Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueData current as of October 22, 2026

Nairobi United vs Tusker: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nairobi United vs Tusker: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nairobi United plays Tusker in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026.

Recent form

Nairobi United has 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Tusker has 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Nairobi United scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. Tusker scores 2.00 and allows 0.00. Games in this league average 2.24 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Nairobi United's games and 0% of Tusker's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 0%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tusker has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.44 per game. Nairobi United takes 10.0 shots per game, while Tusker takes 9.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Nairobi United leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Tusker leads at halftime in 0% and scores 2.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nairobi United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). For Tusker, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Kenyan Premier League games average 2.24 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 4 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1Goals scored / game2
Nairobi UnitedTusker
1Goals allowed / game0
Nairobi UnitedTusker
52%Average possession55%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
2.5Shots on target / game4
Nairobi UnitedTusker

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10Shots per game9
Nairobi UnitedTusker
2.5Shots on target4
Nairobi UnitedTusker
10%Shot conversion22.2%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
52%Possession55%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
1.44xG for1.47
Nairobi UnitedTusker
1.26xG against1.12
Nairobi UnitedTusker

Shooting quality

Nairobi United: BalancedTusker: Efficient finishing
Nairobi UnitedTusker
Accuracy (shots on target)25%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Tusker is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Nairobi United · 3 pts / game - Tusker

Nairobi United
DD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W100% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-0
1.00 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-0
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Tusker
W
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tusker is 100% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Nairobi United · 2 goals / game - Tusker

Nairobi United scoring profile: more difficult

Nairobi United scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 games).

Tusker scoring profile: very strong

Tusker scores in 100% of games (1 of 1 games), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).

2Goals scored (season)2
Nairobi UnitedTusker
2Goals conceded (season)0
Nairobi UnitedTusker
2Average goals per game2
Nairobi UnitedTusker
2Goals scored (last 5)2
Nairobi UnitedTusker
2Goals conceded (last 5)0
Nairobi UnitedTusker

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal100%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
50%2 goals100%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
0%3 goals0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
0%4 goals0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
50%2 goals0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
0%3 goals0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
0%4 goals0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
50%Scored in both halves0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
50%BTTS - last 50%
Nairobi UnitedTusker

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nairobi United is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - Nairobi United · 1 pts / game - Tusker

Nairobi United - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Tusker - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)1
Nairobi UnitedTusker
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0
Nairobi UnitedTusker
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
Nairobi UnitedTusker
0.5Average goals (1st half)0
Nairobi UnitedTusker
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
50%No goal before half-time100%
Nairobi UnitedTusker

After half-time (2nd half)

0.5Points per game (2nd half)3
Nairobi UnitedTusker
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)2
Nairobi UnitedTusker
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0
Nairobi UnitedTusker
1.5Average goals (2nd half)2
Nairobi UnitedTusker
50%Clean sheet after half-time100%
Nairobi UnitedTusker
50%No goal after half-time0%
Nairobi UnitedTusker

Nairobi United - second-half results

0% W50% D50% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tusker - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nairobi United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.50
Goals scored / game0.50.5
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game0.51.5
1 goal50%50%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Tusker - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.003.00
Goals scored / game0.02.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.0
Average goals per game0.02.0
1 goal0%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nairobi United
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Tusker
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
25%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nairobi United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Tusker

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+1.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
189%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+2.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

Nairobi UnitedLigaTusker
Average goals per game▼ 2.002.24▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▼ 50%53%▼ 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%35%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▲ 50%32%▲ 100%
Goal before half-time▲ 50%47%▼ 0%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%76%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.24
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defensive advantage
+-5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
47%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Nairobi United's perspective: 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Tusker. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Nairobi United
1 : 0
Tusker
Nairobi United
1 : 0
Tusker
Tusker
0 : 1
Nairobi United
Tusker
0 : 1
Nairobi United

FAQ

When do Nairobi United and Tusker play?

Nairobi United face Tusker on October 25, 2026 in Kenyan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nairobi United and Tusker?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Nairobi United won 4, Tusker won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nairobi United vs Tusker?

Nairobi United score 1.00 goals per game on average and Tusker 2.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nairobi United's matches and 0% of Tusker's.

What form are Nairobi United and Tusker in?

Over the last 5 games Nairobi United have a 0-2-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Tusker 1-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nairobi United vs Tusker?

The statistical background for Nairobi United vs Tusker — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.