Musanze vs Amagaju: match statistics
Musanze vs Amagaju: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Musanze play Amagaju in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 17 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Musanze: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Amagaju: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Musanze scores 1.12 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Amagaju scores 0.56 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Musanze 44%, Amagaju 26%. Over 2.5: Musanze 35%, Amagaju 21%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Musanze has higher xG: 1.05 vs 0.96. Musanze: 6.0 shots per match, Amagaju: 5.9.
Match halves
Musanze: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.50. Amagaju: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.26.
Goals by minute
Musanze: 76-90+ (11 goals). Amagaju: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Musanze are favorites on paper: they have scored 33 goals across the season versus Amagaju’s 14, and at home they average 1.38 goals with an average xG of 1.16, while Amagaju averages only 0.46 goals and xG 0.75 away. The hosts create significantly more high-quality chances — on average 6.92 shots and 2.58 on target per home match — with a conversion rate of 22%, whereas the visitors register 4.75 shots, 1.17 on target and an 11% conversion rate away. Defensively the numbers are similar (Musanze concede 1.15 goals at home, Amagaju concede 1.15 away), but Amagaju have as many as 62% of away matches with no goals (FTS) versus 23% for Musanze at home, which severely limits their attacking threat. In the short term Amagaju look better — 2 wins in the last 5 and 1.4 points per game versus 1 win and 0.8 ppg for Musanze — which increases the upset risk. Considering Musanze’s advantage in goals (33 vs 14), xG (1.16 vs 0.75) and shots on target, I back the home win; estimated probabilities: 60% Musanze, 25% draw, 15% Amagaju win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Musanze | Amagaju | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.51 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Amagaju is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Musanze · 1.4 pts / match - Amagaju
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Musanze is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Musanze · 0.56 goals / match - Amagaju
Musanze scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Amagaju keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Amagaju scores in 41% of matches (14 of 34 matches), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Musanze
Over / Under — Amagaju
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Musanze is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Musanze · 0.91 pts / match - Amagaju
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Musanze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Amagaju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Musanze
Amagaju
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Musanze | Liga | Amagaju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.21 | 2.12 | ▼ 1.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 46% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 38% | ▼ 21% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 62% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Musanze 1 - 0 - 0 Amagaju. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Musanze vs Amagaju?
The National Soccer League match finished Musanze 0:2 Amagaju. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Musanze vs Amagaju?
Musanze score 1.12 goals per game on average and Amagaju 0.56. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Musanze's matches and 26% of Amagaju's.
What form are Musanze and Amagaju in?
Over the last 5 games Musanze have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Amagaju 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Musanze vs Amagaju?
The statistical background for Musanze vs Amagaju — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.