Morecambe vs Carlisle United: match statistics
Morecambe vs Carlisle United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Morecambe play Carlisle United in National League (England). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Morecambe: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Carlisle United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Morecambe scores 1.43 and concedes 2.24 goals per match. Carlisle United scores 1.87 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Morecambe 57%, Carlisle United 51%. Over 2.5: Morecambe 70%, Carlisle United 62%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Carlisle United has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.38. Morecambe: 11.3 shots per match, Carlisle United: 14.1.
Match halves
Morecambe: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.76. Carlisle United: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.98.
Goals by minute
Morecambe: 46-60 (16 goals). Carlisle United: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Carlisle United holds a clear advantage in seasonal data: they sit 3rd in the table with 26 wins, whereas Morecambe are 22nd with 9 wins. In the last 5 matches Carlisle scored 10 and conceded 5, with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss and an average of 2.0 points per game; Morecambe over the same period have 9 scored and 11 conceded, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses and an average of 0.8 points per game. The defensive gap is evident: Morecambe at home concede on average 1.95 goals per game and have a home goal difference of -14, while Carlisle away concede 1.19 and have a +6 goal difference. In attack Carlisle’s edge is smaller but qualitative — Morecambe at home score 1.29 goals on average with xG 1.44, and Carlisle away score 1.48 with xG 1.54; additionally Morecambe fail to score in 33% of home matches, while Carlisle fail to score in only 14% of away games. Considering Carlisle’s 62% away win rate versus Morecambe’s 19% home win rate, the better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts per game) and a more solid defense, I predict an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Morecambe | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carlisle United is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Morecambe · 2 pts / match - Carlisle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Morecambe · 1.87 goals / match - Carlisle United
Carlisle United is 98% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.24 goals / match - Morecambe · 1.13 goals / match - Carlisle United
Morecambe scores in 67% of matches (31 of 46 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (18 of 47 matches).
Carlisle United scores in 87% of matches (41 of 47 matches), while Morecambe keeps a clean sheet in 13% (6 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Morecambe
Over / Under — Carlisle United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Morecambe · 1.55 pts / match - Carlisle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morecambe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (28). Late-goal balance (76-90): -17 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Morecambe
Carlisle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Morecambe | Liga | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 2.92 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 56% | ▼ 51% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 24% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Morecambe 0 - 0 - 1 Carlisle United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Morecambe vs Carlisle United?
The National League match finished Morecambe 2:2 Carlisle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Morecambe vs Carlisle United?
Morecambe score 1.43 goals per game on average and Carlisle United 1.87. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Morecambe's matches and 51% of Carlisle United's.
What form are Morecambe and Carlisle United in?
Over the last 5 games Morecambe have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Carlisle United 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morecambe vs Carlisle United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.