Japan - J1 LeagueToyota StadiumData current as of September 03, 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nagoya Grampus plays Machida Zelvia in J1 League (Japan). The game is scheduled for September 6, 2026. Venue: Toyota Stadium.

Recent form

Nagoya Grampus has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Machida Zelvia has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Nagoya Grampus scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 1.60. Machida Zelvia scores 3.00 and allows 0.80. Games in this league average 3.08 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Nagoya Grampus's games and 80% of Machida Zelvia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 80%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Machida Zelvia has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.64 per game. Nagoya Grampus takes 14.2 shots per game, while Machida Zelvia takes 16.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Nagoya Grampus leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Machida Zelvia leads at halftime in 40% and scores 1.80 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nagoya Grampus's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Machida Zelvia, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

J1 League games average 3.08 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
1.2Goals scored / game3
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
1.6Goals allowed / game0.8
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
58%Average possession50%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
4.8Shots on target / game5.8
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.2Shots per game16
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
4.8Shots on target5.8
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
8.5%Shot conversion18.8%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
58%Possession50%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
1.64xG for1.76
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
1.56xG against1.27
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia

Shooting quality

Nagoya Grampus: DominantMachida Zelvia: Attacking
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.52

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Machida Zelvia is 117% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Nagoya Grampus · 2.6 pts / game - Machida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus
LLWWL
Season result split
40% W0% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
LWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Machida Zelvia
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
80% W20% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Machida Zelvia is 150% better for: goals scored per game.

1.2 goals / game - Nagoya Grampus · 3 goals / game - Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.6 goals / game - Nagoya Grampus · 0.8 goals / game - Machida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus scoring profile: strong

Nagoya Grampus scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 meczów), while Machida Zelvia keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).

Machida Zelvia scoring profile: very strong

Machida Zelvia scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while Nagoya Grampus keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 meczów).

6Goals scored (season)15
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
8Goals conceded (season)4
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
2.8Average goals per game3.8
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
6Goals scored (last 5)15
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal100%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
40%2 goals80%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
20%3 goals60%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
0%4 goals40%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal80%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
40%2 goals0%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
20%3 goals0%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
0%4 goals0%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time60%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
40%Scored in both halves60%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
60%BTTS - last 580%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time80%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Machida Zelvia is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.6 pts / game - Nagoya Grampus · 1.8 pts / game - Machida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus - half-time state
0% leading60% draw40% trailing
Machida Zelvia - half-time state
40% leading60% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.6Points per game (1st half)1.8
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
0.4Goals scored (1st half)1.2
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
1.2Average goals (1st half)1.8
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
20%Clean sheet before half-time40%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
60%No goal before half-time20%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per game (2nd half)2.6
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)1.8
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.2
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
1.6Average goals (2nd half)2
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
60%Clean sheet after half-time80%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
40%No goal after half-time20%
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus - second-half results

40% W40% R20% P
3
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Machida Zelvia - second-half results

80% W20% R0% P
9
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nagoya Grampus - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.60
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Machida Zelvia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.60
Goals scored / game1.21.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.82.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+8
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nagoya Grampus
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Machida Zelvia
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.30
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 2.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nagoya Grampus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Machida Zelvia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
205%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
49%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

Nagoya GrampusLigaMachida Zelvia
Average goals per game 2.803.08 3.80
Both teams scored 60%62% 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 80%60% 80%
Clean sheets 0%21% 20%
Goal before half-time 80%72% 80%
Goal after half-time 80%84% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.08
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / game
1.46
Away goals / game
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Nagoya Grampus's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Machida Zelvia. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FC Machida Zelvia
3 : 1
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 2
FC Machida Zelvia

FAQ

When do Nagoya Grampus and Machida Zelvia play?

Nagoya Grampus face Machida Zelvia on September 6, 2026 in J1 League at Toyota Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nagoya Grampus and Machida Zelvia?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nagoya Grampus won 0, Machida Zelvia won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?

Nagoya Grampus score 1.20 goals per game on average and Machida Zelvia 3.00. The J1 League average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Nagoya Grampus's matches and 80% of Machida Zelvia's.

What form are Nagoya Grampus and Machida Zelvia in?

Over the last 5 games Nagoya Grampus have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Machida Zelvia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.