Nacional Asunción vs Cerro Porteño: match statistics
Nacional Asunción vs Cerro Porteño: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nacional Asunción play Cerro Porteño in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Nacional Asunción: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Cerro Porteño: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nacional Asunción scores 1.41 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Cerro Porteño scores 1.43 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional Asunción 68%, Cerro Porteño 38%. Over 2.5: Nacional Asunción 45%, Cerro Porteño 33%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Cerro Porteño has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.34. Nacional Asunción: 12.6 shots per match, Cerro Porteño: 13.6.
Match halves
Nacional Asunción: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.86. Cerro Porteño: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Nacional Asunción: 76-90+ (10 goals). Cerro Porteño: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 1-1-3. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 60%.
Match description
Cerro Porteño is the favorite in this match and I back the away win (2). The visitors have 10 wins this season versus Nacional’s 6 and display a clearly superior run — 4 wins in their last 5 matches compared to just 1 win for the hosts in the same period. In attack Cerro have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches, while Nacional only 5, and the average shots on target is 5.29 for the visitors versus 4.29 for the hosts. Nacional at home average 1.86 goals and 58% possession, but Cerro on the road also average 1.86 goals and have a better goals-against record this season (13 vs 17) as well as a higher clean sheet percentage (43% vs 29%). Additionally, the visitors’ xG is 1.40 versus 1.35 for the hosts, and the edge in efficiency and points (an average of 2.4 points per game in the last 5 for Cerro vs 1.0 for Nacional) favors an away victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional Asunción | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional Asunción is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Nacional Asunción · 1 pts / match - Cerro Porteño
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cerro Porteño is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Nacional Asunción · 0.9 goals / match - Cerro Porteño
Nacional Asunción scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
Cerro Porteño scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nacional Asunción
Over / Under — Cerro Porteño
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro Porteño is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.48 pts / match - Cerro Porteño
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cerro Porteño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nacional Asunción
Cerro Porteño
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Nacional Asunción | Liga | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.41 | 2.44 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 63% | • 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Nacional Asunción 1 - 1 - 3 Cerro Porteño. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional Asunción vs Cerro Porteño?
The Division Profesional match finished Nacional Asunción 0:0 Cerro Porteño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Asunción and Cerro Porteño?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional Asunción won 1, Cerro Porteño won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Asunción vs Cerro Porteño?
Nacional Asunción score 1.41 goals per game on average and Cerro Porteño 1.43. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Nacional Asunción's matches and 38% of Cerro Porteño's.
What form are Nacional Asunción and Cerro Porteño in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional Asunción have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Cerro Porteño 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Asunción vs Cerro Porteño?
The statistical background for Nacional Asunción vs Cerro Porteño — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.