Mexico - Liga MXEstadio BBVA BancomerData current as of October 21, 2026

Monterrey vs Guadalajara: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Monterrey vs Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Monterrey plays Guadalajara in Liga MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Estadio BBVA Bancomer.

Recent form

Monterrey has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Guadalajara has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Monterrey scores 1.73 goals per game and allows 1.45. Guadalajara scores 1.58 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 3.00 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of Monterrey's games and 50% of Guadalajara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 33%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Guadalajara has the higher season xG average, 1.83 to 1.81 per game. Monterrey takes 16.4 shots per game, while Guadalajara takes 15.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Monterrey leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Guadalajara leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.83 after halftime.

When the teams score

Monterrey's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). For Guadalajara, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Liga MX games average 3.00 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.46)
(3.55)
(2.55)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

MonterreyGuadalajara
1.73Goals scored / game1.58
MonterreyGuadalajara
1.45Goals allowed / game1
MonterreyGuadalajara
55%Average possession60%
MonterreyGuadalajara
5.91Shots on target / game5.67
MonterreyGuadalajara

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.45Shots per game15.67
MonterreyGuadalajara
5.91Shots on target5.67
MonterreyGuadalajara
10.5%Shot conversion10.1%
MonterreyGuadalajara
55%Possession60%
MonterreyGuadalajara
1.81xG for1.83
MonterreyGuadalajara
1.24xG against1.26
MonterreyGuadalajara

Shooting quality

Monterrey: DominantGuadalajara: Dominant
MonterreyGuadalajara
Accuracy (shots on target)36%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Monterrey is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Monterrey · 1.2 pts / game - Guadalajara

Monterrey
DWLDW
Season result split
45% W18% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-4
1.55 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Guadalajara
WDLDD
Season result split
42% W42% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-2
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-0
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WDWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Monterrey is 9% better for: goals scored per game.

1.73 goals / game - Monterrey · 1.58 goals / game - Guadalajara

Guadalajara is 45% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.45 goals / game - Monterrey · 1 goals / game - Guadalajara

Monterrey scoring profile: very strong

Monterrey scores in 82% of games (9 of 11 games), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 games).

Guadalajara scoring profile: very strong

Guadalajara scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 games), while Monterrey keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 games).

19Goals scored (season)19
MonterreyGuadalajara
16Goals conceded (season)12
MonterreyGuadalajara
3.18Average goals per game2.58
MonterreyGuadalajara
6Goals scored (last 5)7
MonterreyGuadalajara
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
MonterreyGuadalajara

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal83%
MonterreyGuadalajara
45%2 goals33%
MonterreyGuadalajara
18%3 goals25%
MonterreyGuadalajara
9%4 goals8%
MonterreyGuadalajara

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal67%
MonterreyGuadalajara
45%2 goals33%
MonterreyGuadalajara
18%3 goals0%
MonterreyGuadalajara
9%4 goals0%
MonterreyGuadalajara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time0%
MonterreyGuadalajara
9%BTTS in both halves0%
MonterreyGuadalajara
27%Scored in both halves25%
MonterreyGuadalajara

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
MonterreyGuadalajara
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
MonterreyGuadalajara
60%BTTS - last 560%
MonterreyGuadalajara

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
MonterreyGuadalajara
55%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
MonterreyGuadalajara
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
MonterreyGuadalajara

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
MonterreyGuadalajara
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
MonterreyGuadalajara
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
MonterreyGuadalajara

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Monterrey is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.73 pts / game - Monterrey · 1.5 pts / game - Guadalajara

Monterrey - half-time state
45% leading36% draw18% trailing
Guadalajara - half-time state
42% leading25% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.73Points per game (1st half)1.5
MonterreyGuadalajara
1.18Goals scored (1st half)0.75
MonterreyGuadalajara
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
MonterreyGuadalajara
1.82Average goals (1st half)1.08
MonterreyGuadalajara
45%Clean sheet before half-time67%
MonterreyGuadalajara
36%No goal before half-time58%
MonterreyGuadalajara

After half-time (2nd half)

0.91Points per game (2nd half)1.67
MonterreyGuadalajara
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
MonterreyGuadalajara
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
MonterreyGuadalajara
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.5
MonterreyGuadalajara
45%Clean sheet after half-time50%
MonterreyGuadalajara
55%No goal after half-time33%
MonterreyGuadalajara

Monterrey - second-half results

18% W36% D45% L
19
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Guadalajara - second-half results

50% W17% D33% L
18
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Monterrey - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.60
Goals scored / game1.00.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.41.0
1 goal80%40%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Guadalajara - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.40
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.01.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Monterrey
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
7
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
0
2
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Guadalajara
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
4
5
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+91%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Monterrey

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Guadalajara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

MonterreyLigaGuadalajara
Average goals per game▲ 3.183.00▼ 2.58
Both teams scored▲ 64%60%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 55%53%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 27%23%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%70%▲ 75%
Goal after half-time▼ 73%85%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / game
1.40
Away goals / game
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Monterrey's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Guadalajara. Games average 5.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

CF Monterrey
2 : 3
CD Guadalajara
CD Guadalajara
4 : 2
CF Monterrey

FAQ

When do Monterrey and Guadalajara play?

Monterrey face Guadalajara on October 25, 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio BBVA Bancomer. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Monterrey and Guadalajara?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Monterrey won 0, Guadalajara won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Monterrey vs Guadalajara?

Monterrey score 1.73 goals per game on average and Guadalajara 1.58. The Liga MX average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Monterrey's matches and 50% of Guadalajara's.

What form are Monterrey and Guadalajara in?

Over the last 5 games Monterrey have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Guadalajara 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monterrey vs Guadalajara?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.