Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which speaks for a draw. Motor Lublin has a very high draw rate at home (55%), which is a key factor in this prediction. Korona Kielce also frequently draws on the road (36%) and has a better goal difference (+2 vs +1), but Motor has the home field advantage and a better average ball possession (51% vs 44%). Both teams have identical form in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG) and similar offensive efficiency. Taking into account Motor's tendency to draw home matches and the balanced disposition of both teams, the most likely result is a split of points, although Motor has a slight advantage as the host.
Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Motor Lublin played against Korona Kielce in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Motor Lublin has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Korona Kielce has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Motor Lublin scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.68. Korona Kielce scores 1.23 and allows 1.09. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Motor Lublin's games and 50% of Korona Kielce's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 41%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Korona Kielce has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.45 per game. Motor Lublin takes 12.1 shots per game, while Korona Kielce takes 14.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Motor Lublin leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Korona Kielce leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Motor Lublin's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). For Korona Kielce, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ekstraklasa games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which speaks for a draw. Motor Lublin has a very high draw rate at home (55%), which is a key factor in this prediction. Korona Kielce also frequently draws on the road (36%) and has a better goal difference (+2 vs +1), but Motor has the home field advantage and a better average ball possession (51% vs 44%). Both teams have identical form in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG) and similar offensive efficiency. Taking into account Motor's tendency to draw home matches and the balanced disposition of both teams, the most likely result is a split of points, although Motor has a slight advantage as the host.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Motor Lublin | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Motor Lublin is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.36 goals / game - Motor Lublin · 1.23 goals / game - Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce is 54% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.68 goals / game - Motor Lublin · 1.09 goals / game - Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin scores in 82% of games (18 of 22 meczów), while Korona Kielce keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
Korona Kielce scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while Motor Lublin keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Motor Lublin
Over / Under - Korona Kielce
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Korona Kielce is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / game - Motor Lublin · 1.41 pts / game - Korona Kielce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Motor Lublin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Korona Kielce - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Motor Lublin | Liga | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.05 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 52% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 25% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Motor Lublin's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Korona Kielce. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Motor Lublin 2:0 Korona Kielce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce?
Motor Lublin score 1.36 goals per game on average and Korona Kielce 1.23. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Motor Lublin's matches and 50% of Korona Kielce's.
What form are Motor Lublin and Korona Kielce in?
Over the last 5 games Motor Lublin have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Korona Kielce 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.