Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznań: match statistics
Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznań: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Motor Lublin played against Lech Poznań in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Motor Lublin has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Lech Poznań has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Motor Lublin scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 1.50. Lech Poznań scores 1.83 and allows 1.37. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Motor Lublin's games and 67% of Lech Poznań's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 70%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lech Poznań has the higher season xG average, 1.93 to 1.40 per game. Motor Lublin takes 11.7 shots per game, while Lech Poznań takes 17.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Motor Lublin leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Lech Poznań leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Motor Lublin's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (13 goals). For Lech Poznań, it is minutes 31-45+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ekstraklasa games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lech Poznań appears to be the favorite: 14 wins this season versus Motor’s 9, 55 goals scored compared to 39, and 13 goals in the last 5 matches versus Motor’s 5. Lech’s form is also stronger on points — 2.2 points per game in the last 5 matches versus Motor’s 1.0, with Lech’s recent record 3 wins and 2 draws versus Motor’s 1-2-2. Lech creates better-quality chances: average xG on the road 1.78 versus Motor’s home xG 1.34, and on average 5.33 shots on target per match for Lech vs 3.13 for Motor. Motor, however, has home advantages — a conversion rate of 12% at home versus 8% for Lech and only 13% of home matches without a goal, plus hosts draw as many as 53% of their matches, which increases the likelihood of a shared point.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics indicate a BTTS-favoring scenario: Motor Lublin has a home-season BTTS rate of 87%, while Lech Poznań has 47% away, and the league average is 59%. xG and goal analysis support this direction — Motor generates xG 2.09 and scores on average 2.4 goals at home this season, whereas Lech has xG_for_away 1.78 and scored 13 goals in the last 5 matches (avg 2.6). Motor’s defense is vulnerable (seasonConcededAVG_home 1.73 and 45 goals conceded this season), and despite Lech’s 47% clean sheets away they recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five games, which increases the likelihood of reciprocal scoring. Additionally, Motor averages 6.73 shots on target and 19.27 total shots per match with a 12% conversion, versus Lech’s 5.33 shots on target and 8% conversion, so the hosts create more chances and are likely to score. Considering Motor’s 87% BTTS, 60% BTTS in the last 5 matches between both sides, and the xG and shots averages on both sides, I assess the probability at 68% for BTTS - Yes and 32% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics indicate a high goal potential: Motor at home scores an average of 2.4 goals and has 93% of matches with Over 2.5 goals, while Lech away averages 1.27 goals and 47% Over 2.5. Based on xG we get 1.81 expected goals for Motor (home xG 2.09 vs opponents’ conceded xG 1.52 -> 1.81) and 1.59 for Lech (away xG 1.78 vs hosts’ conceded xG 1.41 -> 1.59), totaling approximately 3.40 expected goals. Additionally, Motor have 87% of home matches with Both Teams To Score and 67% of home matches Over 3.5 goals, while Lech has averaged 2.6 goals in the last 5 matches, which increases the chance of an over. Considering the combined xG of 3.40 is well above the 2.5 line and Motor regularly produces high-scoring home results, the strongest signal from the data is Over 2.5 goals. Over 3.5 has some support from the hosts (67%) but is riskier due to the borderline xG value.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 2/2 (Lech leading at half-time and winning) because Lech led at the break in 8 matches (53%) versus Motor’s 5 (33%) and has better half-time points: 30 points and a half-time points average of 2.0 compared to the home side’s 21 points and 1.4. Lech concedes on average only 0.27 goals by half-time versus Motor’s 0.73, and in the last 5 matches the visitors won 60% of games while Motor won only 20%, confirming Lech’s advantage in first halves. Motor, however, scores at home on average 2.4 goals this season and has higher home xG (2.09 vs 1.78), and also averages 1.2 goals after the break, so there is a realistic chance of a comeback and a turnaround in the second half. Therefore I assign 40% to 2/2 as the strongest scenario, while keeping significant weights on 2/X (12%) and X/2 (12%) as alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Motor Lublin | Lech Poznań | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lech Poznań is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Motor Lublin · 2.2 pts / game - Lech Poznań
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lech Poznań is 41% better for: goals scored per game.
1.3 goals / game - Motor Lublin · 1.83 goals / game - Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Motor Lublin · 1.37 goals / game - Lech Poznań
Motor Lublin scores in 80% of games (24 of 30 meczów), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 meczów).
Lech Poznań scores in 87% of games (26 of 30 meczów), while Motor Lublin keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Motor Lublin
Over / Under - Lech Poznań
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lech Poznań is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / game - Motor Lublin · 1.7 pts / game - Lech Poznań
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Motor Lublin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznań
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Motor Lublin | Liga | Lech Poznań | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.80 | 2.72 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 24% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Motor Lublin's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Lech Poznań. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznań?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Motor Lublin 0:1 Lech Poznań. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznań?
Motor Lublin score 1.30 goals per game on average and Lech Poznań 1.83. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Motor Lublin's matches and 67% of Lech Poznań's.
What form are Motor Lublin and Lech Poznań in?
Over the last 5 games Motor Lublin have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Lech Poznań 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznań?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.