Finland - YkkösliigaMikkelin UrheilupuistoData current as of 23 July 2026

MP vs KTP: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

MP vs KTP: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

MP play KTP in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match date is 25 July 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Mikkelin Urheilupuisto.

Current form

MP: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. KTP: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

MP scores 0.93 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. KTP scores 1.67 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: MP 47%, KTP 40%. Over 2.5: MP 40%, KTP 40%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

KTP has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.23. MP: 9.9 shots per match, KTP: 15.3.

Match halves

MP: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53. KTP: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.07.

Goals by minute

MP: 76-90+ (6 goals). KTP: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ykkösliiga: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(5.30)
(3.95)
(1.47)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.93Goals scored / match1.67
MPKTP
1.27Goals conceded / match1
MPKTP
48%Average possession51%
MPKTP
3.73Shots on target / match5.07
MPKTP

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.93Shots per match15.27
MPKTP
3.73Shots on target5.07
MPKTP
9.4%Shot conversion10.9%
MPKTP
48%Possession51%
MPKTP
1.23xG for1.77
MPKTP
1.5xG against1.13
MPKTP

Shooting quality

MP: BalancedKTP: Attacking
MPKTP
Accuracy (shots on target)38%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

KTP is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - MP · 2 pts / match - KTP

MP
DLWDL
Season result split
33% W13% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-8
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
KTP
WWDWL
Season result split
67% W13% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-2-3
2.13 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-1
Last 5 away
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

KTP is 80% better for: goals scored per match.

0.93 goals / match - MP · 1.67 goals / match - KTP

KTP is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.27 goals / match - MP · 1 goals / match - KTP

MP scoring profile: strong

MP scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while KTP keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).

KTP scoring profile: very strong

KTP scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while MP keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).

14Goals scored (season)25
MPKTP
19Goals conceded (season)15
MPKTP
2.2Average goals in match2.67
MPKTP
7Goals scored (last 5)14
MPKTP
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
MPKTP

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal80%
MPKTP
20%2 goals47%
MPKTP
0%3 goals20%
MPKTP
0%4 goals13%
MPKTP

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal53%
MPKTP
33%2 goals20%
MPKTP
20%3 goals13%
MPKTP
0%4 goals7%
MPKTP

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time27%
MPKTP
0%BTTS in both halves13%
MPKTP
7%Scored in both halves33%
MPKTP

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
MPKTP
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MPKTP
100%BTTS - last 560%
MPKTP

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
MPKTP
7%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
MPKTP
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
MPKTP

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
MPKTP
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
MPKTP
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
MPKTP

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MP is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.47 pts / match - MP · 1.33 pts / match - KTP

MP - half-time state
33% leading47% draw20% trailing
KTP - half-time state
27% leading53% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.47Points per match (1st half)1.33
MPKTP
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.6
MPKTP
0.27Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
MPKTP
0.67Average goals (1st half)1.13
MPKTP
73%Clean sheet before half-time60%
MPKTP
60%No goal before half-time53%
MPKTP

After half-time (2nd half)

0.87Points per match (2nd half)1.87
MPKTP
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)1.07
MPKTP
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
MPKTP
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.53
MPKTP
40%Clean sheet after half-time67%
MPKTP
60%No goal after half-time33%
MPKTP

MP - second-half results

13% W47% R40% P
22
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

KTP - second-half results

53% W27% R20% P
20
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding248%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

MP - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match0.82.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
KTP - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match1.01.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.82.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

MP
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
0
31-45
0
5
46-60
2
3
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

KTP
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
4
31-45
4
4
46-60
8
1
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

MP

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

KTP

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.64
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
148%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).

Teams vs league

MPLigaKTP
Average goals in match 2.202.47 2.67
Both teams scored 47%44% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%44% 40%
Clean sheets 27%31% 47%
Goal before half-time 60%60% 60%
Goal after half-time 67%73% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: MP 0 - 0 - 1 KTP. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do MP and KTP play?

MP face KTP on 25 July 2026 in Ykkösliiga at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before MP vs KTP?

MP score 0.93 goals per game on average and KTP 1.67. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 47% of MP's matches and 40% of KTP's.

What form are MP and KTP in?

Over the last 5 games MP have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and KTP 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MP vs KTP?

The statistical background for MP vs KTP — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.