Naft Bandar Abbas vs Shahin Bandar Ameri: match statistics

Naft Bandar Abbas sit 9th, while Shahin Bandar Ameri are only 15th, indicating a clear difference in the teams’ current standings. In their last five matches, the hosts have collected 8 points from 2 wins and 2 draws, whereas the visitors have managed just 4 points, losing 3 times. Naft have scored 5 goals and conceded only 1 during this period, while Shahin have found the net just 2 times and conceded 5 goals. The hosts’ defensive solidity is particularly important and should limit the visitors’ inefficient attack to very few chances. However, draws in 2 of Naft’s last 5 matches increase the likelihood of a closely contested, low-scoring encounter.

The strongest signal comes from Shahin Bandar Ameri’s recent attacking form: they have scored only 2 goals in their last five matches, averaging 0.4 per game. The visitors recorded BTTS - Yes in just 20% of their last five outings, while their average xG stood at only 0.73, limiting their chances of scoring against a well-organized home defense. Naft Bandar Abbas conceded just 1 goal in 5 matches during this period, averaging 0.2 goals conceded, while scoring an average of 1.0 goal themselves. Shahin conceded an average of 1.0 goal per match, making the most likely scenario one in which Naft score, but at least one team—primarily the visitors—fails to find the net. This supports BTTS - No, which means that at least one team does not score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.

Available data from the last 5 matches points to a very low-scoring profile: Naft averaged 1.0 goals scored and conceded only 0.2, meaning their matches produced an average total of 1.2 goals. Shahin scored just 0.4 goals per match, while their average xG was 0.73, limiting the prospects of a higher attacking output from the visitors. For both teams, only 20% of their last five matches went over 2.5 goals, while both teams scored in 0% of Naft’s matches and 20% of Shahin’s. The hosts conceded just 1 goal during this period, so even with Shahin’s weaker defensive record, a result featuring a maximum of three goals remains the most likely outcome. Under 3.5 has a clear advantage, as the current data suggests a total of approximately 1.32 goals.

The strongest signal is a cautious first half: Naft Bandar Abbas were level at half-time in all of their last five matches, scoring and conceding no goals before the break. Shahin Bandar Ameri were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their recent fixtures, while their matches produced an average of just 0.4 first-half goals. However, the hosts are clearly in better overall form, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.2 conceded over their last five league matches, compared with 0.4 scored and 1.0 conceded by the visitors. Despite this advantage, Naft won only 40% of those matches and drew as many as 40%, which, combined with the low goal output, points primarily towards a draw at full-time as well. The X/X scenario is therefore the most likely, although a half-time draw followed by a home win remains a close alternative.