France - Ligue 2Stade de la MossonData current as of October 22, 2026

Montpellier vs Pau: match statistics

Montpellier crest
Montpellier
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Pau crest
Pau

Montpellier vs Pau: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Montpellier played against Pau in Ligue 2 (France). The game was played on September 11, 2026. Venue: Stade de la Mosson. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Montpellier has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Pau has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Montpellier scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 0.80. Pau scores 0.80 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Montpellier's games and 40% of Pau's. The Over 2.5 rates are 20% and 20%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Montpellier has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.43 per game. Montpellier takes 13.8 shots per game, while Pau takes 14.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Montpellier leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Pau leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.20 after halftime.

When the teams score

Montpellier's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). For Pau, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ligue 2 games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Montpellier sit higher in the table, in 5th place compared with Pau in 10th, and have collected 8 points from their last five matches, while the visitors have taken only 5. At home, Montpellier create significantly more chances: averaging 20 shots, 6 on target and an xG of 2.07, compared with Pau’s away figures of 10 shots, 2.5 on target and an xG of 0.98. Montpellier’s main issue, however, is their finishing, as despite creating chances of this quality, they score just 0.5 goals per home match and have failed to score in 50% of their games. Pau average 1.5 goals away from home and have not failed to score in any away fixture, but Montpellier concede just 0.5 goals per match in front of their home supporters. Neither team has lost yet in their respective home and away matches, while 100% of Montpellier’s home games have ended in draws, making a share of the points the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The signal for BTTS - No is driven primarily by Montpellier’s very poor home finishing: the team averages just 0.33 goals despite registering 17 shots per match. The hosts have failed to score in 67% of their games, while their season BTTS rate is only 33%, well below the league average of 56%. Pau have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their away matches and concede just 1.0 goal on average, strengthening the scenario in which Montpellier fail to score. Although Montpellier create chances worth 1.73 xG, their shot conversion rate is only 2%, while BTTS landed in just 40% of the teams’ last five matches. Pau should have opportunities to score against an opponent unlikely to keep a clean sheet, but it is more likely that at least one side will end the match without scoring.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals, as both Montpellier and Pau exceeded 2.5 goals in only 20% of their last five matches. During this period, both teams averaged 0.8 goals scored per game, while Montpellier conceded 0.8 and Pau conceded an average of 1.0. The hosts have greater potential according to the underlying data, with average xG of 1.73 compared to Pau’s 0.98; however, Montpellier have converted only 2% of their shots so far and scored just 0.33 goals per home game. Pau kept a clean sheet in 50% of their away matches, further reducing the risk of a high-scoring game. The projected total of 2.19 goals remains clearly below the four-goal threshold, which is why Under 3.5 offers the strongest edge.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Montpellier win at full-time, as the hosts have been level at the break in 100% of their last five matches, scoring just 0.2 goals per game in the first half. Pau have more often managed to take the lead before half-time, doing so in 40% of their last five matches, but away from home they average only 0.6 goals in the opening period, while Montpellier concede an average of just 0.2. After the break, the hosts have looked significantly stronger in their current form: they score an average of 0.6 goals, compared with Pau’s 0.2, while the visitors have failed to score after half-time in 80% of their last five appearances. Montpellier also hold an advantage in the quality of chances created, with an xG of 1.73 compared with Pau’s 0.98, and average 17 shots to their opponents’ 10. Although Pau have the better overall season record, Montpellier’s recent form includes a 40% win rate and only a 20% defeat rate, making a cautious start followed by a second-half turnaround in Montpellier’s favor the most likely outcome.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

74Possession (%)26
MontpellierPau
12Shots11
MontpellierPau
4Shots on target2
MontpellierPau
1.45xG0.95
MontpellierPau
6Corners3
MontpellierPau
53Dangerous attacks17
MontpellierPau
13Fouls17
MontpellierPau
2Cards3
MontpellierPau

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.8Goals scored / game0.8
MontpellierPau
0.8Goals allowed / game1
MontpellierPau
53%Average possession50%
MontpellierPau
4.8Shots on target / game3.2
MontpellierPau

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.8Shots per game14.2
MontpellierPau
4.8Shots on target3.2
MontpellierPau
5.8%Shot conversion5.6%
MontpellierPau
53%Possession50%
MontpellierPau
1.51xG for1.43
MontpellierPau
1.54xG against1.35
MontpellierPau

Shooting quality

Montpellier: BalancedPau: Attacking
MontpellierPau
Accuracy (shots on target)35%23%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.170.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Montpellier is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Montpellier · 1 pts / game - Pau

Montpellier
DWWDL
Season result split
40% W40% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 at home
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Pau
LWLDD
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Montpellier is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.8 goals / game - Montpellier · 1 goals / game - Pau

Montpellier scoring profile: very strong

Montpellier scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Pau keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).

Pau scoring profile: mixed

Pau scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 games), while Montpellier keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 games).

4Goals scored (season)4
MontpellierPau
4Goals conceded (season)5
MontpellierPau
1.6Average goals per game1.8
MontpellierPau
4Goals scored (last 5)4
MontpellierPau
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
MontpellierPau

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal60%
MontpellierPau
0%2 goals20%
MontpellierPau
0%3 goals0%
MontpellierPau
0%4 goals0%
MontpellierPau

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal80%
MontpellierPau
20%2 goals20%
MontpellierPau
20%3 goals0%
MontpellierPau
0%4 goals0%
MontpellierPau

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
MontpellierPau
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MontpellierPau
0%Scored in both halves0%
MontpellierPau

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
MontpellierPau
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MontpellierPau
40%BTTS - last 540%
MontpellierPau

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

20%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
MontpellierPau
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
MontpellierPau
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
MontpellierPau

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
MontpellierPau
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
MontpellierPau
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
MontpellierPau

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Pau is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Montpellier · 1.6 pts / game - Pau

Montpellier - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Pau - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.6
MontpellierPau
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.6
MontpellierPau
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
MontpellierPau
0.4Average goals (1st half)1
MontpellierPau
80%Clean sheet before half-time60%
MontpellierPau
80%No goal before half-time60%
MontpellierPau

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per game (2nd half)0.8
MontpellierPau
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.2
MontpellierPau
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
MontpellierPau
1.2Average goals (2nd half)0.8
MontpellierPau
60%Clean sheet after half-time40%
MontpellierPau
40%No goal after half-time80%
MontpellierPau

Montpellier - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Pau - second-half results

20% W20% D60% L
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Montpellier - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.60
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.41.2
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Pau - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.80
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.00.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Montpellier
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Pau
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.70
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
66%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-71%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Montpellier

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.71
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.74
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Pau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).

Teams vs league

MontpellierLigaPau
Average goals per game▼ 1.602.56▼ 1.80
Both teams scored▼ 40%56%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 20%44%▼ 20%
Clean sheets▲ 60%29%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 20%58%▲ 60%
Goal after half-time▲ 80%78%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defensive advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PauYellow cardAbdel Hakim Abdallah
  2. MontpellierYellow cardJulien Laporte
  3. PauYellow cardCheikh Fall
  4. PauSubstitutionOn: Jeremy SebasOff: Babacar Leye
  5. PauSubstitutionOn: Luan GadegbekuOff: Lorenzo Rajot
  6. MontpellierGoalThéo Sainte-LuceAssist: Florian Tardieu
  7. MontpellierSubstitutionOn: Hichem AbderrebiOff: Yael Mouanga
  8. MontpellierYellow cardHichem Abderrebi
  9. PauYellow cardLuan Gadegbeku

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Montpellier's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Pau. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Montpellier vs Pau?

The Ligue 2 match finished Montpellier 1:0 Pau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Montpellier and Pau?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 0, Pau won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Montpellier vs Pau?

Montpellier score 0.80 goals per game on average and Pau 0.80. The Ligue 2 average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Montpellier's matches and 40% of Pau's.

What form are Montpellier and Pau in?

Over the last 5 games Montpellier have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Pau 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montpellier vs Pau?

The statistical background for Montpellier vs Pau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.