Navad Urmia vs Saipa: match statistics
Navad Urmia vs Saipa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Navad Urmia play Saipa in Azadegan League (Iran). The match date is 11 July 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Takhti Sports Complex. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Navad Urmia: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Saipa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Navad Urmia scores 0.50 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Saipa scores 0.88 and concedes 0.55. League average: 1.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Navad Urmia 31%, Saipa 27%. Over 2.5: Navad Urmia 19%, Saipa 27%. League level: BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 22%.
xG, shots and style
Saipa has higher xG: 1.18 vs 0.79. Navad Urmia: 1.0 shots per match, Saipa: 4.2.
Match halves
Navad Urmia: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.25. Saipa: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Navad Urmia: 31-45+ (5 goals). Saipa: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.58 goals per match, BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 22%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back an away win (Saipa). Saipa sit 5th in the table vs Navad Urmia’s 17th, with season records of 14–11–7 compared to the hosts’ 4–12–15; the visitors have scored 27 goals vs the hosts’ 16, and Navad have conceded 38 while Saipa conceded 18. In their last five matches Saipa are 2–2–1 (1.6 points per game) and have scored 3 goals, whereas Navad are 0–1–4, with only 1 goal scored and 14 conceded (2.8 goals conceded per match). The visitors’ defence is clearly superior: Saipa concede 0.75 goals on average away and 0.4 in the last 5 matches, with 56% clean sheets away, while Navad concede 1.2 on average at home and keep 40% clean sheets. Saipa also hold the edge in away attacking metrics: 9.83 average shots and 3.83 shots on target per match and xG 1.28, whereas the hosts score only 0.73 goals per home match; based on this I assess Saipa’s win probability at 70%, 20% for a draw and 10% for a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Navad Urmia | Saipa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | -12% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.79 | 0.28 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.73 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Saipa is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Navad Urmia · 2 pts / match - Saipa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Saipa is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Navad Urmia · 0.88 goals / match - Saipa
Saipa is 127% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Navad Urmia · 0.55 goals / match - Saipa
Navad Urmia scores in 44% of matches (14 of 32 matches), while Saipa keeps a clean sheet in 67% (22 of 33 matches).
Saipa scores in 67% of matches (22 of 33 matches), while Navad Urmia keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Navad Urmia
Over / Under — Saipa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Saipa is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Navad Urmia · 1.45 pts / match - Saipa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Navad Urmia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Saipa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Navad Urmia
Saipa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Navad Urmia | Liga | Saipa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.75 | 1.58 | ▼ 1.42 |
| Both teams scored | • 31% | 30% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 19% | 22% | ▲ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 46% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 53% | 46% | • 45% |
| Goal after half-time | • 56% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Navad Urmia 0 - 0 - 1 Saipa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Navad Urmia vs Saipa?
The Azadegan League match finished Navad Urmia 0:2 Saipa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Navad Urmia vs Saipa?
Navad Urmia score 0.50 goals per game on average and Saipa 0.88. The Azadegan League average is 1.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 22% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Navad Urmia's matches and 27% of Saipa's.
What form are Navad Urmia and Saipa in?
Over the last 5 games Navad Urmia have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Saipa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Navad Urmia vs Saipa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.