Hungary - NB IHidegkuti Nándor StadionData current as of September 02, 2026

MTK vs Várda SE: match statistics

Reasoning:

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MTK vs Várda SE: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

MTK plays Várda SE in NB I (Hungary). The game is scheduled for September 5, 2026. Venue: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion.

Recent form

MTK has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Várda SE has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

MTK scores 2.17 goals per game and allows 1.67. Várda SE scores 1.17 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 3.15 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 83% of MTK's games and 67% of Várda SE's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 33%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

MTK has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.23 per game. MTK takes 11.2 shots per game, while Várda SE takes 10.8.

First-half and second-half trends

MTK leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.17 goals per game after halftime. Várda SE leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

MTK's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Várda SE, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NB I games average 3.15 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.85)
(3.65)
(3.50)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.17Goals scored / game1.17
MTKVárda SE
1.67Goals allowed / game1.33
MTKVárda SE
50%Average possession43%
MTKVárda SE
6.83Shots on target / game3.17
MTKVárda SE

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.17Shots per game10.83
MTKVárda SE
6.83Shots on target3.17
MTKVárda SE
19.4%Shot conversion10.8%
MTKVárda SE
50%Possession43%
MTKVárda SE
1.54xG for1.23
MTKVárda SE
1.5xG against1.54
MTKVárda SE

Shooting quality

MTK: Efficient finishingVárda SE: Balanced
MTKVárda SE
Accuracy (shots on target)61%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

MTK is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - MTK · 1 pts / game - Várda SE

MTK
DLDWD
Season result split
33% W50% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-1
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
WLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Várda SE
WLLDD
Season result split
17% W50% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

MTK is 85% better for: goals scored per game.

2.17 goals / game - MTK · 1.17 goals / game - Várda SE

Várda SE is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.67 goals / game - MTK · 1.33 goals / game - Várda SE

MTK scoring profile: very strong

MTK scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).

Várda SE scoring profile: very strong

Várda SE scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 meczów), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 meczów).

13Goals scored (season)7
MTKVárda SE
10Goals conceded (season)8
MTKVárda SE
3.83Average goals per game2.5
MTKVárda SE
10Goals scored (last 5)6
MTKVárda SE
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
MTKVárda SE

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal83%
MTKVárda SE
83%2 goals33%
MTKVárda SE
33%3 goals0%
MTKVárda SE
0%4 goals0%
MTKVárda SE

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal67%
MTKVárda SE
50%2 goals33%
MTKVárda SE
33%3 goals17%
MTKVárda SE
0%4 goals17%
MTKVárda SE

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

67%BTTS at half-time33%
MTKVárda SE
17%BTTS in both halves17%
MTKVárda SE
50%Scored in both halves33%
MTKVárda SE

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
MTKVárda SE
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MTKVárda SE
100%BTTS - last 560%
MTKVárda SE

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
MTKVárda SE
83%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
MTKVárda SE
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
MTKVárda SE

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
MTKVárda SE
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
MTKVárda SE
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
MTKVárda SE

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MTK is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / game - MTK · 1 pts / game - Várda SE

MTK - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Várda SE - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per game (1st half)1
MTKVárda SE
1Goals scored (1st half)0.5
MTKVárda SE
1.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
MTKVárda SE
2.17Average goals (1st half)1.17
MTKVárda SE
17%Clean sheet before half-time50%
MTKVárda SE
17%No goal before half-time50%
MTKVárda SE

After half-time (2nd half)

2.17Points per game (2nd half)1.17
MTKVárda SE
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
MTKVárda SE
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
MTKVárda SE
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.33
MTKVárda SE
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
MTKVárda SE
33%No goal after half-time33%
MTKVárda SE

MTK - second-half results

67% W17% R17% P
8
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.7

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Várda SE - second-half results

17% W67% R17% P
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

MTK - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.00
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game1.40.6
Average goals per game2.41.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 5
Várda SE - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.41.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

MTK
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Várda SE
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.17
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

MTK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Várda SE

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).

Teams vs league

MTKLigaVárda SE
Average goals per game 3.833.15 2.50
Both teams scored 83%62% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 83%59% 33%
Clean sheets 17%22% 33%
Goal before half-time 100%71% 67%
Goal after half-time 83%76% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.15
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.88
Home goals / game
1.26
Away goals / game
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from MTK's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Várda SE. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

FAQ

When do MTK and Várda SE play?

MTK face Várda SE on September 5, 2026 in NB I at Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between MTK and Várda SE?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches MTK won 3, Várda SE won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before MTK vs Várda SE?

MTK score 2.17 goals per game on average and Várda SE 1.17. The NB I average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 83% of MTK's matches and 67% of Várda SE's.

What form are MTK and Várda SE in?

Over the last 5 games MTK have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Várda SE 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MTK vs Várda SE?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MTK vs Várda SE: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.