Nairobi United vs Homeboyz: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a very balanced encounter between Nairobi United and Homeboyz. The hosts have shown poor form in their last five matches (only 1 point per match), but their home record of 33% wins, draws, and losses indicates unpredictability. Homeboyz display better overall form (1.2 points per match in the last 5 games) and a solid away defense (40% clean sheets); however, their away offense is weak (averaging 0.6 goals per match, 60% FTS%). Nairobi United averages 1.5 goals scored at home but also concedes 1.5, suggesting open matches. Given the even xG metrics (0.94 vs 0.92), similar possession (51% vs 49%), and recent form of both teams, a draw appears to be the most probable result of this duel.
Nairobi United vs Homeboyz: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nairobi United played against Homeboyz in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on January 20, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Nairobi United has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Homeboyz has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Nairobi United scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 1.12. Homeboyz scores 1.18 and allows 1.12. Games in this league average 1.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Nairobi United's games and 53% of Homeboyz's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 35%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 31% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nairobi United has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.46 per game. Nairobi United takes 10.3 shots per game, while Homeboyz takes 9.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Nairobi United leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. Homeboyz leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.41 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nairobi United's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (12 goals). For Homeboyz, it is minutes 0-15 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 1.94 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 31% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests a very balanced encounter between Nairobi United and Homeboyz. The hosts have shown poor form in their last five matches (only 1 point per match), but their home record of 33% wins, draws, and losses indicates unpredictability. Homeboyz display better overall form (1.2 points per match in the last 5 games) and a solid away defense (40% clean sheets); however, their away offense is weak (averaging 0.6 goals per match, 60% FTS%). Nairobi United averages 1.5 goals scored at home but also concedes 1.5, suggesting open matches. Given the even xG metrics (0.94 vs 0.92), similar possession (51% vs 49%), and recent form of both teams, a draw appears to be the most probable result of this duel.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nairobi United | Homeboyz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nairobi United is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Nairobi United · 0.4 pts / game - Homeboyz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nairobi United is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
1.24 goals / game - Nairobi United · 1.18 goals / game - Homeboyz
Nairobi United scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while Homeboyz keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).
Homeboyz scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nairobi United
Over / Under - Homeboyz
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Homeboyz is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / game - Nairobi United · 1.29 pts / game - Homeboyz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nairobi United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Homeboyz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nairobi United
Homeboyz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nairobi United | Liga | Homeboyz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.35 | 1.94 | ▲ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 41% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 31% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 37% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 41% | 33% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal after half-time | • 35% | 35% | ▲ 41% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Nairobi United's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Homeboyz. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nairobi United vs Homeboyz?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Nairobi United 2:2 Homeboyz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nairobi United vs Homeboyz?
Nairobi United score 1.24 goals per game on average and Homeboyz 1.18. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Nairobi United's matches and 53% of Homeboyz's.
What form are Nairobi United and Homeboyz in?
Over the last 5 games Nairobi United have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Homeboyz 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nairobi United vs Homeboyz?
The statistical background for Nairobi United vs Homeboyz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.