Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Gran Parque CentralData current as of 17 July 2026

Nacional vs Albion: match statistics

Nacional crest
Nacional
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Albion crest
Albion

Nacional vs Albion: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nacional play Albion in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 23 May 2026 at 23:30. Venue: Estadio Gran Parque Central. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Nacional: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Albion: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nacional scores 1.55 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Albion scores 1.50 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.42 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nacional 55%, Albion 60%. Over 2.5: Nacional 65%, Albion 55%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Nacional has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.24. Nacional: 11.9 shots per match, Albion: 9.7.

Match halves

Nacional: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.85. Albion: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Nacional: 31-45+ (7 goals). Albion: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Albion has a clear advantage in form — in the last 5 matches they have 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 12 goals (2.4 per match) and averaging 2.6 points per game, while Nacional in their last 5 has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, scoring 8 goals (1.6 per match) and averaging 1.4 points per game. Albion’s defense looks more solid: the visitors concede 0.57 goals on average away and record clean sheets in 57% of away matches, whereas Nacional concede 0.71 at home and have 43% clean sheets; season-to-date Albion have conceded 16 goals versus 22 for Nacional. Nacional outperform in chance creation — averaging 15.14 shots and 5.43 on target at home with xG 1.77, while Albion register 10.71 shots, 4.29 on target and xG 1.3 away, which indicates better control and quality of opportunities for the hosts. Despite that, the visitors are more efficient in finishing and less likely to finish without a goal (away teams failed to score in 14% of away matches vs 29% for the home side), and in the last 5 fixtures they have netted 12 times. Due to superior form, lower average goals conceded and greater recent finishing efficiency I give Albion a slight edge and expect a narrow victory for them.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

66Possession (%)34
NacionalAlbion
12Shots2
NacionalAlbion
6Shots on target1
NacionalAlbion
1.88xG0.42
NacionalAlbion
13Corners0
NacionalAlbion
98Dangerous attacks29
NacionalAlbion
-1Fouls-1
NacionalAlbion
6Cards8
NacionalAlbion

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.55Goals scored / match1.5
NacionalAlbion
1.3Goals conceded / match1.05
NacionalAlbion
54%Average possession52%
NacionalAlbion
4.7Shots on target / match4.2
NacionalAlbion

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.95Shots per match9.7
NacionalAlbion
4.7Shots on target4.2
NacionalAlbion
13%Shot conversion15.5%
NacionalAlbion
54%Possession52%
NacionalAlbion
1.51xG for1.24
NacionalAlbion
1.03xG against1.45
NacionalAlbion

Shooting quality

Nacional: Efficient finishingAlbion: Efficient finishing
NacionalAlbion
Accuracy (shots on target)39%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nacional is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Nacional · 1 pts / match - Albion

Nacional
WWLWD
Season result split
50% W10% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-2-8
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 0.88BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Albion
DLLWD
Season result split
45% W30% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-5
1.65 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.89Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Albion is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.3 goals / match - Nacional · 1.05 goals / match - Albion

Nacional scoring profile: very strong

Nacional scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Albion keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).

Albion scoring profile: very strong

Albion scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).

31Goals scored (season)30
NacionalAlbion
26Goals conceded (season)21
NacionalAlbion
2.85Average goals in match2.55
NacionalAlbion
5Goals scored (last 5)4
NacionalAlbion
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
NacionalAlbion

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal80%
NacionalAlbion
50%2 goals40%
NacionalAlbion
20%3 goals15%
NacionalAlbion
5%4 goals5%
NacionalAlbion

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal70%
NacionalAlbion
35%2 goals30%
NacionalAlbion
20%3 goals5%
NacionalAlbion
5%4 goals0%
NacionalAlbion

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time30%
NacionalAlbion
0%BTTS in both halves5%
NacionalAlbion
25%Scored in both halves15%
NacionalAlbion

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
NacionalAlbion
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
NacionalAlbion
40%BTTS - last 560%
NacionalAlbion

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
NacionalAlbion
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
NacionalAlbion
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
NacionalAlbion

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
NacionalAlbion
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
NacionalAlbion
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
NacionalAlbion

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Albion is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.3 pts / match - Nacional · 1.4 pts / match - Albion

Nacional - half-time state
25% leading55% draw20% trailing
Albion - half-time state
35% leading35% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per match (1st half)1.4
NacionalAlbion
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.8
NacionalAlbion
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
NacionalAlbion
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.45
NacionalAlbion
55%Clean sheet before half-time45%
NacionalAlbion
50%No goal before half-time40%
NacionalAlbion

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per match (2nd half)1.35
NacionalAlbion
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
NacionalAlbion
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
NacionalAlbion
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.1
NacionalAlbion
55%Clean sheet after half-time65%
NacionalAlbion
45%No goal after half-time65%
NacionalAlbion

Nacional - second-half results

45% W20% R35% P
26
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Albion - second-half results

30% W45% R25% P
28
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.41.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Albion - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.20.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nacional
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
5
5
16-30
7
5
31-45
4
4
46-60
7
0
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Albion
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
4
5
16-30
7
5
31-45
3
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
7
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+85%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Albion

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.65
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

NacionalLigaAlbion
Average goals in match 2.852.42 2.55
Both teams scored 55%53% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 65%46% 55%
Clean sheets 30%27% 30%
Goal before half-time 65%69% 85%
Goal after half-time 85%73% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.42
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Nacional 0 - 0 - 1 Albion. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Nacional vs Albion?

The Primera División match finished Nacional 1:0 Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nacional vs Albion?

Nacional score 1.55 goals per game on average and Albion 1.50. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Nacional's matches and 60% of Albion's.

What form are Nacional and Albion in?

Over the last 5 games Nacional have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Albion 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional vs Albion?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nacional vs Albion: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.