Netherlands - Eerste DivisieDe GeusseltData current as of October 22, 2026

MVV vs Almere City: match statistics

MVV crest
MVV
0 : 4half-time 0:0
Almere City crest
Almere City

MVV vs Almere City: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

MVV played against Almere City in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game was played on September 11, 2026. Venue: De Geusselt. Final score: 0:4.

Recent form

MVV has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Almere City has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

MVV scores 1.80 goals per game and allows 1.00. Almere City scores 2.20 and allows 0.80. Games in this league average 3.90 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 80% of MVV's games and 60% of Almere City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 60%, compared with league averages of 77% for BTTS and 73% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Almere City has the higher season xG average, 1.82 to 1.24 per game. MVV takes 9.6 shots per game, while Almere City takes 16.6.

First-half and second-half trends

MVV leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Almere City leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.80 after halftime.

When the teams score

MVV's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Almere City, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eerste Divisie games average 3.90 goals. Both teams score in 77% of games, and 73% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

MVV remain unbeaten after five matches this season, with a record of 4 wins and 1 draw, but Almere City possess significantly greater attacking potential away from home. The visitors average 2.67 goals per match on the road, along with 16.67 shots and 7 shots on target, while MVV record 1.33 goals, 9.33 shots and 3.67 shots on target at home. Almere City also create more high-quality chances, as reflected by an xG of 1.85 compared with MVV’s 1.18. Both teams concede 0.67 goals per match in their respective home and away fixtures, and neither has kept a clean sheet in these matches, so the hosts should respond with a goal. The visitors’ advantage is further supported by their positive away goal difference of +6, compared with MVV’s +2 at home, making a narrow victory for Almere City the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS - Yes is likely, as 78% of league matches end with both teams scoring, while over the last five games this rate stood at 80% for MVV and 60% for Almere City. The hosts averaged 1.8 goals scored during this period but failed to keep a clean sheet in any home match this season, which boosts the visitors’ attacking prospects. Almere City averages 2.2 goals across their last five appearances and 2.67 away goals this season, while also recording 7 shots on target per match with a 16% conversion rate. MVV should create chances as well, given Almere City’s average xG against opponents of 2.03, while the hosts generate 1.77 xG at home. The main risk to the pick is the visitors’ solid average of 0.67 goals conceded away from home; however, their high defensive xG and MVV’s failure to keep a clean sheet provide stronger support for a both-teams-to-score scenario.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Almere City score an average of 2.67 goals per match and have netted 11 goals in their last five games, averaging 2.2 per appearance. MVV remain consistently vulnerable defensively, having failed to keep a clean sheet in any match this season, while their average xG against stands at a high 1.87. The hosts also possess significant attacking strengths: they average 16.5 shots, generate 1.77 xG, and have scored 1.8 goals per game across their last five matches. At least 2 goals were scored in all of Almere City's matches, and 100% of both teams' games featured at least one goal. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, although the Over 2.5 line is also well supported.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Almere City win, as both teams have been level at the break in all of their matches so far this season, while the visitors have also done so in 100% of their last five games. First halves are generally cautious: MVV average 0.8 goals in them, Almere City 0.4, while both teams concede 0.4 goals on average. After the break, the visitors’ attacking advantage becomes clear, as they average 1.8 goals in their last five matches compared with MVV’s 1.0, recording a +7 goal difference in this period against the hosts’ +2. Almere City also have superior shooting efficiency, at 16% compared with 9%, and average 7 shots on target per match, while MVV average 5. The hosts are on a strong run of four wins and a draw, so the draw at half-time followed by an MVV win remains a significant alternative; however, Almere’s stronger post-break potential points towards X/2.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 4
Second half

Game stats

65Possession (%)35
MVVAlmere City
12Shots17
MVVAlmere City
2Shots on target10
MVVAlmere City
1.41xG2.03
MVVAlmere City
5Corners4
MVVAlmere City
69Dangerous attacks36
MVVAlmere City
5Fouls6
MVVAlmere City
1Cards1
MVVAlmere City

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.8Goals scored / game2.2
MVVAlmere City
1Goals allowed / game0.8
MVVAlmere City
50%Average possession42%
MVVAlmere City
4.2Shots on target / game6.2
MVVAlmere City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.6Shots per game16.6
MVVAlmere City
4.2Shots on target6.2
MVVAlmere City
18.8%Shot conversion13.3%
MVVAlmere City
50%Possession42%
MVVAlmere City
1.24xG for1.82
MVVAlmere City
1.29xG against1.96
MVVAlmere City

Shooting quality

MVV: Efficient finishingAlmere City: Counter-attacking
MVVAlmere City
Accuracy (shots on target)44%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

MVV is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - MVV · 2 pts / game - Almere City

MVV
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
80% W20% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Almere City
DWWWL
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Almere City is 22% better for: goals scored per game.

1.8 goals / game - MVV · 2.2 goals / game - Almere City

Almere City is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - MVV · 0.8 goals / game - Almere City

MVV scoring profile: very strong

MVV scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Almere City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).

Almere City scoring profile: very strong

Almere City scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).

9Goals scored (season)11
MVVAlmere City
5Goals conceded (season)4
MVVAlmere City
2.8Average goals per game3
MVVAlmere City
9Goals scored (last 5)11
MVVAlmere City
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
MVVAlmere City

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal80%
MVVAlmere City
60%2 goals60%
MVVAlmere City
20%3 goals60%
MVVAlmere City
0%4 goals20%
MVVAlmere City

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal80%
MVVAlmere City
20%2 goals0%
MVVAlmere City
0%3 goals0%
MVVAlmere City
0%4 goals0%
MVVAlmere City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time40%
MVVAlmere City
20%BTTS in both halves0%
MVVAlmere City
60%Scored in both halves40%
MVVAlmere City

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
MVVAlmere City
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
MVVAlmere City
80%BTTS - last 560%
MVVAlmere City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time40%
MVVAlmere City
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
MVVAlmere City
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MVVAlmere City

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
MVVAlmere City
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
MVVAlmere City
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
MVVAlmere City

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MVV is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.8 pts / game - MVV · 1 pts / game - Almere City

MVV - half-time state
40% leading60% draw0% trailing
Almere City - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per game (1st half)1
MVVAlmere City
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.4
MVVAlmere City
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
MVVAlmere City
1.2Average goals (1st half)0.8
MVVAlmere City
60%Clean sheet before half-time60%
MVVAlmere City
20%No goal before half-time60%
MVVAlmere City

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per game (2nd half)2
MVVAlmere City
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.8
MVVAlmere City
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
MVVAlmere City
1.6Average goals (2nd half)2.2
MVVAlmere City
40%Clean sheet after half-time60%
MVVAlmere City
20%No goal after half-time20%
MVVAlmere City

MVV - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Almere City - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

MVV - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.00
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Almere City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.00
Goals scored / game0.41.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.82.2
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+7
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

MVV
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Almere City
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
74%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

MVV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Almere City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+1.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
39%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.4
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

MVVLigaAlmere City
Average goals per game▼ 2.803.90▼ 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 80%77%▼ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 60%73%▼ 60%
Clean sheets▲ 20%13%▲ 20%
Goal before half-time• 80%81%▼ 40%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%88%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.90
Average goals per game
77%
Both teams scored
73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
13%
Clean sheets
2.06
Home goals / game
1.85
Away goals / game
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
63%
2 goals
40%
3 goals
21%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Almere CityYellow cardFerdy Druijf
  2. MVVSubstitutionOn: Lars SchenkOff: Milan Hofland
  3. Almere CitySubstitutionOn: Milan de HaanOff: Enzo Cornelisse
  4. Almere CitySubstitutionOn: Jamie JacobsOff: Hamza el Dahri
  5. Almere CitySubstitutionOn: Emanuel PokuOff: Byron Burgering
  6. Almere CityGoalFerdy Druijf
  7. MVVSubstitutionOn: Noa HamdaouiOff: Toni Vinogradac
  8. Almere CitySubstitutionOn: Damian van BruggenOff: Martin Wasinski
  9. Almere CityGoalMarley DorsAssist: Emanuel Poku
  10. MVVYellow cardLars Schenk
  11. Almere CitySubstitutionOn: Olivier de NijsOff: Teun Bijleveld
  12. Almere CityGoalOlivier de Nijs
  13. Almere CityGoalEmanuel PokuAssist: Ferdy Druijf

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from MVV's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Almere City. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

MVV
1 : 1
Almere City FC
Almere City FC
4 : 0
MVV

FAQ

What was the result of MVV vs Almere City?

The Eerste Divisie match finished MVV 0:4 Almere City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between MVV and Almere City?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches MVV won 0, Almere City won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs Almere City?

MVV score 1.80 goals per game on average and Almere City 2.20. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 80% of MVV's matches and 60% of Almere City's.

What form are MVV and Almere City in?

Over the last 5 games MVV have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Almere City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs Almere City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.