Scotland - League OneData current as of September 13, 2026

Montrose vs Queen of the South: match statistics

Montrose crest
Montrose
3 : 2half-time 2:0
Queen of the South crest
Queen of the South
130%(3.00)
X25%(3.30)
245%(2.06)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 2Lost
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.44.15
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favorable long term.-7.30%

Queen of the South displays clearly better form with 1.6 points per game in their last five matches, while Montrose manages only 1.0 point. The hosts sit in 8th place in the table with a home record of 7-6-11 and a goal difference of -7, conceding an average of 1.73 goals per match. Queen of the South holds the 5th position and, despite playing away, shows better shooting accuracy (3.75 shots on target per game vs 2.55 for the hosts) and an advantage in possession (51% vs 49%). Montrose are without a win in two matches and have just a 36% home win rate, which combined with a 45% loss rate makes them the weaker favorite. Considering all parameters, especially recent form and offensive quality, Queen of the South has a higher chance of securing three points.

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Montrose vs Queen of the South: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Montrose played against Queen of the South in League One (Scotland). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 3:2.

Recent form

Montrose has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Queen of the South has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Montrose scores 1.21 goals per game and allows 1.75. Queen of the South scores 1.56 and allows 1.24. Games in this league average 2.64 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 54% of Montrose's games and 48% of Queen of the South's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 52%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Queen of the South has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.11 per game. Montrose takes 8.6 shots per game, while Queen of the South takes 10.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Montrose leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Queen of the South leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.96 after halftime.

When the teams score

Montrose's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Queen of the South, it is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.64 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Queen of the South displays clearly better form with 1.6 points per game in their last five matches, while Montrose manages only 1.0 point. The hosts sit in 8th place in the table with a home record of 7-6-11 and a goal difference of -7, conceding an average of 1.73 goals per match. Queen of the South holds the 5th position and, despite playing away, shows better shooting accuracy (3.75 shots on target per game vs 2.55 for the hosts) and an advantage in possession (51% vs 49%). Montrose are without a win in two matches and have just a 36% home win rate, which combined with a 45% loss rate makes them the weaker favorite. Considering all parameters, especially recent form and offensive quality, Queen of the South has a higher chance of securing three points.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

2 : 0
First half
1 : 2
Second half

Game stats

50Possession (%)50
MontroseQueen of the South
6Shots16
MontroseQueen of the South
4Shots on target6
MontroseQueen of the South
0.78xG1.61
MontroseQueen of the South
3Corners5
MontroseQueen of the South
16Dangerous attacks26
MontroseQueen of the South
10Fouls12
MontroseQueen of the South
0Cards3
MontroseQueen of the South

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.13Points per gamePPG - points per game.1.56
MontroseQueen of the South
1.21Goals scored / game1.56
MontroseQueen of the South
1.75Goals allowed / game1.24
MontroseQueen of the South
1.11xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.37
MontroseQueen of the South
49%Average possession52%
MontroseQueen of the South
3.38Shots on target / game4.76
MontroseQueen of the South
17%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.32%
MontroseQueen of the South
54%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.48%
MontroseQueen of the South

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.58Shots per game10.92
MontroseQueen of the South
3.38Shots on target4.76
MontroseQueen of the South
14.1%Shot conversion14.3%
MontroseQueen of the South
49%Possession52%
MontroseQueen of the South
1.11xG for1.37
MontroseQueen of the South
1.4xG against1.33
MontroseQueen of the South

Shooting quality

Montrose: Efficient finishingQueen of the South: Efficient finishing
MontroseQueen of the South
Accuracy (shots on target)39%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Queen of the South is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Montrose · 1.6 pts / game - Queen of the South

Montrose
LWDDL
Season result split
29% W25% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-11
1.13 pts / game · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-5
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LDWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Queen of the South
WWDDL
Season result split
44% W24% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-8
1.56 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Queen of the South is 29% better for: goals scored per game.

1.21 goals / game - Montrose · 1.56 goals / game - Queen of the South

Queen of the South is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.75 goals / game - Montrose · 1.24 goals / game - Queen of the South

Montrose scoring profile: strong

Montrose scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 meczów).

Queen of the South scoring profile: very strong

Queen of the South scores in 76% of games (19 of 25 meczów), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).

29Goals scored (season)39
MontroseQueen of the South
42Goals conceded (season)31
MontroseQueen of the South
2.96Average goals per game2.8
MontroseQueen of the South
8Goals scored (last 5)12
MontroseQueen of the South
12Goals conceded (last 5)7
MontroseQueen of the South
Montrose
17%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.4 of 24 meczów
29%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.7 of 24 meczów
Queen of the South
32%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.8 of 25 meczów
24%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.6 of 25 meczów

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal76%
MontroseQueen of the South
33%2 goals40%
MontroseQueen of the South
17%3 goals24%
MontroseQueen of the South
0%4 goals12%
MontroseQueen of the South

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal68%
MontroseQueen of the South
50%2 goals36%
MontroseQueen of the South
29%3 goals12%
MontroseQueen of the South
13%4 goals8%
MontroseQueen of the South

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

54%
Montrose - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 24 meczów
48%
Queen of the South - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 25 meczów
46%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time8%
MontroseQueen of the South
8%BTTS in both halves4%
MontroseQueen of the South
17%Scored in both halves36%
MontroseQueen of the South

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
MontroseQueen of the South
21%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
MontroseQueen of the South
100%BTTS - last 5100%
MontroseQueen of the South

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

100%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.96%
MontroseQueen of the South
88%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.88%
MontroseQueen of the South
58%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.52%
MontroseQueen of the South
33%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.28%
MontroseQueen of the South
13%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.12%
MontroseQueen of the South

Over / Under - Montrose

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 88%Under 12%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 58%Under 42%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 33%Under 67%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 13%Under 87%

Over / Under - Queen of the South

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 96%Under 4%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 88%Under 12%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 52%Under 48%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 28%Under 72%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 12%Under 88%

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
MontroseQueen of the South
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
MontroseQueen of the South
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MontroseQueen of the South

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time96%
MontroseQueen of the South
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
MontroseQueen of the South
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
MontroseQueen of the South

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Queen of the South is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.96 pts / game - Montrose · 1.48 pts / game - Queen of the South

Montrose - half-time state
21% leading33% draw46% trailing
Queen of the South - half-time state
40% leading28% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.96Points per game (1st half)1.48
MontroseQueen of the South
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.6
MontroseQueen of the South
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
MontroseQueen of the South
1.42Average goals (1st half)1.12
MontroseQueen of the South
33%Clean sheet before half-time60%
MontroseQueen of the South
63%No goal before half-time52%
MontroseQueen of the South

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per game (2nd half)1.52
MontroseQueen of the South
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.96
MontroseQueen of the South
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.72
MontroseQueen of the South
1.54Average goals (2nd half)1.68
MontroseQueen of the South
38%Clean sheet after half-time40%
MontroseQueen of the South
50%No goal after half-time36%
MontroseQueen of the South

Montrose - second-half results

29% W33% D38% L
23
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.96
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Queen of the South - second-half results

44% W20% D36% L
37
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Montrose - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game1.21.2
Average goals per game1.82.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Queen of the South - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game0.81.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.42.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Montrose
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
3
7
16-30
6
9
31-45
4
8
46-60
6
7
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Queen of the South
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
5
4
16-30
4
5
31-45
10
6
46-60
5
6
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-48%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Montrose

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Queen of the South

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

MontroseLigaQueen of the South
Average goals per game▲ 2.962.64▲ 2.80
Both teams scored▲ 54%46%▲ 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 58%53%• 52%
Clean sheets▼ 17%30%▲ 32%
Goal before half-time▲ 79%74%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 83%80%▲ 96%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. MontroseGoalAndrew SteevesAssist: Keir Bertie
  2. MontroseGoalTaylor SutherlandAssist: Keir Bertie
  3. Queen of the SouthSubstitutionOn: Niall RogersonOff: Taylor Charters
  4. Queen of the SouthYellow cardMatthew Douglas
  5. Queen of the SouthSubstitutionOn: Jordan AllanOff: Liam Smith
  6. Queen of the SouthYellow cardNiall Rogerson
  7. Queen of the SouthGoalKai Kennedy
  8. Queen of the SouthGoalKai Kennedy
  9. MontroseGoalCraig BrownAssist: Callum Sandilands
  10. Queen of the SouthYellow cardJack Stott

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeDuncan Williams

Head-to-head

Record from Montrose's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Queen of the South. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Queen of the South FC
1 : 0
Montrose FC
Montrose FC
2 : 0
Queen of the South FC

FAQ

What was the result of Montrose vs Queen of the South?

The League One match finished Montrose 3:2 Queen of the South. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Montrose and Queen of the South?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Montrose won 1, Queen of the South won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Montrose vs Queen of the South?

Montrose score 1.21 goals per game on average and Queen of the South 1.56. The League One average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Montrose's matches and 48% of Queen of the South's.

What form are Montrose and Queen of the South in?

Over the last 5 games Montrose have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Queen of the South 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montrose vs Queen of the South?

The statistical background for Montrose vs Queen of the South — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.