Morelia vs Tlaxcala: match statistics
Morelia vs Tlaxcala: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Morelia played against Tlaxcala in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on October 4, 2026. Venue: Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Morelia has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Tlaxcala has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Morelia scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.10. Tlaxcala scores 1.80 and allows 2.20. Games in this league average 3.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Morelia's games and 80% of Tlaxcala's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 80%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Morelia has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.38 per game. Morelia takes 13.9 shots per game, while Tlaxcala takes 10.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Morelia leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 1.40 goals per game after halftime. Tlaxcala leads at halftime in 30% and scores 1.20 after halftime.
When the teams score
Morelia's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Tlaxcala, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.16 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Morelia have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding just 3, while Tlaxcala have scored 11 but conceded 8 over the same period. The home advantage is clear: the hosts have won 80% of their home games, while the visitors are yet to win away from home. Morelia average 3 goals at home with an xG of 1,90, whereas Tlaxcala concede 2,6 goals away from home with opponents’ xG at 1,47. The hosts also hit the target more often—an average of 8,4 times per match compared with 4,0 for the visitors—which strengthens their chances of exploiting Tlaxcala’s defensive weaknesses. The visitors can still pose a threat, as shown by their 11 goals in their last 5 matches, so a Morelia win is the most likely outcome, but it does not necessarily mean a clean sheet.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In Morelia’s home matches and Tlaxcala’s away matches, both teams scored in 80% of cases, well above the league average of 56%. Morelia average 2.4 goals at home, while Tlaxcala concede 2.6 away, making a home goal highly likely. The visitors average 1.2 goals away, while Morelia concede 1.8 at home; both teams also failed to score in only 20% of these matches. Morelia’s recent defensive form warrants caution: they have conceded just 3 goals in 5 matches, and both teams scored in 40% of their games over that period. Despite this risk, the teams’ season-long results and Tlaxcala’s away average of 2.2 goals over their last 5 matches support the BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in all included home matches for Morelia and away matches for Tlaxcala, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. Morelia average 2.4 goals scored at home, while Tlaxcala concede 2.6 on the road, pointing to strong scoring potential for the hosts. The visitors average 1.2 goals scored away, while the hosts concede 1.8 at home; additionally, neither team kept a clean sheet in these matches. Although 80% of matches in both samples ended with at least 4 goals, combined xG of 1.57 for Morelia and 1.20 for Tlaxcala supports the more cautious choice of Over 1.5 rather than a higher line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Morelia leading at the break and holding on to that advantage until full time: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Tlaxcala went into the break trailing in 3 of their 5 away games. Morelia’s advantage is more pronounced after the break—they average 1.8 goals in second halves at home, while Tlaxcala concede an average of 2.0 away. Across full matches, Morelia average 2.4 goals at home compared with Tlaxcala’s 1.2 goals away, and the visitors have won none of the five away matches covered by the statistics. A half-time draw followed by a Morelia win is also a notable possibility, as the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their 5 home matches. However, the 1/1 pick has a slight edge, based on Morelia’s recent first-half results and Tlaxcala’s poor away form.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Morelia | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Morelia is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Morelia · 2 pts / game - Tlaxcala
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Morelia is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Morelia · 1.8 goals / game - Tlaxcala
Morelia is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.1 goals / game - Morelia · 2.2 goals / game - Tlaxcala
Morelia scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 games).
Tlaxcala scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Morelia
Over / Under - Tlaxcala
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morelia is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Morelia · 1.2 pts / game - Tlaxcala
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 70%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tlaxcala - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Morelia
Tlaxcala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Morelia | Liga | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.10 | 3.16 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 60% | 61% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Morelia's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Tlaxcala. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Morelia vs Tlaxcala?
The Ascenso MX match finished Morelia 1:1 Tlaxcala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Morelia and Tlaxcala?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Morelia won 1, Tlaxcala won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs Tlaxcala?
Morelia score 2.00 goals per game on average and Tlaxcala 1.80. The Ascenso MX average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Morelia's matches and 80% of Tlaxcala's.
What form are Morelia and Tlaxcala in?
Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Tlaxcala 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs Tlaxcala?
The statistical background for Morelia vs Tlaxcala — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.