Moss vs Haugesund: match statistics

Haugesund sit 2nd, having won 15 of their 21 league matches this season, and are enjoying an excellent run of five consecutive victories, while Moss have recorded just 6 wins and occupy 13th place. The visitors have scored 15 goals in their last five matches and conceded only 3, whereas Moss have scored 10 and conceded 8 over the same period. Away from home, Haugesund average 3 goals per match and 1.85 xG, which aligns with Moss’ defensive issues: at home, they concede an average of 2 goals while allowing opponents 1.65 xG. The visitors also hold the edge in chance creation, averaging 14.73 shots and 6.82 shots on target per match, compared with 13.6 and 5 for the hosts. Moss have scored in every home match, while Haugesund concede 2.27 goals per away game, so a goal for the hosts remains a realistic possibility. However, the visitors’ superior quality and current finishing form point towards a Haugesund win.

Seasonal BTTS indicators are high on both sides: 70% for Moss and 73% for Haugesund, compared with the league average of 64%. Moss score an average of 3.1 goals, while Haugesund average 3.0, with the hosts yet to finish a single match this season without scoring. The visitors’ defensive profile favors a Moss goal, as Haugesund concede an average of 2.27 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in only 27% of fixtures. Moss have conceded an average of 1.6 goals over their last five matches, while Haugesund continue to create quality chances worth 1.81 xG, despite their recent BTTS rate standing at just 20%. The greater consistency of both teams’ attacking output, combined with their high seasonal average xG figures—2.07 for Moss and 1.85 for Haugesund—makes the BTTS - Yes scenario more likely.

Over 1.5 goals is strongly supported, as at least 2 goals were scored in 100% of league matches involving both Moss and Haugesund. The average number of goals in Moss matches is 3.1, while Haugesund matches average 3.0, compared with the very high league average of 3.86 goals. Moss creates chances worth an average of 2.07 xG at home, while Haugesund generates 1.85 xG, supporting a projection of 3.20 goals in this match. In their last five appearances, Moss scored 10 goals and conceded 8, while Haugesund netted 15, making a scenario with just zero or one goal significantly less likely.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Haugesund victory in the match, as the visitors have won all of their last five games, while Moss has collected only 7 points and lost twice during that period. In their last five matches, Haugesund have averaged 1.4 goals scored before the break, conceded just 0.2, and held a lead at half-time in 60% of their appearances. Moss have most often gone into the break level recently, doing so in 3 of their 5 matches, while their half-time goal difference during this period was -1. After the break, the visitors continue to show high efficiency, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match, while their final results have produced a perfect record of 5 wins. Moss’s home advantage and the hosts’ higher seasonal xG, 2.07 compared with 1.85, limit confidence in the pick, but Haugesund’s current form clearly points toward a second-half turnaround in their favor.