Türkiye - 1. LigMuğla Atatürk StadyumuData current as of October 14, 2026

Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Muğlaspor plays Bursaspor in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The game is scheduled for October 15, 2026. Venue: Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu.

Recent form

Muğlaspor has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Bursaspor has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Muğlaspor scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.89. Bursaspor scores 1.89 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 44% of Muğlaspor's games and 67% of Bursaspor's. The Over 2.5 rates are 22% and 78%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bursaspor has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.35 per game. Muğlaspor takes 11.2 shots per game, while Bursaspor takes 14.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Muğlaspor leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Bursaspor leads at halftime in 44% and scores 1.11 after halftime.

When the teams score

Muğlaspor's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Bursaspor, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

1. Lig games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

MuğlasporBursaspor
1Goals scored / game1.89
MuğlasporBursaspor
0.89Goals allowed / game1
MuğlasporBursaspor
48%Average possession60%
MuğlasporBursaspor
4.11Shots on target / game4.56
MuğlasporBursaspor

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.22Shots per game14.67
MuğlasporBursaspor
4.11Shots on target4.56
MuğlasporBursaspor
8.9%Shot conversion12.9%
MuğlasporBursaspor
48%Possession60%
MuğlasporBursaspor
1.35xG for1.62
MuğlasporBursaspor
1.3xG against0.93
MuğlasporBursaspor

Shooting quality

Muğlaspor: BalancedBursaspor: Dominant
MuğlasporBursaspor
Accuracy (shots on target)37%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Bursaspor is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Muğlaspor · 2 pts / game - Bursaspor

Muğlaspor
WDDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
22% W67% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-6-1
1.33 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-0
Last 5 at home
1-3-0
DWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Bursaspor
WWDWL
Season result split
67% W11% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-2
2.11 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 0.85BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bursaspor is 89% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Muğlaspor · 1.89 goals / game - Bursaspor

Muğlaspor is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.89 goals / game - Muğlaspor · 1 goals / game - Bursaspor

Muğlaspor scoring profile: strong

Muğlaspor scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Bursaspor keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).

Bursaspor scoring profile: very strong

Bursaspor scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 games), while Muğlaspor keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).

9Goals scored (season)17
MuğlasporBursaspor
8Goals conceded (season)9
MuğlasporBursaspor
1.89Average goals per game2.89
MuğlasporBursaspor
7Goals scored (last 5)11
MuğlasporBursaspor
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
MuğlasporBursaspor

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal100%
MuğlasporBursaspor
33%2 goals67%
MuğlasporBursaspor
0%3 goals11%
MuğlasporBursaspor
0%4 goals11%
MuğlasporBursaspor

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal67%
MuğlasporBursaspor
33%2 goals33%
MuğlasporBursaspor
0%3 goals0%
MuğlasporBursaspor
0%4 goals0%
MuğlasporBursaspor

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time22%
MuğlasporBursaspor
22%BTTS in both halves0%
MuğlasporBursaspor
33%Scored in both halves22%
MuğlasporBursaspor

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
MuğlasporBursaspor
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
MuğlasporBursaspor
80%BTTS - last 580%
MuğlasporBursaspor

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
MuğlasporBursaspor
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
MuğlasporBursaspor
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
MuğlasporBursaspor

2nd half

44%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
MuğlasporBursaspor
22%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
MuğlasporBursaspor
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
MuğlasporBursaspor

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bursaspor is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / game - Muğlaspor · 1.44 pts / game - Bursaspor

Muğlaspor - half-time state
22% leading67% draw11% trailing
Bursaspor - half-time state
44% leading11% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per game (1st half)1.44
MuğlasporBursaspor
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.78
MuğlasporBursaspor
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
MuğlasporBursaspor
1.22Average goals (1st half)1.56
MuğlasporBursaspor
44%Clean sheet before half-time33%
MuğlasporBursaspor
33%No goal before half-time44%
MuğlasporBursaspor

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per game (2nd half)2
MuğlasporBursaspor
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)1.11
MuğlasporBursaspor
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.22
MuğlasporBursaspor
0.67Average goals (2nd half)1.33
MuğlasporBursaspor
67%Clean sheet after half-time78%
MuğlasporBursaspor
67%No goal after half-time33%
MuğlasporBursaspor

Muğlaspor - second-half results

11% W78% D11% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bursaspor - second-half results

56% W33% D11% L
13
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.6

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Muğlaspor - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.00
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.80.8
1 goal100%40%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 5
Bursaspor - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.00
Goals scored / game0.81.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.61.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Muğlaspor
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
0
16-30
4
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Bursaspor
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
5
4
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
6
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Muğlaspor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Bursaspor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.69
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
158%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).

Teams vs league

MuğlasporLigaBursaspor
Average goals per game▼ 1.892.65▲ 2.89
Both teams scored▼ 44%55%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 22%47%▲ 78%
Clean sheets▲ 44%26%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%74%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 44%78%• 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defensive advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Muğlaspor and Bursaspor play?

Muğlaspor face Bursaspor on October 15, 2026 in 1. Lig at Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?

Muğlaspor score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bursaspor 1.89. The 1. Lig average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Muğlaspor's matches and 67% of Bursaspor's.

What form are Muğlaspor and Bursaspor in?

Over the last 5 games Muğlaspor have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Bursaspor 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.