Nacional vs Juventud: match statistics
Nacional vs Juventud: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nacional played against Juventud in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on September 6, 2026. Venue: Estadio Gran Parque Central. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Nacional has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Juventud has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Nacional scores 1.42 goals per game and allows 1.27. Juventud scores 1.12 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.35 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Nacional's games and 58% of Juventud's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 46%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.40 per game. Nacional takes 11.3 shots per game, while Juventud takes 10.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Nacional leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Juventud leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.46 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Juventud, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.35 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nacional have the stronger case at home, averaging 1.46 goals with an xG of 1.58, while Juventud score just 1.08 goals away from home and create chances worth 1.29 xG. The hosts are also considerably more solid defensively, conceding 0.85 goals per home game compared with Juventud’s 1.38 away from home; this is supported by xGA figures of 0.87 and 1.62, respectively. Nacional average 12.54 shots and 4.38 shots on target per home game, while the visitors record 10.08 and 3.77, suggesting greater control of the chance volume by the hosts. However, Juventud arrive in good form, with 3 wins, a draw and just one defeat in their last five matches, along with a 5:2 goal difference, so a draw remains a realistic outcome. Despite Nacional’s weaker results across their last five games, their superior home performance and defensive stability point to a narrow victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal comes from current form: BTTS occurred in only 20% of both teams’ matches over their last 5 fixtures. Nacional scored just 0.6 goals per match during this period, while Juventud conceded only 0.4, clearly increasing the risk that the hosts will fail to score. On a season-long basis, Juventud has a high BTTS rate of 69%, but Nacional stands at only 46%, while both teams keep a clean sheet in 23% of matches. The league’s average total goals figure is 2.35, whereas Nacional’s and Juventud’s last five matches produced 1.4 goals per game each. Although Juventud’s xG over the last five matches is 1.52, Nacional’s poor attacking efficiency points more strongly towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score — BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Nacional and Juventud have been involved in low-scoring matches: over the course of the season, 77% of games for both teams finished with Under 3.5 goals. In their last five matches, Nacional scored only 3 goals and conceded 4, while Juventud scored 5 and conceded just 2. Neither team exceeded the 2.5-goal line during this period, and the league-wide average is only 2.35 goals. Although Nacional’s season xG stands at 1.51, its recent xG has dropped to 1.15, while Juventud has been conceding just 0.4 goals per match lately. The strongest option is Under 3.5 goals, as losing this bet would require a clear departure from both teams’ highly solid and recent defensive form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Juventud win, as Nacional have drawn at the break in 80% of their last five matches and scored just 0.2 goals per game before half-time. Over the same period, Juventud have averaged 0.6 first-half goals and led at the break in 40% of their matches, while both teams have kept a clean sheet before half-time very frequently: Nacional in 100% of matches and the visitors in 80%. After the interval, the hosts clearly weaken defensively, conceding an average of 1.00 goal, whereas Juventud score 0.54 goals in second halves. Current form also favors the visitors: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.0 points per game, compared with Nacional’s 1.4. Despite Nacional’s higher season xG of 1.51 versus 1.29, the hosts’ low attacking output over their last five matches—just 0.6 goals per game—limits their chances of maintaining the lead after half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional | Juventud | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nacional is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Nacional · 1.6 pts / game - Juventud
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 27% better for: goals scored per game.
1.42 goals / game - Nacional · 1.12 goals / game - Juventud
Nacional is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.27 goals / game - Nacional · 1.35 goals / game - Juventud
Nacional scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 games), while Juventud keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 games).
Juventud scores in 77% of games (20 of 26 games), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nacional
Over / Under - Juventud
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Juventud is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Nacional · 1.5 pts / game - Juventud
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Juventud - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 31%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nacional
Juventud
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Nacional | Liga | Juventud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.69 | 2.35 | ▲ 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 44% | ▲ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 66% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Nacional's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Juventud. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 80% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional vs Juventud?
The Primera División match finished Nacional 2:2 Juventud. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Juventud?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2, Juventud won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional vs Juventud?
Nacional score 1.42 goals per game on average and Juventud 1.12. The Primera División average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Nacional's matches and 58% of Juventud's.
What form are Nacional and Juventud in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Juventud 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional vs Juventud?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nacional vs Juventud: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.