MTK vs Paksi SE: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. MTK boasts a better offense in home games (2.38 goals/match), but their recent form is poor (0 wins in 5 matches, 0.8 pts/match). Paksi SE holds a better league position and a more solid away defense (1.08 goals conceded/match), yet their current form is also concerning (0 wins in the last 5 matches, 0.4 pts/match). Paksi's high away draw rate (31%) and the similar xG values of both teams (MTK 1.66 vs Paksi 1.80) further support the prediction of a share of the points. Taking into account MTK's home advantage and the visitors' slightly better overall disposition, I predict a slight edge for the hosts, but a draw remains the most realistic scenario.
MTK vs Paksi SE: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
MTK played against Paksi SE in NB I (Hungary). The game was played on March 20, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
MTK has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Paksi SE has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
MTK scores 1.73 goals per game and allows 2.08. Paksi SE scores 1.81 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 2.97 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 69% of MTK's games and 73% of Paksi SE's. The Over 2.5 rates are 73% and 65%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paksi SE has the higher season xG average, 2.05 to 1.52 per game. MTK takes 12.9 shots per game, while Paksi SE takes 16.5.
First-half and second-half trends
MTK leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. Paksi SE leads at halftime in 27% and scores 1.08 after halftime.
When the teams score
MTK's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Paksi SE, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB I games average 2.97 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. MTK boasts a better offense in home games (2.38 goals/match), but their recent form is poor (0 wins in 5 matches, 0.8 pts/match). Paksi SE holds a better league position and a more solid away defense (1.08 goals conceded/match), yet their current form is also concerning (0 wins in the last 5 matches, 0.4 pts/match). Paksi's high away draw rate (31%) and the similar xG values of both teams (MTK 1.66 vs Paksi 1.80) further support the prediction of a share of the points. Taking into account MTK's home advantage and the visitors' slightly better overall disposition, I predict a slight edge for the hosts, but a draw remains the most realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| MTK | Paksi SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
MTK is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - MTK · 0.4 pts / game - Paksi SE
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paksi SE is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
1.73 goals / game - MTK · 1.81 goals / game - Paksi SE
Paksi SE is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.08 goals / game - MTK · 1.46 goals / game - Paksi SE
MTK scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 meczów), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).
Paksi SE scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 meczów), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MTK
Over / Under - Paksi SE
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paksi SE is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / game - MTK · 1.42 pts / game - Paksi SE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MTK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Paksi SE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
MTK
Paksi SE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| MTK | Liga | Paksi SE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.81 | 2.97 | ▲ 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 59% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 21% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 68% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 88% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from MTK's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Paksi SE. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of MTK vs Paksi SE?
The NB I match finished MTK 0:2 Paksi SE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between MTK and Paksi SE?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches MTK won 0, Paksi SE won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before MTK vs Paksi SE?
MTK score 1.73 goals per game on average and Paksi SE 1.81. The NB I average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 69% of MTK's matches and 73% of Paksi SE's.
What form are MTK and Paksi SE in?
Over the last 5 games MTK have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Paksi SE 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MTK vs Paksi SE?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MTK vs Paksi SE: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.