Moreirense FC vs FC Arouca: match statistics
Moreirense FC displays a decidedly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and a favorable goal difference (-1) compared to Arouca's disastrous away goal difference (-15). The hosts have won half of their home matches this season, while the visitors concede an average of 2.31 goals away and lose 62% of their matches as the away team. Arouca is in terrible form with only 0.6 points per match in their last five games and a series of four defeats in their last five away matches. Moreirense also boasts better xG metrics in home matches (0.95 vs 1.49), indicating greater effectiveness in creating chances. The difference in quality between both teams and the home advantage points to a Moreirense FC victory, although the hosts' recent poor form (1 point in their last 5 matches) and the unpredictability of the Portuguese league justify leaving some margin for a draw or an upset by the visitors.
Moreirense FC vs FC Arouca: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Moreirense FC played against FC Arouca in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Moreirense FC has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. FC Arouca has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Moreirense FC scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 1.46. FC Arouca scores 1.27 and allows 2.12. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Moreirense FC's games and 54% of FC Arouca's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 69%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
FC Arouca has the higher season xG average, 1.18 to 1.00 per game. Moreirense FC takes 8.7 shots per game, while FC Arouca takes 10.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Moreirense FC leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. FC Arouca leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
Moreirense FC's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For FC Arouca, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Moreirense FC displays a decidedly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and a favorable goal difference (-1) compared to Arouca's disastrous away goal difference (-15). The hosts have won half of their home matches this season, while the visitors concede an average of 2.31 goals away and lose 62% of their matches as the away team. Arouca is in terrible form with only 0.6 points per match in their last five games and a series of four defeats in their last five away matches. Moreirense also boasts better xG metrics in home matches (0.95 vs 1.49), indicating greater effectiveness in creating chances. The difference in quality between both teams and the home advantage points to a Moreirense FC victory, although the hosts' recent poor form (1 point in their last 5 matches) and the unpredictability of the Portuguese league justify leaving some margin for a draw or an upset by the visitors.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Moreirense FC | FC Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Moreirense FC is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Moreirense FC · 0.6 pts / game - FC Arouca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Arouca is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.19 goals / game - Moreirense FC · 1.27 goals / game - FC Arouca
Moreirense FC is 45% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.46 goals / game - Moreirense FC · 2.12 goals / game - FC Arouca
Moreirense FC scores in 73% of games (19 of 26 meczów), while FC Arouca keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).
FC Arouca scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 meczów), while Moreirense FC keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Moreirense FC
Over / Under - FC Arouca
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Moreirense FC is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / game - Moreirense FC · 1 pts / game - FC Arouca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Moreirense FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
FC Arouca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Moreirense FC
FC Arouca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Moreirense FC | Liga | FC Arouca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.65 | 2.72 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 30% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Moreirense FC's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against FC Arouca. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Moreirense FC vs FC Arouca?
The Liga NOS match finished Moreirense FC 0:1 FC Arouca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Moreirense FC vs FC Arouca?
Moreirense FC score 1.19 goals per game on average and FC Arouca 1.27. The Liga NOS average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Moreirense FC's matches and 54% of FC Arouca's.
What form are Moreirense FC and FC Arouca in?
Over the last 5 games Moreirense FC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and FC Arouca 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Moreirense FC vs FC Arouca?
The statistical background for Moreirense FC vs FC Arouca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.