MTK vs Várda SE: match statistics
MTK vs Várda SE: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
MTK played against Várda SE in NB I (Hungary). The game was played on September 5, 2026. Venue: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
MTK has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Várda SE has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
MTK scores 2.17 goals per game and allows 1.67. Várda SE scores 1.17 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 3.19 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 83% of MTK's games and 67% of Várda SE's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 33%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
MTK has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.23 per game. MTK takes 11.2 shots per game, while Várda SE takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
MTK leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.17 goals per game after halftime. Várda SE leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
MTK's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Várda SE, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB I games average 3.19 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MTK sit 4th, while Várda SE are 10th, and the hosts have scored 13 goals this season compared with the visitors’ 7. At home, MTK average 2.33 goals and 6.67 shots on target per match—significantly more than Várda SE manage away from home, with averages of 1.50 goals and 4 shots on target. The hosts also create higher-quality chances: their average xG stands at 1.51, while the visitors’ defense allows opponents an xG as high as 2.08. Neither team’s form is particularly convincing, with MTK taking 6 points from their last five matches and Várda SE 5. However, given their home advantage and greater attacking strength, MTK remain the favorites. The main concern for the hosts is their defense, which has conceded 10 goals in the last five matches, so any victory should be relatively narrow.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
MTK have recorded BTTS in 75% of their matches this season, while both teams scored in all 5 of their last five games. Várda SE have a 50% BTTS rate this season and 60% across their last five appearances, but they have not finished any league match without scoring. In their last 5 games, the hosts have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while the visitors have scored 1.2 goals and allowed 1.4. Várda’s attack, supported by an average of 4.0 shots on target and a 14% conversion rate, should be able to exploit an MTK defense conceding 1.5 goals per game this season. At the same time, MTK have recently created chances worth 1.54 xG, while Várda have a high season-long xG conceded figure of 2.08, further supporting the scenario of a home goal and a BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, MTK have scored and conceded 2.0 goals on average, with at least 3 goals scored in 80% of those games. Várda SE average 1.5 goals per match, have yet to record a goalless game, while MTK concede in 75% of their matches. The hosts should have favorable conditions to score, as their average xG stands at 1.23, whereas Várda SE allow opponents as much as 2.08 xG per match. The Over 1.5 goals line is further supported by season-long results: at least 2 goals were scored in 75% of MTK matches and in 100% of Várda SE games. Although MTK’s full-season data more often points to a maximum of 2 goals, the current form of both defenses and the projected total of 2.80 goals give a clear edge to the Over 1.5 goals bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a Várda win at full-time is the most likely outcome, as MTK were level at the break in 3 of their 4 matches this season, while in their last five games both teams were level after 45 minutes in 40% of cases. Várda are more effective over the full match, averaging 1.5 goals compared with MTK’s 1.0, registering 4.0 shots on target per game versus the hosts’ 2.75, and converting 14% of their attempts compared with MTK’s 9%. The visitors have averaged 1.0 second-half goal and have not lost any second half, whereas MTK have won this part of the match in 0% of their games this season. Várda’s advantage is also reflected in the points, as they average 1.5 points per match compared with MTK’s 0.75, although a high xG against the visitors of 2.08 reduces confidence in backing them to lead already at half-time. MTK’s recent form gives the hosts a chance of a closely contested start, but their average of 2.0 goals conceded per game across their last five appearances increases the likelihood of a Várda turnaround after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| MTK | Várda SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 61% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
MTK is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - MTK · 1 pts / game - Várda SE
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MTK is 85% better for: goals scored per game.
2.17 goals / game - MTK · 1.17 goals / game - Várda SE
Várda SE is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.67 goals / game - MTK · 1.33 goals / game - Várda SE
MTK scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).
Várda SE scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MTK
Over / Under - Várda SE
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MTK is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - MTK · 1 pts / game - Várda SE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MTK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
MTK
Várda SE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| MTK | Liga | Várda SE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.83 | 3.19 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 61% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from MTK's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Várda SE. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of MTK vs Várda SE?
The NB I match finished MTK 1:2 Várda SE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between MTK and Várda SE?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches MTK won 3, Várda SE won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before MTK vs Várda SE?
MTK score 2.17 goals per game on average and Várda SE 1.17. The NB I average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 83% of MTK's matches and 67% of Várda SE's.
What form are MTK and Várda SE in?
Over the last 5 games MTK have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Várda SE 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MTK vs Várda SE?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MTK vs Várda SE: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.