Mura vs Celje: match statistics
Mura vs Celje: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mura played against Celje in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The game was played on April 19, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Mura has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Celje has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Mura scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.66. Celje scores 2.45 and allows 0.93. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Mura's games and 55% of Celje's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 69%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Celje has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.45 per game. Mura takes 11.2 shots per game, while Celje takes 14.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Mura leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Celje leads at halftime in 62% and scores 1.41 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mura's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Celje, it is minutes 76-90+ (18 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
PrvaLiga games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celje are the favorites: they sit 1st and have won 5 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals in those five games, while Mura (8th) has only 1 win and 4 goals in their last 5. On a season level the visitors average 2.4 goals in away matches with a shot efficiency of 20%, while Mura at home record 1.29 goals and 10% efficiency — with a similar xG (Celje 1.56 vs Mura 1.52) the higher conversion rate gives Celje the edge. Celje also control games more (62% possession away vs Mura’s 48% at home) and register more on-target shots (4.73 vs 3.79), which translates into more clear-cut chances. Mura have conceded 48 goals this season versus Celje’s 27, and fail to score in 36% of home matches, whereas Celje fail to score in only 7% of their away games, which further favors the visitors. Considering PPG 0.8 for Mura vs 3.0 for Celje in the last five matches, plus the advantage in conversion and possession, I project an away win (approx. 65%), draw 20% and home win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Celje have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches (2.6 per match) and average 2.4 goals away this season, while Mura as a home side averages 2.5 goals per match seasonally but have scored only 4 goals in their last 5 (0.8 avg). Mura concede 0.5 goals at home on the season and have 50% clean sheets, yet conceded 1.4 goals in their last 5, whereas Celje concede 1.33 goals away seasonally and have 33% clean sheets. Seasonal BTTS percentages are 50% for Mura and 60% for Celje, with the league BTTS rate at 62%, indicating an elevated probability of Goal/Goal. The xG-based model gives about 1.64 xG for Mura (2.07 vs 1.21) and 1.33 xG for Celje (1.56 vs 1.10), so both teams show goal-scoring potential above 1 and the combined statistical signal favors BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal data show Mura at home has Over 1.5 in 79% of matches, and Celje away in 87%, yielding an average ~83% support for over 1.5 goals; additionally the league averages 3.11 goals per match. Teams' xG are 2.07 for Mura and 1.56 for Celje, while defenses concede 0.5 goals for Mura at home and 1.33 for Celje away, which model-wise translates to ~1.60 expected goals for Mura and ~1.40 for Celje (total ≈3.00). Seasonal shares for Over 2.5 are 57% for Mura and 80% for Celje, and given Celje's form (last 5 matches: 13 goals, avg 2.6), Over 2.5 also has strong backing (~72%). BTTS occurs in 50% of Mura matches and 60% of Celje matches, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides; therefore the most reliable signal from the data is to play Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal indicators favor Mura: at home they average 1.14 goals by half-time and concede only 0.29, led at the break in 11 matches (79%), have higher xG 2.07 versus Celje’s 1.56 and more shots (16.64 vs 12.2) and shots on target (6.64 vs 4.73). Celje seasonally records 0.93 goals by half-time and 0.73 conceded by half-time, but is more clinical with shots on target (conversion 20% versus Mura’s 15%). A key counterargument is form: Celje have won 5 of their last 5 matches (100% wins) and led at the break in 100% of those five, whereas Mura have only 1 win in their last 5 (20%) and led at the break in 20%. Considering Mura’s seasonal advantage in xG and first-half control (Mura concede 0.29 by half-time vs Celje’s 0.73), while also respecting Celje’s momentum, the most likely scenario is Mura leading at the break and ultimately winning Full-Time (HT/FT 1/1), hence the highest assigned probability of 40%, with alternatives such as X/X 10% and 2/2 12% arising from the visitors’ form.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mura | Celje | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Celje is 275% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Mura · 3 pts / game - Celje
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celje is 145% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Mura · 2.45 goals / game - Celje
Celje is 78% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.66 goals / game - Mura · 0.93 goals / game - Celje
Mura scores in 55% of games (16 of 29 meczów), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 meczów).
Celje scores in 90% of games (26 of 29 meczów), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mura
Over / Under - Celje
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celje is 122% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / game - Mura · 2 pts / game - Celje
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mura - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Celje - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 62% of games and wins 69%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mura
Celje
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Mura | Liga | Celje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.66 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 64% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 83% | 86% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Mura's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Celje. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mura vs Celje?
The PrvaLiga match finished Mura 0:2 Celje. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mura and Celje?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mura won 1, Celje won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mura vs Celje?
Mura score 1.00 goals per game on average and Celje 2.45. The PrvaLiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Mura's matches and 55% of Celje's.
What form are Mura and Celje in?
Over the last 5 games Mura have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Celje 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mura vs Celje?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mura vs Celje: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.