Naples vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics
Naples vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Naples play Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Naples: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Naples scores 1.06 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Naples 41%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. Over 2.5: Naples 41%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Naples has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.43. Naples: 12.0 shots per match, Sarasota Paradise: 12.2.
Match halves
Naples: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.59. Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Naples: 76-90+ (7 goals). Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Naples is the clear favorite: they sit 1st, have won 3 of 5 home matches (50% wins), average 1.25 goals per game with an average xG of 1.39 and record 4.25 shots on target per match. The home defense also looks solid — they concede 0.75 goals at home on average and keep clean sheets in 50% of home games. Sarasota Paradise have serious issues away: average 0 goals per away match (FTS 100%), concede 2 goals away and have 100% away defeats; in the last 5 matches they scored 4 and conceded 7. Quality-of-chance metrics confirm the home advantage — home xG 1.39 versus away 1.23, and shot conversion 11% versus 0% for the visitors on the road. Considering form (Naples 4 wins in 5 and 2.4 PPG vs Sarasota 0.8 PPG), I expect a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Naples | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Naples is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Naples · 0.94 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Naples scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Sarasota Paradise scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Naples keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Naples
Over / Under — Sarasota Paradise
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Naples is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Naples · 0.94 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Naples - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Naples
Sarasota Paradise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Naples | Liga | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.65 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Naples vs Sarasota Paradise?
The USL League One match finished Naples 2:0 Sarasota Paradise. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Naples vs Sarasota Paradise?
Naples score 1.06 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 0.94. The USL League One average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Naples's matches and 50% of Sarasota Paradise's.
What form are Naples and Sarasota Paradise in?
Over the last 5 games Naples have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Naples vs Sarasota Paradise?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Naples vs Sarasota Paradise: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.