Slovenia - PrvaLigaMesti Stadion FazanerijaData current as of October 17, 2026

Mura vs Nafta: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Mura vs Nafta: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Mura plays Nafta in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Mesti Stadion Fazanerija.

Recent form

Mura has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Nafta has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Mura scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 2.18. Nafta scores 1.64 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.67 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of Mura's games and 55% of Nafta's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 55%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Mura has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.45 per game. Mura takes 12.0 shots per game, while Nafta takes 11.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Mura leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Nafta leads at halftime in 27% and scores 1.09 after halftime.

When the teams score

Mura's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Nafta, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

PrvaLiga games average 2.67 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 7.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.07)
(3.24)
(3.18)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.18Goals scored / game1.64
MuraNafta
2.18Goals allowed / game1.45
MuraNafta
44%Average possession41%
MuraNafta
4.27Shots on target / game5.27
MuraNafta

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12Shots per game11.55
MuraNafta
4.27Shots on target5.27
MuraNafta
9.8%Shot conversion14.2%
MuraNafta
44%Possession41%
MuraNafta
1.47xG for1.45
MuraNafta
1.46xG against1.96
MuraNafta

Shooting quality

Mura: BalancedNafta: Counter-attacking
MuraNafta
Accuracy (shots on target)36%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Nafta is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Mura · 1.8 pts / game - Nafta

Mura
LDLDD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
18% W36% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-5
0.91 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Nafta
LWWLW
Season result split
45% W9% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-5
1.45 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nafta is 39% better for: goals scored per game.

1.18 goals / game - Mura · 1.64 goals / game - Nafta

Nafta is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.18 goals / game - Mura · 1.45 goals / game - Nafta

Mura scoring profile: very strong

Mura scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 games), while Nafta keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 games).

Nafta scoring profile: very strong

Nafta scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 games), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 games).

13Goals scored (season)18
MuraNafta
24Goals conceded (season)16
MuraNafta
3.36Average goals per game3.09
MuraNafta
5Goals scored (last 5)8
MuraNafta
12Goals conceded (last 5)7
MuraNafta

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal73%
MuraNafta
36%2 goals45%
MuraNafta
9%3 goals27%
MuraNafta
0%4 goals9%
MuraNafta

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal82%
MuraNafta
55%2 goals45%
MuraNafta
36%3 goals18%
MuraNafta
18%4 goals0%
MuraNafta

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time27%
MuraNafta
9%BTTS in both halves18%
MuraNafta
27%Scored in both halves27%
MuraNafta

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
MuraNafta
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
MuraNafta
60%BTTS - last 560%
MuraNafta

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
MuraNafta
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
MuraNafta
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time27%
MuraNafta

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
MuraNafta
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
MuraNafta
45%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
MuraNafta

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mura - half-time state
27% leading27% draw45% trailing
Nafta - half-time state
27% leading27% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.09Points per game (1st half)1.09
MuraNafta
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.55
MuraNafta
0.82Goals conceded (1st half)0.73
MuraNafta
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.27
MuraNafta
45%Clean sheet before half-time45%
MuraNafta
55%No goal before half-time55%
MuraNafta

After half-time (2nd half)

0.64Points per game (2nd half)1.55
MuraNafta
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)1.09
MuraNafta
1.36Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73
MuraNafta
2.09Average goals (2nd half)1.82
MuraNafta
27%Clean sheet after half-time27%
MuraNafta
45%No goal after half-time45%
MuraNafta

Mura - second-half results

9% W36% D55% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 18%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nafta - second-half results

45% W18% D36% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Mura - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game1.21.2
Average goals per game1.42.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Nafta - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.60
Goals scored / game0.41.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Mura
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
5
31-45
2
6
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Nafta
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
7
1
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.23
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
121%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+117%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Mura

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.72
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
160%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Nafta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.70
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).

Teams vs league

MuraLigaNafta
Average goals per game▲ 3.362.67▲ 3.09
Both teams scored▲ 64%53%▲ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 55%49%▲ 55%
Clean sheets▼ 18%28%▼ 18%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%73%• 73%
Goal after half-time▼ 73%80%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / game
1.36
Away goals / game
+-4%
Home attack advantage
+-4%
Home defensive advantage
+-1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Mura's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Nafta. Games average 7.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Mura and Nafta play?

Mura face Nafta on October 17, 2026 in PrvaLiga at Mesti Stadion Fazanerija. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mura vs Nafta?

Mura score 1.18 goals per game on average and Nafta 1.64. The PrvaLiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Mura's matches and 55% of Nafta's.

What form are Mura and Nafta in?

Over the last 5 games Mura have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Nafta 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mura vs Nafta?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mura vs Nafta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.