Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData current as of September 07, 2026

Muhanga vs Police: match statistics

Muhanga crest
Muhanga
1 : 1half-time 1:0
Police crest
Police
120%(0.00)
X35%(0.00)
245%(0.00)

Police sits in 4th place in the table and presents a much more solid defense, particularly away, where they keep a clean sheet in 70% of matches and concede an average of only 0.3 goals per match. Muhanga is in 17th position with just a 10% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-5). The hosts fail to score in 50% of home meetings, while Police has better xG indicators (1.13 vs 0.95) and higher possession (59% vs 55%). The recent form of both teams is poor, but Police has a decidedly better seasonal record (9 wins vs 4) and greater defensive stability. Considering Muhanga's offensive weakness at home and Police's defensive strength away, I expect a low score with an advantage for the guests or a draw, however, seasonal statistics favor a victory for Police.

Muhanga vs Police: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Muhanga played against Police in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Muhanga has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Police has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Muhanga scores 0.60 goals per game and allows 1.35. Police scores 0.90 and allows 0.48. Games in this league average 2.05 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 35% of Muhanga's games and 33% of Police's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 19%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Police has the higher season xG average, 1.21 to 1.02 per game. Muhanga takes 5.5 shots per game, while Police takes 6.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Muhanga leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.20 goals per game after halftime. Police leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.43 after halftime.

When the teams score

Muhanga's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Police, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National Soccer League games average 2.05 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Police sits in 4th place in the table and presents a much more solid defense, particularly away, where they keep a clean sheet in 70% of matches and concede an average of only 0.3 goals per match. Muhanga is in 17th position with just a 10% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-5). The hosts fail to score in 50% of home meetings, while Police has better xG indicators (1.13 vs 0.95) and higher possession (59% vs 55%). The recent form of both teams is poor, but Police has a decidedly better seasonal record (9 wins vs 4) and greater defensive stability. Considering Muhanga's offensive weakness at home and Police's defensive strength away, I expect a low score with an advantage for the guests or a draw, however, seasonal statistics favor a victory for Police.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

57Possession (%)43
MuhangaPolice
2Shots0
MuhangaPolice
1Shots on target0
MuhangaPolice
0.39xG0.13
MuhangaPolice
1Corners2
MuhangaPolice
26Dangerous attacks16
MuhangaPolice
-1Fouls-1
MuhangaPolice
0Cards1
MuhangaPolice

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.6Goals scored / game0.9
MuhangaPolice
1.35Goals allowed / game0.48
MuhangaPolice
46%Average possession51%
MuhangaPolice
1.9Shots on target / game2.71
MuhangaPolice

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

5.55Shots per game6.67
MuhangaPolice
1.9Shots on target2.71
MuhangaPolice
10.8%Shot conversion13.6%
MuhangaPolice
46%Possession51%
MuhangaPolice
1.02xG for1.21
MuhangaPolice
1.41xG against0.88
MuhangaPolice

Shooting quality

Muhanga: BalancedPolice: Efficient finishing
MuhangaPolice
Accuracy (shots on target)34%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Muhanga is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Muhanga · 0.6 pts / game - Police

Muhanga
LLDLW
Season result split
20% W20% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-12
0.80 pts / game · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-4-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.92Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Police
DLLDD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
43% W43% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-9-3
1.71 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-1
Last 5 away
1-3-1
WLDDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Police is 50% better for: goals scored per game.

0.6 goals / game - Muhanga · 0.9 goals / game - Police

Police is 181% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.35 goals / game - Muhanga · 0.48 goals / game - Police

Muhanga scoring profile: more difficult

Muhanga scores in 45% of games (9 of 20 meczów), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 meczów).

Police scoring profile: strong

Police scores in 62% of games (13 of 21 meczów), while Muhanga keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 meczów).

12Goals scored (season)19
MuhangaPolice
27Goals conceded (season)10
MuhangaPolice
1.95Average goals per game1.38
MuhangaPolice
6Goals scored (last 5)1
MuhangaPolice
10Goals conceded (last 5)3
MuhangaPolice

How often they score at least...

45%1 goal62%
MuhangaPolice
15%2 goals19%
MuhangaPolice
0%3 goals5%
MuhangaPolice
0%4 goals5%
MuhangaPolice

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal48%
MuhangaPolice
40%2 goals0%
MuhangaPolice
15%3 goals0%
MuhangaPolice
0%4 goals0%
MuhangaPolice

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time5%
MuhangaPolice
5%BTTS in both halves0%
MuhangaPolice
10%Scored in both halves19%
MuhangaPolice

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
MuhangaPolice
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
MuhangaPolice
80%BTTS - last 520%
MuhangaPolice

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time43%
MuhangaPolice
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
MuhangaPolice
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MuhangaPolice

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
MuhangaPolice
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time19%
MuhangaPolice
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
MuhangaPolice

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Police is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.05 pts / game - Muhanga · 1.76 pts / game - Police

Muhanga - half-time state
25% leading30% draw45% trailing
Police - half-time state
38% leading62% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.05Points per game (1st half)1.76
MuhangaPolice
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.48
MuhangaPolice
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.05
MuhangaPolice
1.1Average goals (1st half)0.52
MuhangaPolice
50%Clean sheet before half-time95%
MuhangaPolice
65%No goal before half-time57%
MuhangaPolice

After half-time (2nd half)

0.75Points per game (2nd half)1.19
MuhangaPolice
0.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
MuhangaPolice
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
MuhangaPolice
0.85Average goals (2nd half)0.86
MuhangaPolice
45%Clean sheet after half-time57%
MuhangaPolice
80%No goal after half-time62%
MuhangaPolice

Muhanga - second-half results

10% W45% R45% P
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 20%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Police - second-half results

24% W48% R29% P
37
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Muhanga - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.60
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game1.81.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Police - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.60
Goals scored / game0.00.2
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game0.00.8
1 goal0%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Muhanga
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
4
6
16-30
2
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
4
61-75
1
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Police
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
5
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.67
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.5 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
81%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-40%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
28%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
21%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Muhanga

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

Police

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
45%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-1.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

MuhangaLigaPolice
Average goals per game 1.952.05 1.38
Both teams scored 35%45% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%34% 19%
Clean sheets 20%34% 52%
Goal before half-time 70%63% 43%
Goal after half-time 65%70% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.05
Average goals per game
45%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.06
Home goals / game
0.99
Away goals / game
+7%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defensive advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Muhanga's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Police. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Police
1 : 0
Muhanga

FAQ

What was the result of Muhanga vs Police?

The National Soccer League match finished Muhanga 1:1 Police. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Muhanga vs Police?

Muhanga score 0.60 goals per game on average and Police 0.90. The National Soccer League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Muhanga's matches and 33% of Police's.

What form are Muhanga and Police in?

Over the last 5 games Muhanga have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Police 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Muhanga vs Police?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Muhanga vs Police: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.