Nigeria - NPFLLafia Township StadiumData current as of October 15, 2026

Nasarawa United vs Doma United: match statistics

Nasarawa United crest
Nasarawa United
2 : 0half-time 1:0
Doma United crest
Doma United

Nasarawa United vs Doma United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nasarawa United played against Doma United in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Lafia Township Stadium. Final score: 2:0.

Recent form

Nasarawa United has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Doma United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Nasarawa United scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 1.00. Doma United scores 1.43 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.38 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Nasarawa United's games and 43% of Doma United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 43%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Doma United has the higher season xG average, 1.88 to 1.53 per game. Nasarawa United takes 4.3 shots per game, while Doma United takes 9.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Nasarawa United leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Doma United leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.86 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nasarawa United's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Doma United, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NPFL games average 2.38 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Although Doma United sit 3rd and Nasarawa United 12th, the home record favors the hosts: they have won 67% of their home matches and remain unbeaten, while the visitors have lost 67% of their away games. Nasarawa concede an average of just 0.33 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 67% of matches, whereas Doma concede an average of 2 goals away. The hosts also create higher-quality chances: their home xG is 1.94, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.19. In their last five matches, Nasarawa conceded 3 goals, while Doma let in as many as 8, further highlighting the hosts’ defensive advantage. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as both teams average 1 goal per match in these conditions, but home advantage tips the prediction in Nasarawa’s favor.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest case against both teams scoring is Nasarawa United’s defensive record: the hosts have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their matches and concede an average of 0.5 goals, while Doma United score an average of 1.0 goals away from home. Nasarawa also have a clear attacking advantage, recording an xG of 2.34 at home compared with the visitors’ 1.19 away, which points more towards a home goal than a mutual exchange of goals. Caution is warranted, however, as Doma have averaged 1.4 goals in their last five matches, with an xG of 2.08. Even so, BTTS - Yes has landed in only 25% of Nasarawa’s home matches, making it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this line has been held in 75% of Nasarawa United's matches and 67% of Doma United's. The hosts average 1.75 goals and 8.67 shots on target at home, so they could score most of the goals in this match. However, Nasarawa's defense limits the visitors' potential, conceding an average of just 0.5 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 75% of home matches. Although Doma concede an average of 2.0 goals away from home, their own scoring average is 1.0, which points more towards a match with two or three goals than four. The projected total of 2.48 goals therefore supports Under 3.5 goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Nasarawa led at the break in 3 of 4 home matches, while Doma were not ahead after 45 minutes in any of their 3 away games and conceded an average of 1.0 goals in the first half. The hosts won 75% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.75 goals and conceding 0.5; the visitors lost 67% of their away matches and conceded an average of 2.0 goals in those games. Nasarawa’s attacking edge is reflected in their average xG of 2.34 compared with 1.19, and 8.67 shots on target per match compared with 3.5. A half-time draw remains a credible alternative, as Nasarawa were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches overall. Nevertheless, their home record and Doma’s away struggles most strongly support a Nasarawa lead at the break and a home win at full time in the HT/FT market.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

54Possession (%)46
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
12Shots8
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
6Shots on target3
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0xG0
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
6Corners5
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0Dangerous attacks0
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
19Fouls11
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0Cards0
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0.83Goals scored / game1.43
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
1Goals allowed / game1.14
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
24%Average possession40%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
1.67Shots on target / game4.43
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

4.33Shots per game9.57
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
1.67Shots on target4.43
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
19.2%Shot conversion14.9%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
24%Possession40%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
1.53xG for1.88
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
1.2xG against1.27
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United

Shooting quality

Nasarawa United: Counter-attackingDoma United: Counter-attacking
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
Accuracy (shots on target)39%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.350.20
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Nasarawa United is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Nasarawa United · 1.4 pts / game - Doma United

Nasarawa United
WDLWD
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-2
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Doma United
WLDLW
Season result split
57% W14% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-2
1.86 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
WLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Doma United is 72% better for: goals scored per game.

0.83 goals / game - Nasarawa United · 1.43 goals / game - Doma United

Nasarawa United is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Nasarawa United · 1.14 goals / game - Doma United

Nasarawa United scoring profile: strong

Nasarawa United scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while Doma United keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 games).

Doma United scoring profile: very strong

Doma United scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 games).

5Goals scored (season)10
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
6Goals conceded (season)8
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
1.83Average goals per game2.57
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
4Goals scored (last 5)7
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
3Goals conceded (last 5)8
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal100%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0%2 goals43%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0%3 goals0%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0%4 goals0%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal43%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
33%2 goals43%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
17%3 goals14%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0%4 goals14%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time14%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0%Scored in both halves43%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
40%BTTS - last 560%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Doma United is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / game - Nasarawa United · 1.71 pts / game - Doma United

Nasarawa United - half-time state
17% leading83% draw0% trailing
Doma United - half-time state
43% leading43% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per game (1st half)1.71
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.57
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0.83Average goals (1st half)1
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
67%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
50%No goal before half-time43%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1.71
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
1Average goals (2nd half)1.57
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
50%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United
67%No goal after half-time14%
Nasarawa UnitedDoma United

Nasarawa United - second-half results

17% W50% D33% L
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Doma United - second-half results

57% W0% D43% L
12
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nasarawa United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.20
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.60.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Doma United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.21.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nasarawa United
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
3
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Doma United
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.20
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nasarawa United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.70
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
50%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Doma United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
199%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Nasarawa UnitedLigaDoma United
Average goals per game▼ 1.832.38▲ 2.57
Both teams scored▲ 50%44%• 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%40%▲ 43%
Clean sheets▲ 50%35%▲ 57%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%69%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time• 67%68%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.38
Average goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
35%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / game
0.72
Away goals / game
+129%
Home attack advantage
+56%
Home defensive advantage
+51%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

FAQ

What was the result of Nasarawa United vs Doma United?

The NPFL match finished Nasarawa United 2:0 Doma United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nasarawa United vs Doma United?

Nasarawa United score 0.83 goals per game on average and Doma United 1.43. The NPFL average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nasarawa United's matches and 43% of Doma United's.

What form are Nasarawa United and Doma United in?

Over the last 5 games Nasarawa United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Doma United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasarawa United vs Doma United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nasarawa United vs Doma United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.