Nigeria - NPFLData current as of September 13, 2026

Nasarawa United vs Rivers United: match statistics

155%(1.83)
X30%(3.20)
215%(4.60)

Nasarawa United displays impressive home form with 67% wins and only 7% losses at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.27 goals while conceding only 0.47 per match. The hosts maintain 53% clean sheets at home and have a positive goal difference of +12 in home matches. Despite being the league leaders, Rivers United shows poor away form – only 13% wins on the road, 47% of matches without a scored goal, and a negative goal difference of -5. xG statistics also favor the hosts (2.08 vs 1.06), and the recent form of both teams is similar (1.2 PPG), which, given Nasarawa's advantage at home, argues for their victory. Considering the high percentage of draws for Rivers United away (53%), there is also a realistic chance for a points split.

Nasarawa United vs Rivers United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nasarawa United played against Rivers United in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on March 23, 2026. Final score: 4:1.

Recent form

Nasarawa United has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Rivers United has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Nasarawa United scores 0.90 goals per game and allows 0.80. Rivers United scores 0.93 and allows 0.63. Games in this league average 1.87 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 37% of Nasarawa United's games and 37% of Rivers United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 23%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Nasarawa United has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.42 per game. Nasarawa United takes 8.5 shots per game, while Rivers United takes 8.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Nasarawa United leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Rivers United leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nasarawa United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Rivers United, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NPFL games average 1.87 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Nasarawa United displays impressive home form with 67% wins and only 7% losses at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.27 goals while conceding only 0.47 per match. The hosts maintain 53% clean sheets at home and have a positive goal difference of +12 in home matches. Despite being the league leaders, Rivers United shows poor away form – only 13% wins on the road, 47% of matches without a scored goal, and a negative goal difference of -5. xG statistics also favor the hosts (2.08 vs 1.06), and the recent form of both teams is similar (1.2 PPG), which, given Nasarawa's advantage at home, argues for their victory. Considering the high percentage of draws for Rivers United away (53%), there is also a realistic chance for a points split.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

3 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

46Possession (%)54
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
19Shots13
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
9Shots on target4
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
2.35xG1.69
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
7Corners10
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
74Dangerous attacks81
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
-1Fouls-1
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
-1Cards-1
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
0.9Goals scored / game0.93
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
0.8Goals allowed / game0.63
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
39%Average possession47%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
3.2Shots on target / game2.87
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.53Shots per game7.97
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
3.2Shots on target2.87
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
10.5%Shot conversion11.7%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
39%Possession47%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
1.68xG for1.42
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
1.38xG against1
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United

Shooting quality

Nasarawa United: BalancedRivers United: Balanced
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
Accuracy (shots on target)38%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.200.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Nasarawa United
LWLWL
Season result split
43% W27% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-8-9
1.57 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-4-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Rivers United
WWLLL
Season result split
47% W33% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-10-6
1.73 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-8-5
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rivers United is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.8 goals / game - Nasarawa United · 0.63 goals / game - Rivers United

Nasarawa United scoring profile: mixed

Nasarawa United scores in 63% of games (19 of 30 meczów), while Rivers United keeps a clean sheet in 53% (16 of 30 meczów).

Rivers United scoring profile: strong

Rivers United scores in 73% of games (22 of 30 meczów), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 meczów).

27Goals scored (season)28
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
24Goals conceded (season)19
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
1.7Average goals per game1.57
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
3Goals scored (last 5)7
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal73%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
23%2 goals13%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
3%3 goals7%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
0%4 goals0%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal47%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
13%2 goals10%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
3%3 goals3%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
0%4 goals3%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

36%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time13%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
17%Scored in both halves7%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
20%BTTS - last 540%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time47%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
17%Min. 2 goals after half-time23%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nasarawa United is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.23 pts / game - Nasarawa United · 1.03 pts / game - Rivers United

Nasarawa United - half-time state
23% leading53% draw23% trailing
Rivers United - half-time state
13% leading63% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.23Points per game (1st half)1.03
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.27
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.37
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
0.93Average goals (1st half)0.63
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
57%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
57%No goal before half-time73%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per game (2nd half)1.77
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.27
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
0.77Average goals (2nd half)0.93
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
73%Clean sheet after half-time77%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United
63%No goal after half-time47%
Nasarawa UnitedRivers United

Nasarawa United - second-half results

30% W47% D23% L
37
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding187%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Rivers United - second-half results

43% W47% D10% L
31
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding362%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nasarawa United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Rivers United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.40
Goals scored / game0.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game0.42.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nasarawa United
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
1
5
16-30
8
6
31-45
4
1
46-60
4
5
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Rivers United
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
6
16-30
2
3
31-45
5
1
46-60
4
4
61-75
11
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.63
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
37%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nasarawa United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.78
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Rivers United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
172%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
39% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
39%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Nasarawa UnitedLigaRivers United
Average goals per game 1.701.87 1.57
Both teams scored 37%36% 37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 27%28% 23%
Clean sheets 37%38% 53%
Goal before half-time 67%60% 47%
Goal after half-time 57%61% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.87
Average goals per game
36%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / game
0.54
Away goals / game
+146%
Home attack advantage
+59%
Home defensive advantage
+50%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Nasarawa UnitedGoalOluka Ngei
  2. Nasarawa UnitedGoalAbubakar Abdullahi
  3. Rivers UnitedGoalTaiwo Abdulrafiu
  4. Rivers UnitedSubstitutionOn: Temple EmekayiOff: Ebuka Akobundu
  5. Nasarawa UnitedGoalIstifanus Jofrank

Head-to-head

Record from Nasarawa United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Rivers United. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Rivers United
1 : 0
Nasarawa United

FAQ

What was the result of Nasarawa United vs Rivers United?

The NPFL match finished Nasarawa United 4:1 Rivers United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nasarawa United vs Rivers United?

Nasarawa United score 0.90 goals per game on average and Rivers United 0.93. The NPFL average is 1.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Nasarawa United's matches and 37% of Rivers United's.

What form are Nasarawa United and Rivers United in?

Over the last 5 games Nasarawa United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Rivers United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasarawa United vs Rivers United?

The statistical background for Nasarawa United vs Rivers United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.