterey Bay plays Las Vegas Lights in USL Championship (United States). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026.

Recent form

Monterey Bay has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Las Vegas Lights has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Monterey Bay scores 1.03 goals per game and allows 1.76. Las Vegas Lights scores 1.38 and allows 1.59. Games in this league average 2.71 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 62% of Monterey Bay's games and 66% of Las Vegas Lights's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 52%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Las Vegas Lights has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.29 per game. Monterey Bay takes 10.6 shots per game, while Las Vegas Lights takes 12.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Monterey Bay leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.66 goals per game after halftime. Las Vegas Lights leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.72 after halftime.

When the teams score

Monterey Bay's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Las Vegas Lights, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

USL Championship games average 2.71 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.50)
(3.48)
(2.32)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
1.03Goals scored / game1.38
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
1.76Goals allowed / game1.59
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
51%Average possession53%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
3.38Shots on target / game3.79
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.62Shots per game12.03
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
3.38Shots on target3.79
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
9.7%Shot conversion11.5%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
51%Possession53%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
1.29xG for1.42
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
1.6xG against1.39
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

Shooting quality

Monterey Bay: BalancedLas Vegas Lights: Balanced
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
Accuracy (shots on target)32%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Las Vegas Lights is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Monterey Bay · 0.8 pts / game - Las Vegas Lights

Monterey Bay
LLWLL
Season result split
17% W21% D62% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-18
0.72 pts / game · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-7
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
LDDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Las Vegas Lights
DLWLL
Season result split
34% W21% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-13
1.24 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-8
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Las Vegas Lights is 34% better for: goals scored per game.

1.03 goals / game - Monterey Bay · 1.38 goals / game - Las Vegas Lights

Las Vegas Lights is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.76 goals / game - Monterey Bay · 1.59 goals / game - Las Vegas Lights

Monterey Bay scoring profile: strong

Monterey Bay scores in 69% of games (20 of 29 games), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 games).

Las Vegas Lights scoring profile: very strong

Las Vegas Lights scores in 86% of games (25 of 29 games), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 games).

30Goals scored (season)40
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
51Goals conceded (season)46
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
2.79Average goals per game2.97
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
5Goals scored (last 5)9
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
9Goals conceded (last 5)12
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal86%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
28%2 goals48%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
3%3 goals3%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
3%4 goals0%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal72%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
45%2 goals45%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
34%3 goals31%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
7%4 goals7%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time38%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
10%BTTS in both halves17%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
17%Scored in both halves28%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
60%BTTS - last 580%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Las Vegas Lights is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.93 pts / game - Monterey Bay · 1.21 pts / game - Las Vegas Lights

Monterey Bay - half-time state
14% leading52% draw34% trailing
Las Vegas Lights - half-time state
24% leading48% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.93Points per game (1st half)1.21
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.66
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
0.66Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.45
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
48%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
69%No goal before half-time41%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

After half-time (2nd half)

0.83Points per game (2nd half)1.21
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
0.66Goals scored (2nd half)0.72
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
1.1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.52
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
28%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
45%No goal after half-time45%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

Monterey Bay - second-half results

17% W31% D52% L
27
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Las Vegas Lights - second-half results

28% W38% D34% L
35
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Monterey Bay - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Las Vegas Lights - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game1.41.0
Average goals per game2.22.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Monterey Bay
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
4
10
16-30
3
4
31-45
6
12
46-60
4
8
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Las Vegas Lights
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
4
7
16-30
9
11
31-45
6
10
46-60
6
5
61-75
9
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-37%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Monterey Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Las Vegas Lights

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Monterey BayLigaLas Vegas Lights
Average goals per game• 2.792.71▲ 2.97
Both teams scored▲ 62%54%▲ 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 52%49%▲ 52%
Clean sheets▼ 14%28%• 28%
Goal before half-time• 66%66%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%77%▼ 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Monterey Bay's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses against Las Vegas Lights. Games average 1.80 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.

Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0
Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay FC
1 : 1
Las Vegas Lights FC
Las Vegas Lights FC
2 : 0
Monterey Bay FC
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 0
Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay
3 : 1
Las Vegas Lights

FAQ

When do Monterey Bay and Las Vegas Lights play?

Monterey Bay face Las Vegas Lights on October 25, 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Monterey Bay and Las Vegas Lights?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 1, Las Vegas Lights won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?

Monterey Bay score 1.03 goals per game on average and Las Vegas Lights 1.38. The USL Championship average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Monterey Bay's matches and 66% of Las Vegas Lights's.

What form are Monterey Bay and Las Vegas Lights in?

Over the last 5 games Monterey Bay have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Las Vegas Lights 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?

The statistical background for Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.