MP vs Haka: match statistics
MP vs Haka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MP play Haka in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match date is 5 July 2026 at 17:30. Venue: Mikkelin Urheilupuisto. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
MP: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Haka: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
MP scores 0.93 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Haka scores 1.73 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MP 47%, Haka 53%. Over 2.5: MP 40%, Haka 53%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Haka has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.23. MP: 9.9 shots per match, Haka: 12.0.
Match halves
MP: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53. Haka: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.27.
Goals by minute
MP: 76-90+ (6 goals). Haka: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ykkösliiga: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I expect an away win (Haka). Haka are 3rd in the table, MP are 8th; this season the visitors have 6 wins versus 4 for the hosts and have scored 20 goals compared to 10. Haka’s main advantage is defense: away they concede only 0.2 goals per match on average and have 80% clean sheets, while MP concede 1.2 goals per game at home and have 40% clean sheets. Haka also create better chances — average xG away is 1.38 versus 1.23 xG for the hosts, with 4.2 shots on target per match versus 3.0 for MP and 55% possession versus 51%. At the same time Haka failed to score in 40% of their away matches (vs 20% of MP matches without a goal), so a draw remains possible; considering form (Haka averaging 1.8 points per game in the last 5 matches vs 1.4 for MP) I give the visitors the greater probability.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MP | Haka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Haka is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - MP · 1.4 pts / match - Haka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Haka is 86% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - MP · 1.73 goals / match - Haka
Haka is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - MP · 1.13 goals / match - Haka
MP scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Haka keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
Haka scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while MP keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — MP
Over / Under — Haka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MP is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - MP · 1.07 pts / match - Haka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Haka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MP
Haka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).
Teams vs league
| MP | Liga | Haka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 59% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: MP 1 - 0 - 0 Haka. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MP vs Haka?
The Ykkösliiga match finished MP 2:1 Haka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MP vs Haka?
MP score 0.93 goals per game on average and Haka 1.73. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 47% of MP's matches and 53% of Haka's.
What form are MP and Haka in?
Over the last 5 games MP have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Haka 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MP vs Haka?
The statistical background for MP vs Haka — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.