Uruguay - Primera DivisiónData current as of September 02, 2026

Nacional vs Juventud: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Nacional vs Juventud: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nacional plays Juventud in Primera División (Uruguay). The game is scheduled for September 6, 2026.

Recent form

Nacional has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Juventud has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Nacional scores 1.42 goals per game and allows 1.27. Juventud scores 1.12 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.35 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 54% of Nacional's games and 58% of Juventud's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 46%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.40 per game. Nacional takes 11.3 shots per game, while Juventud takes 10.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Nacional leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Juventud leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.46 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Juventud, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.35 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.42Goals scored / game1.12
NacionalJuventud
1.27Goals allowed / game1.35
NacionalJuventud
53%Average possession53%
NacionalJuventud
4.23Shots on target / game4.5
NacionalJuventud

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.35Shots per game10.42
NacionalJuventud
4.23Shots on target4.5
NacionalJuventud
12.5%Shot conversion10.7%
NacionalJuventud
53%Possession53%
NacionalJuventud
1.45xG for1.4
NacionalJuventud
1.06xG against1.46
NacionalJuventud

Shooting quality

Nacional: BalancedJuventud: Balanced
NacionalJuventud
Accuracy (shots on target)37%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Nacional is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Nacional · 1.6 pts / game - Juventud

Nacional
WLLWW
Season result split
50% W8% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-2-11
1.58 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-5
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Juventud
DDLWW
Season result split
31% W23% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-12
1.15 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-5-5
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DWDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nacional is 27% better for: goals scored per game.

1.42 goals / game - Nacional · 1.12 goals / game - Juventud

Nacional is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.27 goals / game - Nacional · 1.35 goals / game - Juventud

Nacional scoring profile: very strong

Nacional scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 meczów), while Juventud keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 meczów).

Juventud scoring profile: very strong

Juventud scores in 77% of games (20 of 26 meczów), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 meczów).

37Goals scored (season)29
NacionalJuventud
33Goals conceded (season)35
NacionalJuventud
2.69Average goals per game2.46
NacionalJuventud
5Goals scored (last 5)4
NacionalJuventud
5Goals conceded (last 5)2
NacionalJuventud

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal77%
NacionalJuventud
42%2 goals31%
NacionalJuventud
15%3 goals4%
NacionalJuventud
4%4 goals0%
NacionalJuventud

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal77%
NacionalJuventud
38%2 goals35%
NacionalJuventud
15%3 goals12%
NacionalJuventud
4%4 goals8%
NacionalJuventud

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time15%
NacionalJuventud
0%BTTS in both halves4%
NacionalJuventud
23%Scored in both halves19%
NacionalJuventud

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
NacionalJuventud
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NacionalJuventud
40%BTTS - last 520%
NacionalJuventud

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
NacionalJuventud
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
NacionalJuventud
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
NacionalJuventud

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
NacionalJuventud
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
NacionalJuventud
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
NacionalJuventud

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Juventud is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.35 pts / game - Nacional · 1.5 pts / game - Juventud

Nacional - half-time state
27% leading54% draw19% trailing
Juventud - half-time state
38% leading35% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per game (1st half)1.5
NacionalJuventud
0.62Goals scored (1st half)0.65
NacionalJuventud
0.54Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
NacionalJuventud
1.15Average goals (1st half)1.12
NacionalJuventud
62%Clean sheet before half-time65%
NacionalJuventud
54%No goal before half-time46%
NacionalJuventud

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per game (2nd half)0.88
NacionalJuventud
0.81Goals scored (2nd half)0.46
NacionalJuventud
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
NacionalJuventud
1.54Average goals (2nd half)1.35
NacionalJuventud
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
NacionalJuventud
42%No goal after half-time58%
NacionalJuventud

Nacional - second-half results

38% W27% R35% P
35
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding185%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Juventud - second-half results

15% W42% R42% P
39
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 31%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nacional - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.00
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game0.41.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Juventud - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.60
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.60.6
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nacional
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
6
6
16-30
7
5
31-45
5
6
46-60
7
1
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Juventud
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
5
4
16-30
11
5
31-45
3
7
46-60
2
7
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Juventud

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

NacionalLigaJuventud
Average goals per game 2.692.35 2.46
Both teams scored 54%50% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%44% 46%
Clean sheets 31%29% 23%
Goal before half-time 62%66% 73%
Goal after half-time 85%72% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.35
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Nacional's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Juventud. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 80% of them.

Nacional
2 : 1
Juventud
Juventud
3 : 1
Nacional
CA Juventud
0 : 0
Club Nacional de Football
Club Nacional de Football
4 : 1
CA Juventud
Club Nacional de Football
1 : 2
CA Juventud

FAQ

When do Nacional and Juventud play?

Nacional face Juventud on September 6, 2026 in Primera División. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Juventud?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2, Juventud won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nacional vs Juventud?

Nacional score 1.42 goals per game on average and Juventud 1.12. The Primera División average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Nacional's matches and 58% of Juventud's.

What form are Nacional and Juventud in?

Over the last 5 games Nacional have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Juventud 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional vs Juventud?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nacional vs Juventud: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.