Montpellier vs Pau: match statistics
Montpellier vs Pau: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Montpellier played against Pau in Ligue 2 (France). The game was played on September 11, 2026. Venue: Stade de la Mosson. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Montpellier has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Pau has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Montpellier scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 0.80. Pau scores 0.80 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Montpellier's games and 40% of Pau's. The Over 2.5 rates are 20% and 20%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Montpellier has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.43 per game. Montpellier takes 13.8 shots per game, while Pau takes 14.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Montpellier leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Pau leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.20 after halftime.
When the teams score
Montpellier's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). For Pau, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 2 games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Montpellier sit higher in the table, in 5th place compared with Pau in 10th, and have collected 8 points from their last five matches, while the visitors have taken only 5. At home, Montpellier create significantly more chances: averaging 20 shots, 6 on target and an xG of 2.07, compared with Pau’s away figures of 10 shots, 2.5 on target and an xG of 0.98. Montpellier’s main issue, however, is their finishing, as despite creating chances of this quality, they score just 0.5 goals per home match and have failed to score in 50% of their games. Pau average 1.5 goals away from home and have not failed to score in any away fixture, but Montpellier concede just 0.5 goals per match in front of their home supporters. Neither team has lost yet in their respective home and away matches, while 100% of Montpellier’s home games have ended in draws, making a share of the points the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for BTTS - No is driven primarily by Montpellier’s very poor home finishing: the team averages just 0.33 goals despite registering 17 shots per match. The hosts have failed to score in 67% of their games, while their season BTTS rate is only 33%, well below the league average of 56%. Pau have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their away matches and concede just 1.0 goal on average, strengthening the scenario in which Montpellier fail to score. Although Montpellier create chances worth 1.73 xG, their shot conversion rate is only 2%, while BTTS landed in just 40% of the teams’ last five matches. Pau should have opportunities to score against an opponent unlikely to keep a clean sheet, but it is more likely that at least one side will end the match without scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals, as both Montpellier and Pau exceeded 2.5 goals in only 20% of their last five matches. During this period, both teams averaged 0.8 goals scored per game, while Montpellier conceded 0.8 and Pau conceded an average of 1.0. The hosts have greater potential according to the underlying data, with average xG of 1.73 compared to Pau’s 0.98; however, Montpellier have converted only 2% of their shots so far and scored just 0.33 goals per home game. Pau kept a clean sheet in 50% of their away matches, further reducing the risk of a high-scoring game. The projected total of 2.19 goals remains clearly below the four-goal threshold, which is why Under 3.5 offers the strongest edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Montpellier win at full-time, as the hosts have been level at the break in 100% of their last five matches, scoring just 0.2 goals per game in the first half. Pau have more often managed to take the lead before half-time, doing so in 40% of their last five matches, but away from home they average only 0.6 goals in the opening period, while Montpellier concede an average of just 0.2. After the break, the hosts have looked significantly stronger in their current form: they score an average of 0.6 goals, compared with Pau’s 0.2, while the visitors have failed to score after half-time in 80% of their last five appearances. Montpellier also hold an advantage in the quality of chances created, with an xG of 1.73 compared with Pau’s 0.98, and average 17 shots to their opponents’ 10. Although Pau have the better overall season record, Montpellier’s recent form includes a 40% win rate and only a 20% defeat rate, making a cautious start followed by a second-half turnaround in Montpellier’s favor the most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Montpellier | Pau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Montpellier is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Montpellier · 1 pts / game - Pau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Montpellier is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.8 goals / game - Montpellier · 1 goals / game - Pau
Montpellier scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Pau keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).
Pau scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 games), while Montpellier keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montpellier
Over / Under - Pau
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pau is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Montpellier · 1.6 pts / game - Pau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montpellier - second-half results
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Pau - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Montpellier
Pau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Montpellier | Liga | Pau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.60 | 2.56 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 44% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 29% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 20% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Montpellier's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Pau. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Montpellier vs Pau?
The Ligue 2 match finished Montpellier 1:0 Pau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Montpellier and Pau?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 0, Pau won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Montpellier vs Pau?
Montpellier score 0.80 goals per game on average and Pau 0.80. The Ligue 2 average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Montpellier's matches and 40% of Pau's.
What form are Montpellier and Pau in?
Over the last 5 games Montpellier have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Pau 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montpellier vs Pau?
The statistical background for Montpellier vs Pau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


