Germany - 3. LigaData current as of September 12, 2026

MSV Duisburg vs Havelse: match statistics

MSV Duisburg crest
MSV Duisburg
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Havelse crest
Havelse
170%(1.50)
X20%(4.40)
210%(5.22)

MSV Duisburg displays impressive home form with a 75% win rate at home and only one defeat at their own stadium all season. The hosts occupy 3rd place in the table and have scored 46 goals this season, demonstrating offensive efficiency with an average of 2.17 goals per home match. Havelse are in the relegation zone in 19th position, with just an 8% win rate in away matches and a terrible recent run of form (4 losses in their last 5 matches). The visitors concede an average of 2.33 goals per away match, which, given Duisburg's offensive strength, poses a serious threat. The goal difference (+14 for the hosts in home matches versus -12 for the guests in away matches) along with the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.67 vs 1.6), further confirms MSV Duisburg's clear superiority in this encounter.

MSV Duisburg vs Havelse: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

MSV Duisburg played against Havelse in 3. Liga (Germany). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

MSV Duisburg has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Havelse has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

MSV Duisburg scores 1.84 goals per game and allows 1.28. Havelse scores 1.40 and allows 2.20. Games in this league average 3.14 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of MSV Duisburg's games and 76% of Havelse's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 64%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Havelse has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.51 per game. MSV Duisburg takes 12.3 shots per game, while Havelse takes 13.2.

First-half and second-half trends

MSV Duisburg leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 1.04 goals per game after halftime. Havelse leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.92 after halftime.

When the teams score

MSV Duisburg's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Havelse, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

3. Liga games average 3.14 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

MSV Duisburg displays impressive home form with a 75% win rate at home and only one defeat at their own stadium all season. The hosts occupy 3rd place in the table and have scored 46 goals this season, demonstrating offensive efficiency with an average of 2.17 goals per home match. Havelse are in the relegation zone in 19th position, with just an 8% win rate in away matches and a terrible recent run of form (4 losses in their last 5 matches). The visitors concede an average of 2.33 goals per away match, which, given Duisburg's offensive strength, poses a serious threat. The goal difference (+14 for the hosts in home matches versus -12 for the guests in away matches) along with the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.67 vs 1.6), further confirms MSV Duisburg's clear superiority in this encounter.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

70Possession (%)30
MSV DuisburgHavelse
22Shots12
MSV DuisburgHavelse
8Shots on target4
MSV DuisburgHavelse
2.66xG1.24
MSV DuisburgHavelse
12Corners5
MSV DuisburgHavelse
100Dangerous attacks29
MSV DuisburgHavelse
9Fouls9
MSV DuisburgHavelse
1Cards3
MSV DuisburgHavelse

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

MSV DuisburgHavelse
1.84Goals scored / game1.4
MSV DuisburgHavelse
1.28Goals allowed / game2.2
MSV DuisburgHavelse
45%Average possession44%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
4.8Shots on target / game4.12
MSV DuisburgHavelse

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.28Shots per game13.2
MSV DuisburgHavelse
4.8Shots on target4.12
MSV DuisburgHavelse
15%Shot conversion10.6%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
45%Possession44%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
1.51xG for1.53
MSV DuisburgHavelse
1.36xG against1.88
MSV DuisburgHavelse

Shooting quality

MSV Duisburg: Counter-attackingHavelse: Balanced
MSV DuisburgHavelse
Accuracy (shots on target)39%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

MSV Duisburg is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - MSV Duisburg · 0.6 pts / game - Havelse

MSV Duisburg
WLWLW
Season result split
52% W28% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-7-5
1.84 pts / game · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-3-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Havelse
LWLLL
Season result split
16% W28% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-14
0.76 pts / game · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-8
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

MSV Duisburg is 31% better for: goals scored per game.

1.84 goals / game - MSV Duisburg · 1.4 goals / game - Havelse

MSV Duisburg is 72% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.28 goals / game - MSV Duisburg · 2.2 goals / game - Havelse

MSV Duisburg scoring profile: very strong

MSV Duisburg scores in 80% of games (20 of 25 meczów), while Havelse keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 meczów).

Havelse scoring profile: very strong

Havelse scores in 80% of games (20 of 25 meczów), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 meczów).

46Goals scored (season)35
MSV DuisburgHavelse
32Goals conceded (season)55
MSV DuisburgHavelse
3.12Average goals per game3.6
MSV DuisburgHavelse
10Goals scored (last 5)6
MSV DuisburgHavelse
10Goals conceded (last 5)15
MSV DuisburgHavelse

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal80%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
60%2 goals40%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
32%3 goals16%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
12%4 goals4%
MSV DuisburgHavelse

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal92%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
28%2 goals64%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
16%3 goals32%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
8%4 goals20%
MSV DuisburgHavelse

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time20%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
8%BTTS in both halves8%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
32%Scored in both halves20%
MSV DuisburgHavelse

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
60%BTTS - last 560%
MSV DuisburgHavelse

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time28%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
MSV DuisburgHavelse

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time96%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time76%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
MSV DuisburgHavelse

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MSV Duisburg is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / game - MSV Duisburg · 1 pts / game - Havelse

MSV Duisburg - half-time state
36% leading44% draw20% trailing
Havelse - half-time state
24% leading28% draw48% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per game (1st half)1
MSV DuisburgHavelse
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.48
MSV DuisburgHavelse
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
MSV DuisburgHavelse
1.36Average goals (1st half)1.28
MSV DuisburgHavelse
64%Clean sheet before half-time40%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
52%No goal before half-time60%
MSV DuisburgHavelse

After half-time (2nd half)

1.48Points per game (2nd half)0.96
MSV DuisburgHavelse
1.04Goals scored (2nd half)0.92
MSV DuisburgHavelse
0.72Goals conceded (2nd half)1.4
MSV DuisburgHavelse
1.76Average goals (2nd half)2.32
MSV DuisburgHavelse
44%Clean sheet after half-time16%
MSV DuisburgHavelse
36%No goal after half-time40%
MSV DuisburgHavelse

MSV Duisburg - second-half results

32% W52% D16% L
38
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Havelse - second-half results

20% W36% D44% L
25
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 16%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

MSV Duisburg - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.00
Goals scored / game1.40.6
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game2.41.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Havelse - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.60
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.82.2
Average goals per game1.23.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-7
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

MSV Duisburg
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
8
4
16-30
7
6
31-45
5
3
46-60
10
6
61-75
11
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Havelse
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
4
5
16-30
3
12
31-45
4
13
46-60
6
7
61-75
13
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.36
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-40%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

MSV Duisburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Havelse

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
37% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
37%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

MSV DuisburgLigaHavelse
Average goals per game 3.123.14 3.60
Both teams scored 64%64% 76%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 68%64% 64%
Clean sheets 32%22% 8%
Goal before half-time 68%76% 80%
Goal after half-time 76%84% 96%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.14
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / game
1.45
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. HavelseGoalArlind RexhepiAssist: Julius Düker
  2. HavelseYellow cardLorenzo Paldino
  3. HavelseYellow cardNoah Plume
  4. MSV DuisburgGoalTobias FlecksteinAssist: Patrick Sussek
  5. MSV DuisburgSubstitutionOn: Jakob BookjansOff: Leon Müller
  6. HavelseSubstitutionOn: Marko IlicOff: Lorenzo Paldino
  7. MSV DuisburgSubstitutionOn: Jesse Edem TugbenyoOff: Aljaž Casar
  8. HavelseSubstitutionOn: Manuel PolsterOff: Arlind Rexhepi
  9. MSV DuisburgYellow cardJakob Bookjans
  10. HavelseSubstitutionOn: Christopher ScheppOff: Robin Müller
  11. HavelseYellow cardEmre Aytun

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Niclas RoseMatches officiated: 11
4.27Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 236%Home wins36%Draws27%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from MSV Duisburg's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Havelse. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

TSV Havelse
1 : 1
MSV Duisburg

FAQ

What was the result of MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?

The 3. Liga match finished MSV Duisburg 1:1 Havelse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?

MSV Duisburg score 1.84 goals per game on average and Havelse 1.40. The 3. Liga average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 64% of MSV Duisburg's matches and 76% of Havelse's.

What form are MSV Duisburg and Havelse in?

Over the last 5 games MSV Duisburg have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Havelse 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MSV Duisburg vs Havelse: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.