Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraData current as of September 07, 2026

Mtibwa Sugar vs Tanzania Prisons: match statistics

170%(1.99)
X20%(2.90)
210%(3.93)

Mtibwa Sugar is in impressive home form with an 80% win rate and a five-match unbeaten streak (WDWWW). The hosts have earned 5 points in their last five matches (PPG 2.2) and maintain a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.4 goals per game at home. Tanzania Prisons is in disastrous away form - 83% loss rate, just 0.33 goals scored on average per match, and a dreadful six-match winless streak on the road. The difference in form, offensive efficiency, and goal difference (GD +5 vs -3) decisively favors the hosts. With a 60% clean sheet rate for Mtibwa Sugar in home games and an 83% Failed To Score rate for the visitors, a comfortable home victory is predicted.

Mtibwa Sugar vs Tanzania Prisons: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Mtibwa Sugar played against Tanzania Prisons in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The game was played on February 2, 2026. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Mtibwa Sugar has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Tanzania Prisons has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.73 goals per game and allows 0.55. Tanzania Prisons scores 0.33 and allows 0.56. Games in this league average 1.73 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 27% of Mtibwa Sugar's games and 0% of Tanzania Prisons's. The Over 2.5 rates are 18% and 0%, compared with league averages of 27% for BTTS and 24% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tanzania Prisons has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 0.99 per game. Mtibwa Sugar takes 4.3 shots per game, while Tanzania Prisons takes 5.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Mtibwa Sugar leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.36 goals per game after halftime. Tanzania Prisons leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.22 after halftime.

When the teams score

Mtibwa Sugar's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Tanzania Prisons, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ligi kuu Bara games average 1.73 goals. Both teams score in 27% of games, and 24% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Mtibwa Sugar is in impressive home form with an 80% win rate and a five-match unbeaten streak (WDWWW). The hosts have earned 5 points in their last five matches (PPG 2.2) and maintain a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.4 goals per game at home. Tanzania Prisons is in disastrous away form - 83% loss rate, just 0.33 goals scored on average per match, and a dreadful six-match winless streak on the road. The difference in form, offensive efficiency, and goal difference (GD +5 vs -3) decisively favors the hosts. With a 60% clean sheet rate for Mtibwa Sugar in home games and an 83% Failed To Score rate for the visitors, a comfortable home victory is predicted.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

-1Possession (%)-1
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
-1Shots-1
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
-1Shots on target-1
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0xG0
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
3Corners10
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
75Dangerous attacks63
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
-1Fouls-1
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
-1Cards-1
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0.73Goals scored / game0.33
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0.55Goals allowed / game0.56
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
38%Average possession36%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
1.91Shots on target / game2.11
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

4.27Shots per game5.78
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
1.91Shots on target2.11
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
17%Shot conversion5.8%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
38%Possession36%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0.99xG for1.3
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
1.51xG against1.1
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

Shooting quality

Mtibwa Sugar: Counter-attackingTanzania Prisons: Balanced
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
Accuracy (shots on target)45%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.230.22
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.16

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Mtibwa Sugar is 450% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.4 pts / game - Tanzania Prisons

Mtibwa Sugar
WDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
36% W45% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-2
1.55 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 0.89Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Tanzania Prisons
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
22% W22% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-5
0.89 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-5
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mtibwa Sugar is 121% better for: goals scored per game.

0.73 goals / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.33 goals / game - Tanzania Prisons

Mtibwa Sugar scoring profile: mixed

Mtibwa Sugar scores in 45% of games (5 of 11 meczów), while Tanzania Prisons keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 meczów).

Tanzania Prisons scoring profile: more difficult

Tanzania Prisons scores in 22% of games (2 of 9 meczów), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 55% (6 of 11 meczów).

8Goals scored (season)3
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
6Goals conceded (season)5
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
1.27Average goals per game0.89
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
6Goals scored (last 5)0
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

How often they score at least...

45%1 goal22%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
27%2 goals11%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0%3 goals0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0%4 goals0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

How often they concede at least...

45%1 goal56%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
9%2 goals0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0%3 goals0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0%4 goals0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

27%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
18%Scored in both halves0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
60%BTTS - last 50%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

45%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

2nd half

45%Min. 1 goal after half-time33%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time11%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tanzania Prisons is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.73 pts / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 1 pts / game - Tanzania Prisons

Mtibwa Sugar - half-time state
0% leading73% draw27% trailing
Tanzania Prisons - half-time state
11% leading67% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.73Points per game (1st half)1
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0.18Goals scored (1st half)0.11
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.22
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0.64Average goals (1st half)0.33
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
55%Clean sheet before half-time78%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
82%No goal before half-time89%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

After half-time (2nd half)

1.64Points per game (2nd half)1
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)0.22
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0.09Goals conceded (2nd half)0.22
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0.45Average goals (2nd half)0.44
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
91%Clean sheet after half-time78%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
64%No goal after half-time89%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results

36% W55% R9% P
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Tanzania Prisons - second-half results

11% W67% R22% P
9
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Mtibwa Sugar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.60
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.0
Average goals per game1.00.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Tanzania Prisons - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.80
Goals scored / game0.00.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.20.2
1 goal20%20%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Mtibwa Sugar
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Tanzania Prisons
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.08
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.6 : 0.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
63%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
14%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
10%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
43%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 2 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Mtibwa Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.70
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.96
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.65
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Tanzania Prisons

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.97
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
48%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

Mtibwa SugarLigaTanzania Prisons
Average goals per game 1.271.73 0.89
Both teams scored 27%27% 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 18%24% 0%
Clean sheets 55%45% 44%
Goal before half-time 45%45% 33%
Goal after half-time 45%55% 33%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.73
Average goals per game
27%
Both teams scored
24%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
45%
Clean sheets
1.17
Home goals / game
0.57
Away goals / game
+105%
Home attack advantage
+51%
Home defensive advantage
+31%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
45%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
55%
1 goal
16%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Mtibwa Sugar vs Tanzania Prisons?

The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mtibwa Sugar 2:1 Tanzania Prisons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mtibwa Sugar vs Tanzania Prisons?

Mtibwa Sugar score 0.73 goals per game on average and Tanzania Prisons 0.33. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 24% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Mtibwa Sugar's matches and 0% of Tanzania Prisons's.

What form are Mtibwa Sugar and Tanzania Prisons in?

Over the last 5 games Mtibwa Sugar have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Tanzania Prisons 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mtibwa Sugar vs Tanzania Prisons?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.