Musanze vs Etincelles: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Musanze play Etincelles in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 13 December 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

Musanze: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Etincelles: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Musanze scores 1.12 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Etincelles scores 0.94 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Musanze 44%, Etincelles 56%. Over 2.5: Musanze 35%, Etincelles 38%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Etincelles has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.05. Musanze: 6.0 shots per match, Etincelles: 7.9.

Match halves

Musanze: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.50. Etincelles: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.44.

Goals by minute

Musanze: 76-90+ (11 goals). Etincelles: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 3
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

60Possession (%)40
MusanzeEtincelles
1Shots3
MusanzeEtincelles
1Shots on target3
MusanzeEtincelles
0.61xG0.71
MusanzeEtincelles
6Corners2
MusanzeEtincelles
63Dangerous attacks41
MusanzeEtincelles
11Fouls28
MusanzeEtincelles
0Cards0
MusanzeEtincelles

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.12Goals scored / match0.94
MusanzeEtincelles
1.09Goals conceded / match1.18
MusanzeEtincelles
47%Average possession44%
MusanzeEtincelles
2.18Shots on target / match2.76
MusanzeEtincelles

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6Shots per match7.94
MusanzeEtincelles
2.18Shots on target2.76
MusanzeEtincelles
18.6%Shot conversion11.9%
MusanzeEtincelles
47%Possession44%
MusanzeEtincelles
1.05xG for1.24
MusanzeEtincelles
1.33xG against1.2
MusanzeEtincelles

Shooting quality

Musanze: Counter-attackingEtincelles: Balanced
MusanzeEtincelles
Accuracy (shots on target)36%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.510.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Etincelles is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Musanze · 2 pts / match - Etincelles

Musanze
DDWDL
Season result split
32% W29% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-13
1.26 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LLDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Etincelles
LDWWW
Season result split
21% W47% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-16-11
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-8-6
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Musanze is 19% better for: goals scored per match.

1.12 goals / match - Musanze · 0.94 goals / match - Etincelles

Musanze is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - Musanze · 1.18 goals / match - Etincelles

Musanze scoring profile: strong

Musanze scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).

Etincelles scoring profile: strong

Etincelles scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).

38Goals scored (season)32
MusanzeEtincelles
37Goals conceded (season)40
MusanzeEtincelles
2.21Average goals in match2.12
MusanzeEtincelles
5Goals scored (last 5)12
MusanzeEtincelles
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
MusanzeEtincelles

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal62%
MusanzeEtincelles
29%2 goals21%
MusanzeEtincelles
21%3 goals9%
MusanzeEtincelles
0%4 goals3%
MusanzeEtincelles

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal74%
MusanzeEtincelles
32%2 goals29%
MusanzeEtincelles
6%3 goals9%
MusanzeEtincelles
0%4 goals6%
MusanzeEtincelles

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time15%
MusanzeEtincelles
6%BTTS in both halves3%
MusanzeEtincelles
18%Scored in both halves9%
MusanzeEtincelles

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
MusanzeEtincelles
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
MusanzeEtincelles
60%BTTS - last 580%
MusanzeEtincelles

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
MusanzeEtincelles
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
MusanzeEtincelles
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
MusanzeEtincelles

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
MusanzeEtincelles
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
MusanzeEtincelles
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
MusanzeEtincelles

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Musanze - half-time state
26% leading47% draw26% trailing
Etincelles - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.26Points per match (1st half)1.24
MusanzeEtincelles
0.62Goals scored (1st half)0.5
MusanzeEtincelles
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
MusanzeEtincelles
1.15Average goals (1st half)0.94
MusanzeEtincelles
59%Clean sheet before half-time65%
MusanzeEtincelles
65%No goal before half-time65%
MusanzeEtincelles

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)1.09
MusanzeEtincelles
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.44
MusanzeEtincelles
0.56Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
MusanzeEtincelles
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1.09
MusanzeEtincelles
59%Clean sheet after half-time50%
MusanzeEtincelles
56%No goal after half-time65%
MusanzeEtincelles

Musanze - second-half results

24% W56% R21% P
43
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Etincelles - second-half results

21% W47% R32% P
42
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Musanze - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Etincelles - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.40
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.82.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Musanze
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
5
7
16-30
10
8
31-45
0
0
46-60
6
10
61-75
11
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Etincelles
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
7
3
16-30
5
10
31-45
6
3
46-60
4
12
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-54%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Musanze

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Etincelles

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.91
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

MusanzeLigaEtincelles
Average goals in match 2.212.12 2.12
Both teams scored 44%46% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%38% 38%
Clean sheets 29%34% 26%
Goal before half-time 62%61% 56%
Goal after half-time 65%70% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Musanze 0 - 0 - 1 Etincelles. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Musanze vs Etincelles?

The National Soccer League match finished Musanze 1:3 Etincelles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Musanze vs Etincelles?

Musanze score 1.12 goals per game on average and Etincelles 0.94. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Musanze's matches and 56% of Etincelles's.

What form are Musanze and Etincelles in?

Over the last 5 games Musanze have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Etincelles 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Musanze vs Etincelles?

The statistical background for Musanze vs Etincelles — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.