Montreal Impact vs New York City: match statistics
Montreal Impact vs New York City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Montreal Impact played against New York City in MLS (United States). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Montreal Impact has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. New York City has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Montreal Impact scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 2.50. New York City scores 2.11 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 3.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Montreal Impact's games and 78% of New York City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 67%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
New York City has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.27 per game. Montreal Impact takes 11.4 shots per game, while New York City takes 13.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Montreal Impact leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. New York City leads at halftime in 44% and scores 1.11 after halftime.
When the teams score
Montreal Impact's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For New York City, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.24 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win due to Montreal’s strong home efficiency: Montreal scores an average of 2.5 goals per home match and has not failed to score in any home game (0% goalless matches), while New York City averages 1.0 goals away and has 33% of away matches without scoring. The hosts register on average 5 shots on target with a 31% conversion rate in home matches, whereas the visitors average 4 shots on target with only a 9% conversion rate on the road. The visitors, however, control possession more (58% vs 41%) and have a higher average away xG (1.36 vs 1.07), indicating NYC creates higher-quality chances that do not translate directly into goals. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities recently — Montreal conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 per game), and NYC conceded 11 (2.2) — so I expect a goalscoring game, with a slight lean toward Montreal to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The 'both teams to score' scenario is favored by the stats: Montreal has a season BTTS of 83%, New York City 67%, averaging 75% — well above the league average of 57%. In the last 5 matches BTTS stands at 80% and both teams have conceded heavily: Montreal conceded an average of 2.4 goals, NYC 2.2 goals. Montreal attacks strongly — season goals per game 2.67, xG for 1.73, 6.83 shots on target and a high conversion rate of 18% — while NYC has xG against 1.9 and a season clean sheet percentage of 0%. Formally NYC’s season goals per game is 1.0 with a low conversion of 9%, but in the last 5 matches they scored an average of 2.2 goals, maintaining a high likelihood of an answering goal. Given the combination of season BTTS (75%), 80% in the last 5 matches and NYC’s defensive vulnerabilities (1.9 xG against, 0% clean sheets), I assign 80% probability to BTTS - Yes and 20% to No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.82 expected goals for Montreal and 1.27 for New York City, totaling 3.09 goals. Season data confirm Montreal’s offensive profile: they score 2.67 goals per home game on average and have 83% of matches over 2.5 goals, while New York City averages 1.00 goal away and has 33% of matches over 2.5 this season. Using average xG of attack and defense I obtain 1.82 for the home side (xG_for_home 1.73 vs xG_against_away 1.90) and 1.27 for the visitors (xG_for_away 1.36 vs xG_against_home 1.18), which aligns with a total projection above 3.0 goals. Both teams have 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season, so over 1.5 is the strongest signal (I estimate 98%); I rate over 2.5 at about 72% given the 3.09 goal projection and recent form (last 5: Montreal over2.5 100%, New York 60%). At the 3.5 line I see an edge for the under (approx. 70%), because only Montreal has a season 67% over3.5 while New York City has 0%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Montreal has a clear advantage in the first half: the home side average 1.33 goals at the break versus 0.33 for New York City and led at half-time in 3 of their 6 matches so far (50%), while the visitors have been trailing at the break in 67% of their games. In chance creation Montreal posts a better xG (1.73 vs 1.36), lower xG against (1.18 vs 1.90), more shots (15.17 vs 11.0) and more shots on target (6.83 vs 4.0) and a higher conversion rate (18% vs 9%), which increases their likelihood to lead at the break and to hold the result. Over the full 90 minutes the hosts average 2.67 goals versus 1.0 for the visitors, and Montreal’s high share of both-teams-to-score matches (BTTS 83%) suggests goal exchanges but with the hosts having the edge. Combining these figures (HT 1.33–0.33, xG 1.73–1.36, more shots on target and higher conversion) I consider Montreal leading at half-time and the home team winning after 90 minutes the most likely outcome. Therefore I pick 1/1 as the strongest signal; alternatives are X/1 or X/X, but they are less probable.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Montreal Impact | New York City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Montreal Impact is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Montreal Impact · 0.4 pts / game - New York City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York City is 41% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Montreal Impact · 2.11 goals / game - New York City
New York City is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.5 goals / game - Montreal Impact · 1.67 goals / game - New York City
Montreal Impact scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 meczów), while New York City keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 meczów).
New York City scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 meczów), while Montreal Impact keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montreal Impact
Over / Under - New York City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York City is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Montreal Impact · 1.67 pts / game - New York City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montreal Impact - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
New York City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Montreal Impact
New York City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Montreal Impact | Liga | New York City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.00 | 3.24 | ▲ 3.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 64% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 24% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Montreal Impact vs New York City?
The MLS match finished Montreal Impact 1:0 New York City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Montreal Impact vs New York City?
Montreal Impact score 1.50 goals per game on average and New York City 2.11. The MLS average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Montreal Impact's matches and 78% of New York City's.
What form are Montreal Impact and New York City in?
Over the last 5 games Montreal Impact have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and New York City 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montreal Impact vs New York City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Montreal Impact vs New York City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.