Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars: match statistics
Nairobi United hold a distinct advantage over Ulinzi Stars, particularly in the context of their home performances. In their last 5 overall matches, the hosts have averaged 1.6 PPG with a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, whereas the visitors have managed only 1.0 PPG. The key argument supporting a home win is offensive efficiency – Nairobi United score an average of 1.4 goals per home game, while Ulinzi Stars average a mere 0.75 goals away and fail to score in 42% of their away fixtures. The visitors have a negative away record with a 58% loss rate and only 25% wins, making the hosts clear favorites given their decent form. The xG statistics are evenly matched, but Nairobi United's edge in ball possession (53% vs 50%) and better form in recent matches tip the scales in their favor, although the visitors' solid defense (25% away clean sheets) might make the task difficult for the hosts.
Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nairobi United played against Ulinzi Stars in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on March 13, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Nairobi United has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Ulinzi Stars has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Nairobi United scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.04. Ulinzi Stars scores 0.88 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 2.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Nairobi United's games and 58% of Ulinzi Stars's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 42%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nairobi United has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.40 per game. Nairobi United takes 9.5 shots per game, while Ulinzi Stars takes 9.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Nairobi United leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.21 goals per game after halftime. Ulinzi Stars leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.13 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nairobi United's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (21 goals). For Ulinzi Stars, it is minutes 0-15 (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 2.08 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nairobi United hold a distinct advantage over Ulinzi Stars, particularly in the context of their home performances. In their last 5 overall matches, the hosts have averaged 1.6 PPG with a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, whereas the visitors have managed only 1.0 PPG. The key argument supporting a home win is offensive efficiency – Nairobi United score an average of 1.4 goals per home game, while Ulinzi Stars average a mere 0.75 goals away and fail to score in 42% of their away fixtures. The visitors have a negative away record with a 58% loss rate and only 25% wins, making the hosts clear favorites given their decent form. The xG statistics are evenly matched, but Nairobi United's edge in ball possession (53% vs 50%) and better form in recent matches tip the scales in their favor, although the visitors' solid defense (25% away clean sheets) might make the task difficult for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nairobi United | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nairobi United is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Nairobi United · 0.4 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nairobi United is 42% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Nairobi United · 0.88 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars
Nairobi United is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.04 goals / game - Nairobi United · 1.21 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars
Nairobi United scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 meczów), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).
Ulinzi Stars scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nairobi United
Over / Under - Ulinzi Stars
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nairobi United is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Nairobi United · 0.88 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nairobi United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (21 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nairobi United
Ulinzi Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nairobi United | Liga | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.29 | 2.08 | • 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 35% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 33% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 29% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal after half-time | • 25% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Nairobi United's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Ulinzi Stars. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Nairobi United 1:2 Ulinzi Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
Nairobi United score 1.25 goals per game on average and Ulinzi Stars 0.88. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nairobi United's matches and 58% of Ulinzi Stars's.
What form are Nairobi United and Ulinzi Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Nairobi United have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Ulinzi Stars 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.