Nantes vs Nice: match statistics
The match shapes up to be an even clash between two teams in poor form. Nantes sits in 16th place and has a dismal home record – just 11% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -8. Nice is placed 15th, but their away form is even worse – 78% losses on the road, zero clean sheets, and a goal difference of -14. Both teams average 1 goal per match (Nantes at home, Nice away), but they concede a lot – Nantes 1.89, and Nice a staggering 2.56 goals on average. The recent form of both teams is slightly better (Nantes: 1.4 PPG, Nice: 1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), suggesting a potential fight for points. Given the weakness of both teams, Nice's slight possession advantage (49% vs 43%), and balanced xG statistics, a draw seems most probable, although the slight home advantage might give Nantes a chance for victory.
Nantes vs Nice: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nantes played against Nice in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
Nantes has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Nice has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Nantes scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.67. Nice scores 1.17 and allows 1.94. Games in this league average 2.85 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Nantes's games and 67% of Nice's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 56%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nice has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.04 per game. Nantes takes 9.8 shots per game, while Nice takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Nantes leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Nice leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nantes's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Nice, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.85 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be an even clash between two teams in poor form. Nantes sits in 16th place and has a dismal home record – just 11% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -8. Nice is placed 15th, but their away form is even worse – 78% losses on the road, zero clean sheets, and a goal difference of -14. Both teams average 1 goal per match (Nantes at home, Nice away), but they concede a lot – Nantes 1.89, and Nice a staggering 2.56 goals on average. The recent form of both teams is slightly better (Nantes: 1.4 PPG, Nice: 1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), suggesting a potential fight for points. Given the weakness of both teams, Nice's slight possession advantage (49% vs 43%), and balanced xG statistics, a draw seems most probable, although the slight home advantage might give Nantes a chance for victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nantes | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nantes is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Nantes · 0.2 pts / game - Nice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nice is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
0.94 goals / game - Nantes · 1.17 goals / game - Nice
Nantes is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.67 goals / game - Nantes · 1.94 goals / game - Nice
Nantes scores in 61% of games (11 of 18 meczów), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 meczów).
Nice scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nantes
Over / Under - Nice
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nantes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nice - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 28%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nantes
Nice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Nantes | Liga | Nice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.61 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Nantes's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Nice. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nantes vs Nice?
The Ligue 1 match finished Nantes 1:4 Nice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nantes vs Nice?
Nantes score 0.94 goals per game on average and Nice 1.17. The Ligue 1 average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nantes's matches and 67% of Nice's.
What form are Nantes and Nice in?
Over the last 5 games Nantes have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Nice 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nantes vs Nice?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.