Musanze vs Al Merreikh: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly matched, justifying a prediction of a draw. Musanze presents solid home form with 50% wins and an average of 1.6 goals per match at home, however, Al Merreikh boasts an excellent away defense – 63% of matches without conceding a goal and just 0.38 goals conceded on average per match. Both teams have an identical goal difference (+4) in their respective contexts, and recent form speaks in favor of the visitors (2.2 points per match vs 1.8 for the hosts). Al Merreikh has a tendency to draw away (38%), which, combined with a solid defense and good disposition, suggests a split of points. Musanze, scoring regularly at home, might find a way to score, but breaking the visitors' defense will be a challenge, making a draw the most probable result.
Musanze vs Al Merreikh: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Musanze played against Al Merreikh in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on February 13, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Musanze has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Al Merreikh has 0 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Musanze scores 1.42 goals per game and allows 1.05. Al Merreikh scores 1.12 and allows 0.65. Games in this league average 2.05 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Musanze's games and 41% of Al Merreikh's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 24%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Merreikh has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.06 per game. Musanze takes 6.0 shots per game, while Al Merreikh takes 8.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Musanze leads at halftime in 37% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Al Merreikh leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Musanze's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Al Merreikh, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.05 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly matched, justifying a prediction of a draw. Musanze presents solid home form with 50% wins and an average of 1.6 goals per match at home, however, Al Merreikh boasts an excellent away defense – 63% of matches without conceding a goal and just 0.38 goals conceded on average per match. Both teams have an identical goal difference (+4) in their respective contexts, and recent form speaks in favor of the visitors (2.2 points per match vs 1.8 for the hosts). Al Merreikh has a tendency to draw away (38%), which, combined with a solid defense and good disposition, suggests a split of points. Musanze, scoring regularly at home, might find a way to score, but breaking the visitors' defense will be a challenge, making a draw the most probable result.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Musanze | Al Merreikh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.59 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Musanze is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Musanze · 1 pts / game - Al Merreikh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Musanze is 27% better for: goals scored per game.
1.42 goals / game - Musanze · 1.12 goals / game - Al Merreikh
Al Merreikh is 62% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.05 goals / game - Musanze · 0.65 goals / game - Al Merreikh
Musanze scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Al Merreikh keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 meczów).
Al Merreikh scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Musanze
Over / Under - Al Merreikh
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Musanze - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Al Merreikh - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Musanze
Al Merreikh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Musanze | Liga | Al Merreikh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.47 | 2.05 | ▼ 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | • 42% | 41% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 36% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Al MerreikhGoalFady Sidiki Coulibaly
Head-to-head
Record from Musanze's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Al Merreikh. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Musanze vs Al Merreikh?
The National Soccer League match finished Musanze 1:1 Al Merreikh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Musanze vs Al Merreikh?
Musanze score 1.42 goals per game on average and Al Merreikh 1.12. The National Soccer League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Musanze's matches and 41% of Al Merreikh's.
What form are Musanze and Al Merreikh in?
Over the last 5 games Musanze have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Al Merreikh 0-5-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Musanze vs Al Merreikh?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Musanze vs Al Merreikh: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.