Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y PavónData current as of September 05, 2026

Morelia vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Morelia vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Morelia plays Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for September 6, 2026. Venue: Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón.

Recent form

Morelia has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Atlético Zacatepec has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Morelia scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.33. Atlético Zacatepec scores 0.83 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 3.17 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Morelia's games and 33% of Atlético Zacatepec's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 33%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Morelia has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.37 per game. Morelia takes 14.0 shots per game, while Atlético Zacatepec takes 12.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Morelia leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.50 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Zacatepec leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.83 after halftime.

When the teams score

Morelia's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Atlético Zacatepec, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 3.17 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.44)
(4.35)
(5.75)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
2Goals scored / game0.83
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
1.33Goals allowed / game1.33
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
53%Average possession56%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
6.83Shots on target / game3.33
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14Shots per game12.33
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
6.83Shots on target3.33
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
14.3%Shot conversion6.8%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
53%Possession56%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
1.72xG for1.37
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
1.24xG against1.3
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec

Shooting quality

Morelia: AttackingAtlético Zacatepec: Balanced
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
Accuracy (shots on target)49%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Morelia is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Morelia · 1.4 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec

Morelia
LWWLW
Season result split
67% W0% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-2
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
WWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Atlético Zacatepec
LWWLD
Season result split
33% W17% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-3
1.17 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 0.92BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Morelia is 141% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Morelia · 0.83 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec

Morelia scoring profile: very strong

Morelia scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 meczów), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).

Atlético Zacatepec scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Zacatepec scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 meczów), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 meczów).

12Goals scored (season)5
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
8Goals conceded (season)8
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
3.33Average goals per game2.17
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
8Goals scored (last 5)5
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal67%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
50%2 goals17%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
33%3 goals0%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
33%4 goals0%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal67%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
33%2 goals50%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
17%3 goals17%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
0%4 goals0%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

33%
Atlético Zacatepec - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.2 of 6 meczów
54%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time0%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
33%Scored in both halves0%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
60%BTTS - last 540%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Morelia is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / game - Morelia · 0.67 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec

Morelia - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Atlético Zacatepec - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per game (1st half)0.67
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
1.17Average goals (1st half)0.5
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
50%Clean sheet before half-time67%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
50%No goal before half-time100%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per game (2nd half)1.5
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
1.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
2.17Average goals (2nd half)1.67
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec
33%No goal after half-time33%
MoreliaAtlético Zacatepec

Morelia - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results

33% W50% R17% P
4
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Morelia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Atlético Zacatepec - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.80
Goals scored / game0.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-3+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Morelia
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
3
31-45
4
0
46-60
1
3
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Atlético Zacatepec
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Morelia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Atlético Zacatepec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

MoreliaLigaAtlético Zacatepec
Average goals per game 3.333.17 2.17
Both teams scored 67%54% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%58% 33%
Clean sheets 17%26% 33%
Goal before half-time 83%73% 33%
Goal after half-time 83%73% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.17
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.75
Home goals / game
1.42
Away goals / game
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Morelia's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Atlético Zacatepec. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Club Atlético Zacatepec
0 : 3
CA Monarcas Morelia
CA Monarcas Morelia
3 : 1
Club Atlético Zacatepec

FAQ

When do Morelia and Atlético Zacatepec play?

Morelia face Atlético Zacatepec on September 6, 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Morelia and Atlético Zacatepec?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Morelia won 2, Atlético Zacatepec won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs Atlético Zacatepec?

Morelia score 2.00 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 0.83. The Ascenso MX average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Morelia's matches and 33% of Atlético Zacatepec's.

What form are Morelia and Atlético Zacatepec in?

Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs Atlético Zacatepec?

The statistical background for Morelia vs Atlético Zacatepec — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.