Náutico vs São Bernardo: match statistics
Náutico vs São Bernardo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Náutico play São Bernardo in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 23:00. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Náutico: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. São Bernardo: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Náutico scores 1.22 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. São Bernardo scores 1.33 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Náutico 33%, São Bernardo 56%. Over 2.5: Náutico 39%, São Bernardo 44%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Náutico has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.22. Náutico: 16.6 shots per match, São Bernardo: 11.4.
Match halves
Náutico: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.89. São Bernardo: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Náutico: 76-90+ (8 goals). São Bernardo: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Náutico holds a clear advantage in possession and chance creation — averaging 64% possession and 16.5 shots per home match versus São Bernardo’s 50% possession and 8.5 shots away, with the home side’s xG at 1.76 compared to the visitors’ 1.02. Despite that, São Bernardo is significantly more clinical: the visitors’ conversion rate is 18% versus Náutico’s 3%, translating to an average of 1.5 goals scored on the road compared to 0.5 goals for Náutico at home. Defensively the edge is with the hosts — Náutico concedes only 0.5 goals at home and restricts opponents’ xG to 0.89, while São Bernardo concedes 1.0 goal on average away and allows 1.9 xG. Form is similar: Náutico averages 1.2 points per match in the last 5 (form llwwl), São Bernardo 1.0 point (form ddlwl), giving a slight advantage to the hosts. Considering the hosts’ dominance in possession, higher xG and superior defense, but also Náutico’s low finishing rate, I predict a home win — 1 — with probabilities: home 50%, draw 25%, away 25%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Náutico | São Bernardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
São Bernardo is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Náutico · 0.4 pts / match - São Bernardo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
São Bernardo is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Náutico · 1.33 goals / match - São Bernardo
São Bernardo is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Náutico · 0.94 goals / match - São Bernardo
Náutico scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while São Bernardo keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
São Bernardo scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Náutico
Over / Under — São Bernardo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
São Bernardo is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Náutico · 1.06 pts / match - São Bernardo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Náutico - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
São Bernardo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Náutico
São Bernardo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Náutico | Liga | São Bernardo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.27 | • 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 41% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 32% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Náutico vs São Bernardo?
The Serie B match finished Náutico 0:3 São Bernardo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Náutico vs São Bernardo?
Náutico score 1.22 goals per game on average and São Bernardo 1.33. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Náutico's matches and 56% of São Bernardo's.
What form are Náutico and São Bernardo in?
Over the last 5 games Náutico have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and São Bernardo 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Náutico vs São Bernardo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.