Nacional vs Peñarol: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nacional played against Peñarol in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on November 30, 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Nacional has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Peñarol has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Nacional scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.90. Peñarol scores 1.75 and allows 0.93. Games in this league average 2.34 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 59% of Nacional's games and 50% of Peñarol's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 50%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Peñarol has the higher season xG average, 1.88 to 1.79 per game. Nacional takes 14.7 shots per game, while Peñarol takes 15.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Nacional leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 1.05 goals per game after halftime. Peñarol leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.08 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (19 goals). For Peñarol, it is minutes 46-60 (17 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.34 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

55Possession (%)45
NacionalPeñarol
13Shots4
NacionalPeñarol
7Shots on target1
NacionalPeñarol
2.06xG0.89
NacionalPeñarol
7Corners2
NacionalPeñarol
104Dangerous attacks77
NacionalPeñarol
-1Fouls-1
NacionalPeñarol
5Cards5
NacionalPeñarol

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2Goals scored / game1.75
NacionalPeñarol
0.9Goals allowed / game0.93
NacionalPeñarol
54%Average possession58%
NacionalPeñarol
5.31Shots on target / game5.63
NacionalPeñarol

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.69Shots per game15.25
NacionalPeñarol
5.31Shots on target5.63
NacionalPeñarol
13.6%Shot conversion11.5%
NacionalPeñarol
54%Possession58%
NacionalPeñarol
1.79xG for1.88
NacionalPeñarol
1.3xG against1.15
NacionalPeñarol

Shooting quality

Nacional: AttackingPeñarol: Dominant
NacionalPeñarol
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Peñarol is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Nacional · 2 pts / game - Peñarol

Nacional
WDDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
62% W31% R8% P
Season (W-D-L)
24-12-3
2.15 pts / game · goal difference +43
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
14-5-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Peñarol
LWWWD
Season result split
63% W20% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
25-8-7
2.08 pts / game · goal difference +33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
10-6-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WDLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nacional is 14% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Nacional · 1.75 goals / game - Peñarol

Nacional scoring profile: strong

Nacional scores in 79% of games (31 of 39 meczów), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 38% (15 of 40 meczów).

Peñarol scoring profile: very strong

Peñarol scores in 85% of games (34 of 40 meczów), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 meczów).

78Goals scored (season)70
NacionalPeñarol
35Goals conceded (season)37
NacionalPeñarol
2.9Average goals per game2.68
NacionalPeñarol
6Goals scored (last 5)8
NacionalPeñarol
4Goals conceded (last 5)6
NacionalPeñarol

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal85%
NacionalPeñarol
64%2 goals63%
NacionalPeñarol
38%3 goals23%
NacionalPeñarol
13%4 goals5%
NacionalPeñarol

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal63%
NacionalPeñarol
21%2 goals25%
NacionalPeñarol
5%3 goals5%
NacionalPeñarol
0%4 goals0%
NacionalPeñarol

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time23%
NacionalPeñarol
10%BTTS in both halves3%
NacionalPeñarol
44%Scored in both halves48%
NacionalPeñarol

BTTS and goal count

51%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
NacionalPeñarol
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
NacionalPeñarol
60%BTTS - last 560%
NacionalPeñarol

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
NacionalPeñarol
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
NacionalPeñarol
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
NacionalPeñarol

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time93%
NacionalPeñarol
51%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
NacionalPeñarol
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
NacionalPeñarol

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nacional is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / game - Nacional · 1.53 pts / game - Peñarol

Nacional - half-time state
41% leading44% draw15% trailing
Peñarol - half-time state
38% leading40% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per game (1st half)1.53
NacionalPeñarol
0.95Goals scored (1st half)0.68
NacionalPeñarol
0.51Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
NacionalPeñarol
1.46Average goals (1st half)1.15
NacionalPeñarol
56%Clean sheet before half-time60%
NacionalPeñarol
44%No goal before half-time45%
NacionalPeñarol

After half-time (2nd half)

1.95Points per game (2nd half)2.08
NacionalPeñarol
1.05Goals scored (2nd half)1.08
NacionalPeñarol
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
NacionalPeñarol
1.44Average goals (2nd half)1.53
NacionalPeñarol
62%Clean sheet after half-time63%
NacionalPeñarol
33%No goal after half-time23%
NacionalPeñarol

Nacional - second-half results

51% W41% R8% P
65
Half-time points
37
Half-time goals
+17
Goal difference (1st half)
76
Second-half points
+26
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding151%

Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Peñarol - second-half results

63% W20% R18% P
61
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
83
Second-half points
+25
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding166%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nacional - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored / game1.00.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.40.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Peñarol - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.40
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nacional
ScoredConceded
11
2
0-15
7
8
16-30
19
10
31-45
10
6
46-60
15
1
61-75
16
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Peñarol
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
7
9
16-30
13
6
31-45
17
8
46-60
9
4
61-75
17
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
157%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.75
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Peñarol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.73
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
165%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

NacionalLigaPeñarol
Average goals per game 2.902.34 2.68
Both teams scored 59%49% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%43% 50%
Clean sheets 36%31% 38%
Goal before half-time 72%61% 73%
Goal after half-time 74%75% 93%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PeñarolYellow cardEric Daian Remedi
  2. NacionalYellow cardLuciano Boggio Albín
  3. NacionalYellow cardSebastián Coates Nión
  4. PeñarolYellow cardIgnacio Sosa Ospital
  5. PeñarolYellow cardNahuel Herrera Viera

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Gustavo TejeraMatches officiated: 23
5.39Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 252%Home wins22%Draws26%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Nacional's perspective: 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss against Peñarol. Games average 2.25 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

CA Peñarol
2 : 2
Club Nacional de Football
CA Peñarol
3 : 0
Club Nacional de Football
Club Nacional de Football
0 : 0
CA Peñarol
Club Nacional de Football
1 : 1
CA Peñarol

FAQ

What was the result of Nacional vs Peñarol?

The Primera División match finished Nacional 1:0 Peñarol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Peñarol?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Nacional won 0, Peñarol won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nacional vs Peñarol?

Nacional score 2.00 goals per game on average and Peñarol 1.75. The Primera División average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Nacional's matches and 50% of Peñarol's.

What form are Nacional and Peñarol in?

Over the last 5 games Nacional have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Peñarol 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional vs Peñarol?

The statistical background for Nacional vs Peñarol — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.